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The study of the rapid intensification process of Tropical Cyclones (TCs) is a current, yet lacking research topic in Mexico, where thermal and dynamic factors at the microscale and mesoscale fundamentally intervene. Due to the little…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-24 Mauricio López-Reyes , Ángel Meulenert

Climate-driven power outages pose a growing threat to U.S. grid reliability, yet empirical outage studies and interdependency-based resilience analyses are rarely integrated. This paper presents a data-driven framework that integrates…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-19 Yoneke Graham , Gelila Webster , Tina Tran , Sohini Roy

Tropical cyclones (TCs) are among the most destructive weather systems. Realistically and efficiently detecting and tracking TCs are critical for assessing their impacts and risks. Recently, a multilevel robustness framework has been…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-07-31 Lin Yan , Hanqi Guo , Thomas Peterka , Bei Wang , Jiali Wang

We consider power line outages in the transmission system of the power grid, and specifically those caused by a natural disaster or a large scale physical attack. In the transmission system, an outage of a line may lead to overload on other…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-06-07 Andrey Bernstein , Daniel Bienstock , David Hay , Meric Uzunoglu , Gil Zussman

Deep learning-based tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting methods have demonstrated significant potential and application advantages, as they feature much lower computational cost and faster operation speed than numerical weather prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Qixiang Li , Yuan Zhou , Shuwei Huo , Chong Wang , Xiaofeng Li

Coastal compound floods (CCFs) are triggered by the interaction of multiple mechanisms, such as storm surges, storm rainfall, tides, and river flow. These events can bring significant damage to communities, and there is an increasing demand…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-20 Ziyue Liu , Meredith L. Carr , Norberto C. Nadal-Caraballo , Luke A. Aucoin , Madison C. Yawn , Michelle T. Bensi

Low-lying coastal cities across the world are vulnerable to the combined impact of rainfall and storm tide. However, existing approaches lack the ability to model the combined effect of these flood mechanisms. Thus, to increase flood…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-08-30 Yawen Shen , Navid Tahvildari , Mohamed M Morsy , Chris Huxley , T. Donna Chen , Jonathan L. Goodall

The growing frequencies of extreme weather events and cyberattacks give rise to a novel threat where a malicious cyber actor aims to disrupt stressed components of critical infrastructure systems immediately before, during, or shortly after…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-13 Charalampos Avraam , Luis Ceferino , Yury Dvorkin

Electricity systems are experiencing increased effects of randomness and variability due to emerging stochastic assets. The increased effects introduce new uncertainties into power systems that can impact system operability and reliability.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-10 Naeem Turner-Bandele , Amritanshu Pandey , Larry Pileggi

A presumed impact of global climate change is the increase in frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones. Due to the possible destruction that occurs when tropical cyclones make landfall, understanding their formation should be of mass…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-31 Katherine Slyman , John A. Gemmer , Nicholas K. Corak , Claire Kiers , Christopher K. R. T. Jones

Major disasters such as wildfire, tornado, hurricane, tropical storm, flooding cause disruptions in infrastructure systems such as power outage, disruption to water supply system, wastewater management, telecommunication failures, and…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-24 Tasnuba Binte Jamal , Samiul Hasan

Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecasting is crucial for early disaster warning and emergency decision-making. Numerous researchers have explored deep-learning methods to address computational and post-processing issues in operational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Xinyu Wang , Lei Liu , Kang Chen , Tao Han , Bin Li , Lei Bai

Tropical cyclones (TCs), including hurricanes and typhoons, cause significant property damage and result in fatalities, making it crucial to understand the factors driving extreme TCs. The El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) influences TC…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-10 Suchit Basineni

Tropical cyclones (TCs) pose severe threats to life, infrastructure, and economies in tropical and subtropical regions, underscoring the critical need for accurate and timely forecasts of both track and intensity. Recent advances in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Peisong Niu , Haifan Zhang , Yang Zhao , Tian Zhou , Ziqing Ma , Wenqiang Shen , Junping Zhao , Huiling Yuan , Liang Sun

Accurate tropical cyclone (TC) track prediction is crucial for mitigating the catastrophic impacts of TCs on human life and the environment. Despite decades of research on tropical cyclone (TC) track prediction, large errors known as track…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-01 Haoran Zhao , Shaoqing Zhang , Yang Gao , Lixin Wu , Yihan Cao , Wenju Cai , Bin Wang , L. Ruby Leung , Zebin Lu , Zhong Zhong , Xiaolin Yu , Mingkui Li , Chenyu Zhu

Because geostationary satellite (Geo) imagery provides a high temporal resolution window into tropical cyclone (TC) behavior, we investigate the viability of its application to short-term probabilistic forecasts of TC convective structure…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-11 Trey McNeely , Pavel Khokhlov , Niccolo Dalmasso , Kimberly M. Wood , Ann B. Lee

The failure of overhead transmission lines in the United States can lead to significant economic losses and widespread blackouts, affecting the lives of millions. This study focuses on the reliability of transmission lines, specifically…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Prakash KC , Maryam Naghibolhosseini , Mohsen Zayernouri

Prolonged power outages debilitate the economy and threaten public health. Existing research is generally limited in its scope to a single event, an outage cause, or a region. Here, we provide one of the most comprehensive analyses of U.S.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-21 Aman Ankit , Zhanlin Liu , Scott B. Miles , Youngjun Choe

Evaluating resilience in electric distribution systems under severe weather requires models that can connect network topology, hazard simulation, fragility modeling, restoration assumptions, repair strategy, and downstream consequences.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Xuesong Wang , Caisheng Wang , Carol Miller , Amir Shahin Kamjou , John Norton

Bayesian statistical models were developed for the number of tropical cyclones and the rate at which these cyclones became hurricanes in the North Atlantic, North and South Indian, and East and West Pacific Oceans. We find that there is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 William M Briggs