English

A spatio-temporal stochastic pattern generator for simulation of uncertainties in geophysical ensemble prediction and ensemble data assimilation

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability 2018-05-15 v4 Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics Geophysics

Abstract

A generator of spatio-temporal pseudo-random Gaussian fields that satisfy the "proportionality of scales" property (Tsyroulnikov, 2001) is presented. The generator is based on a third-order in time stochastic differential equation with a pseudo-differential spatial operator defined on a limited area 2D or 3D domain in the Cartesian coordinate system. The generated pseudo-random fields are homogeneous and isotropic in spacetime (with the scaled vertical and temporal coordinates). The correlation functions in any spatio-temporal direction belong to the Mat\'ern class. The spatio-temporal correlations are non-separable. A spectral-space numerical solver is implemented and accelerated exploiting properties of real-world geophysical fields, in particular, smoothness of their spatial spectra. The generator is designed to create additive or multiplicative, or other spatio-temporal perturbations that represent uncertainties in numerical prediction models in geophysics. The program code of the generator is publicly available.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1605.02018,
  title  = {A spatio-temporal stochastic pattern generator for simulation of uncertainties in geophysical ensemble prediction and ensemble data assimilation},
  author = {Michael Tsyrulnikov and Dmitry Gayfulin},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1605.02018},
  year   = {2018}
}

Comments

39 pp