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Fractional Brownian motion is a Gaussian stochastic process with stationary, long-time correlated increments and is frequently used to model anomalous diffusion processes. We study numerically fractional Brownian motion confined to a finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-03-22 T. Guggenberger , G. Pagnini , T. Vojta , R. Metzler

A continuous time mixed state branching process is constructed as the scaling limits of two-type Galton-Watson processes. The process can also be obtained by the pathwise unique solution to a stochastic equation system. From the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Shukai Chen , Zenghu Li

We present a new method for estimating multivariate, second-order stationary Gaussian Random Field (GRF) models based on the Sparse Precision matrix Selection (SPS) algorithm, proposed by Davanloo et al. (2015) for estimating scalar GRF…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-12 Sam Davanloo Tajbakhsh , Necdet Serhat Aybat , Enrique del Castillo

This work aims to address the problem of long-term dynamic forecasting in complex environments where data are noisy and irregularly sampled. While recent studies have introduced some methods to improve prediction performance, these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Yuchen Wang , Hongjue Zhao , Haohong Lin , Enze Xu , Lifang He , Huajie Shao

The generalized grey Brownian motion is a time continuous self-similar with stationary increments stochastic process whose one dimensional distributions are the fundamental solutions of a stretched time fractional differential equation.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 José Luís da Silva , Mohamed Erraoui

In 1990, Jakeman (see \cite{jakeman1990statistics}) defined the binomial process as a special case of the classical birth-death process, where the probability of birth is proportional to the difference between a fixed number and the number…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Meena Sanjay Babulal , Sunil Kumar Gauttam , Aditya Maheshwari

We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-06 Edwin V. Bonilla , Karl Krauth , Amir Dezfouli

Fractional Brownian motion is a Gaussian stochastic process with long-range correlations in time; it has been shown to be a useful model of anomalous diffusion. Here, we investigate the effects of mutual interactions in an ensemble of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-15 Jonathan House , Rashad Bakhshizada , Skirmantas Janušonis , Ralf Metzler , Thomas Vojta

Fractional renewal processes as a generalization of Poisson process are already in the literature. In this paper, by introducing a new concept of generalized density function, the authors construct new fractional renewal processes in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-30 Jung Hun Han

This paper introduces a new kind of seasonal fractional autoregressive process (SFAR) driven by fractional Gaussian noise (fGn). The new model includes a standard seasonal AR model and fGn. {The estimation of the parameters of this new…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-01 Chunhao Cai , Yiwu Shang

Max-stable processes have proved to be useful for the statistical modelling of spatial extremes. Several representations of max-stable random fields have been proposed in the literature. For statistical inference it is often assumed that…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-25 Richard A. Davis , Claudia Klüppelberg , Christina Steinkohl

We propose an extension of Markov-switching generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape (MS-GAMLSS) that allows covariates to influence not only the parameters of the state-dependent distributions but also the state…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Katharina Ammann , Timo Adam , Jan-Ole Koslik

Differential equations are important mechanistic models that are integral to many scientific and engineering applications. With the abundance of available data there has been a growing interest in data-driven physics-informed models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Oliver Hamelijnck , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

New results on conditional joint probability distributions of first exit times are presented for a continuous-time stochastic process defined as the mixture of Markov jump processes moving at different speeds on the same finite state space,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-19 B. A. Surya

Gaussian processes (GPs) are frequently used in machine learning and statistics to construct powerful models. However, when employing GPs in practice, important considerations must be made, regarding the high computational burden,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-08 Karla Monterrubio-Gómez , Sara Wade

In this work, we propose a novel methodology for robustly estimating particle size distributions from optical scattering measurements using constrained Gaussian process regression. The estimation of particle size distributions is commonly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-08 Fahime Seyedheydari , Mahdi Nasiri , Marcin Mińkowski , Simo Särkkä

In this paper, we study the composition of two independent GCPs which we call the iterated generalized counting process (IGCP). Its distributional properties such as the transition probabilities, probability generating function, state…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-15 M. Dhillon , K. K. Kataria

This paper describes heavy-tailed extensions of a state-of-the-art versatile blind source separation method called fast multichannel nonnegative matrix factorization (FastMNMF) from a unified point of view. The common way of deriving such…

Sound · Computer Science 2022-05-12 Mathieu Fontaine , Kouhei Sekiguchi , Aditya Nugraha , Yoshiaki Bando , Kazuyoshi Yoshii

A physical-mathematical approach to anomalous diffusion may be based on fractional diffusion equations and related random walk models. The fundamental solutions of these equations can be interpreted as probability densities evolving in time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-05-27 Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi

The principle of stationary phase (PSP) is re-examined in the context of linear time-frequency (TF) decomposition using Gaussian, gammatone and gammachirp filters at uniform, logarithmic and cochlear spacings in frequency. This necessitates…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Bernard Mulgrew
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