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Relatively general techniques for computing mean first-passage time (MFPT) of random walks on networks with a specific property are very useful, since a universal method for calculating MFPT on general graphs is not available because of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-10-01 Yuan Lin , Bin Wu , Zhongzhi Zhang

In this paper, we introduce drifted versions of the generalized counting process (GCP) with a deterministic drift and a random drift. The composition of stable subordinator with an independent inverse stable subordinator is taken as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Mostafizar Khandakar , Manisha Dhillon , Kuldeep Kumar Kataria

Gaussian processes are widely used for the analysis of spatial data due to their nonparametric flexibility and ability to quantify uncertainty, and recently developed scalable approximations have facilitated application to massive datasets.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-13 F. William Townes , Barbara E. Engelhardt

We investigate, by numerical simulation, the path probability of non dissipative mechanical systems undergoing stochastic motion. The aim is to search for the relationship between this probability and the usual mechanical action. The model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-17 T. L. Lin , R. Wang , W. P. Bi , A. El Kaabouchi , C. Pujos , F. Calvayrac , Q. A. Wang

Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) offer a principled framework for learning and inference in nonlinear dynamical systems with uncertainty quantification. However, existing GPSSMs are limited by the use of multiple independent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-11 Zhidi Lin , Ying Li , Feng Yin , Juan Maroñas , Alexandre H. Thiéry

In this paper, we study the Galton-Watson process in the random environment for the particular case when the number of the offsprings in each generation has the fractional linear generation function with random parameters. In this case, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Dan Han , Stanislav Molchanov , Yanjmaa Jutmaan

In this paper, we define a fractional negative binomial process (FNBP) by replacing the Poisson process by a fractional Poisson process (FPP) in the gamma subordinated form of the negative binomial process. First, it is shown that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-08 P. Vellaisamy , A. Maheshwari

In this article, we derive the state probabilities of different type of space- and time-fractional Poisson processes using z-transform. We work on tempered versions of time-fractional Poisson process and space-fractional Poisson processes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-03 Neha Gupta , Arun Kumar , Nikolai Leonenko

We introduce the probabilistic sequential matrix factorization (PSMF) method for factorizing time-varying and non-stationary datasets consisting of high-dimensional time-series. In particular, we consider nonlinear Gaussian state-space…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-19 Ömer Deniz Akyildiz , Gerrit J. J. van den Burg , Theodoros Damoulas , Mark F. J. Steel

This work is dedicated to simultaneous continuous-time trajectory estimation and mapping based on Gaussian Processes (GP). State-of-the-art GP-based models for Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (SLAM) are computationally efficient but…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Yermek Kapushev , Anastasia Kishkun , Gonzalo Ferrer , Evgeny Burnaev

We introduce a novel training principle for probabilistic models that is an alternative to maximum likelihood. The proposed Generative Stochastic Networks (GSN) framework is based on learning the transition operator of a Markov chain whose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-29 Guillaume Alain , Yoshua Bengio , Li Yao , Jason Yosinski , Eric Thibodeau-Laufer , Saizheng Zhang , Pascal Vincent

To offer a view into the rapidly developing theory of fractional diffusion processes we describe in some detail three topics of present interest: (i) the well-scaled passage to the limit from continuous time random walk under power law…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-18 Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi

The process $(G_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$ is referred to as a fractional Gaussian process if the first-order partial derivative of the difference between its covariance function and that of the fractional Brownian motion $(B^H_t)_{t\in[0,T ]}$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-20 Yong Chen , Ying Li

In this paper, we consider the random walk process on a kind of fractal (or transfractal) scale free networks, which also called as $(u,v)$ flowers, and we focus on the global first passage time (GFPT) and first return time (FRT). Here, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-10-27 Junhao Peng

A generator of spatio-temporal pseudo-random Gaussian fields that satisfy the "proportionality of scales" property (Tsyroulnikov, 2001) is presented. The generator is based on a third-order in time stochastic differential equation with a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-05-15 Michael Tsyrulnikov , Dmitry Gayfulin

In this manuscript we introduce numerical Gaussian process Kalman filtering (GPKF). Numerical Gaussian processes have recently been developed to simulate spatiotemporal models. The contribution of this paper is to embed numerical Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-12 Armin Küper , Steffen Waldherr

We present a novel and flexible data-driven framework for estimating the response of higher-order moments of nonlinear stochastic systems to small external perturbations. The classical Generalized Fluctuation--Dissipation Theorem (GFDT)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-28 Ludovico T. Giorgini , Fabrizio Falasca , Andre N. Souza

A generalized Gaussian process model (GGPM) is a unifying framework that encompasses many existing Gaussian process (GP) models, such as GP regression, classification, and counting. In the GGPM framework, the observation likelihood of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-28 Lifeng Shang , Antoni B. Chan

This paper is concerned with the asymptotic analysis of sojourn times of random fields with continuous sample paths. Under a very general framework we show that there is an interesting relationship between tail asymptotics of sojourn times…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-28 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Peng Liu , Zbigniew Michna

Increasingly larger data sets of processes in space and time ask for statistical models and methods that can cope with such data. We show that the solution of a stochastic advection-diffusion partial differential equation provides a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-18 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel