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Early estimates of the transmission potential of emerging and re-emerging infections are increasingly used to inform public health authorities on the level of risk posed by outbreaks. Existing methods to estimate the reproduction number…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-10 Gerardo Chowell , Cécile Viboud , Lone Simonsen , Seyed Moghadas

Compartmentalization of biochemical processes underlies all biological systems, from the organelle to the tissue scale. Theoretical models to study the interplay between noisy reaction dynamics and compartmentalization are sparse, and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-08 Lorenzo Duso , Christoph Zechner

We present a systematic review of some basic results on the derivation of classical epidemiological models from simple agent-based dynamics. The evolution of large populations is coupled with the dynamics of the contact distribution,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-14 Mattia Zanella

Tracking the spread of infectious disease during a pandemic has posed a great challenge to the governments and health sectors on a global scale. To facilitate informed public health decision-making, the concerned parties usually rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-05 Tejasv Bedi , Yanxun Xu , Qiwei Li

The immune response to a pathogen has two basic features. The first is the expansion of a few pathogen-specific cells to form a population large enough to control the pathogen. The second is the process of differentiation of cells from an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-02-04 Sean P Stromberg , Rustom Antia , Ilya Nemenman

We study the impact of contact heterogeneity on epidemic dynamics. A system characterized by multiple susceptible populations is considered. The description of the spread of an infectious disease is obtained through the study of a system of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-11 Andrea Medaglia , Mattia Zanella

We study an epidemic model for a constant population by taking into account four compartments of the individuals characterizing their states of health. Each individual is in one of the compartments susceptible (S); incubated - infected yet…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-20 Teo Granger , Thomas M. Michelitsch , Michael Bestehorn , Alejandro P. Riascos , Bernard A. Collet

Despite the central role of self-assembled groups in animal and human societies, statistical tools to explain their composition are limited. We introduce a statistical framework for cross-sectional observations of groups with exclusive…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-03 Marion Hoffman , Per Block , Tom A. B. Snijders

Continuum models for the spatial dynamics of growing cell populations have been widely used to investigate the mechanisms underpinning tissue development and tumour invasion. These models consist of nonlinear partial differential equations…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-15 Mark AJ Chaplain , Tommaso Lorenzi , Fiona R Macfarlane

We introduce a kinetic model that couples the movement of a population of individuals with the dynamics of a pathogen in the same population. We consider that transmission occurs when a susceptible and an infectious individual are…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-01-30 Carolina Strecht-Fernandes , Fabio A. C. C. Chalub

Epidemic models often reflect characteristic features of infectious spreading processes by coupled non-linear differential equations considering different states of health (such as Susceptible, Infected, or Recovered). This compartmental…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-01 Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Dirk Helbing

This paper deals with the derivation of a collective model of cell populations out of an individual-based description of the underlying physical particle system. By looking at the spatial distribution of cells in terms of time-evolving…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-11-12 Annachiara Colombi , Marco Scianna , Andrea Tosin

We are interested in modeling some two-level population dynamics, resulting from the interplay of ecological interactions and phenotypic variation of individuals (or hosts) and the evolution of cells (or parasites) of two types living in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-21 Sylvie Méléard , Sylvie Roelly

Consider stochastic models for the spread of an infection in a structured community, where this structured community is itself described by a random network model. Some common network models and transmission models are defined and large…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-16 Tom Britton

Discrete and Continuous Dynamics is the first in a series of articles on Network Models for Epidemiology. This project began in the Fall quarter of 2014 in my continuous modeling course. Since then, it has taken off and turned into a series…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-04 Edward Rusu

Building upon kinetic theory approaches for multi-agent systems and generalising them to scenarios where the total mass of the system is not conserved, we develop a modelling framework for phenotype-structured populations that makes it…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Emanuele Bernardi , Tommaso Lorenzi , Andrea Tosin

In this paper, we consider the infection-age-dependent Kermack--McKendrick model in which host individuals are distributed in a continuous state space. To provide a mathematical foundation for the heterogeneous model, we develop a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-21 Hisashi Inaba

We propose a theoretical framework for the study of epidemics in structured metapopulations, with heterogeneous agents, subjected to recurrent mobility patterns. We propose to represent the heterogeneity in the composition of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-15 David Soriano-Paños , Laura Lotero , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes , Alex Arenas

Infectious pathogens often propagate by superspreading, which focusses onward transmission on disproportionately few infected individuals. At the same time, infector-infectee pairs tend to have more similar transmission potentials than…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-22 Noah Silva de Leonardi , Benjamin D. Dalziel

In this work, we introduce a quantum-inspired epidemic model to study the dynamics of an infectious disease in a population divided into compartments. By treating the healthy population as a large reservoir, we construct a framework based…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-19 Fabio Bagarello , Francesco Gargano , Polina Khrennikova