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Modeling data obtained from dynamical systems has gained attention in recent years as a challenging task for machine learning models. Previous approaches assume the measurements to be distributed on a grid. However, for real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Paul Heinisch , Andrzej Dulny , Anna Krause , Andreas Hotho

Accurate probabilistic weather forecasting demands both high accuracy and efficient uncertainty quantification, challenges that overburden both ensemble numerical weather prediction (NWP) and recent machine-learning methods. We introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Yilin Zhuang , Karthik Duraisamy

In supervised learning, understanding an input's proximity to the training data can help a model decide whether it has sufficient evidence for reaching a reliable prediction. While powerful probabilistic models such as Gaussian Processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Ifigeneia Apostolopoulou , Benjamin Eysenbach , Frank Nielsen , Artur Dubrawski

Accurate forecasting of renewable generation is crucial to facilitate the integration of Renewable Energy Sources into the power system. Focusing on photovoltaic (PV) units, forecasting methods can be divided into two main categories:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Matteo Tortora , Francesco Conte , Gianluca Natrella , Paolo Soda

We propose the Fourier Adaptive Lite Diffusion Architecture (FALDA), a novel probabilistic framework for time series forecasting. First, we introduce the Diffusion Model for Residual Regression (DMRR) framework, which unifies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Xinyan Wang , Rui Dai , Kaikui Liu , Xiangxiang Chu

Diffusion language models (D-LLMs) offer parallel denoising and bidirectional context, but hallucination detection for D-LLMs remains underexplored. Prior detectors developed for auto-regressive LLMs typically rely on single-pass cues and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Arshia Hemmat , Philip Torr , Yongqiang Chen , Junchi Yu

Parallel applications with irregular and time-varying workloads often suffer from load imbalance. Dynamic load balancing techniques address this challenge by redistributing work during execution. We present a new type of distributed…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Maya Taylor , Kavitha Chandrasekar , Laxmikant V. Kale

Effective network state classification is a primary task for ensuring network security and optimizing performance. Existing deep learning models have shown considerable progress in this area. Some methods excel at analyzing the complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Yuan Gao , Xuelong Wang , Zhenguo Dong , Yong Zhang

A multivariate density forecast model based on deep learning is designed in this paper to forecast the joint cumulative distribution functions (JCDFs) of multiple security margins in power systems. Differing from existing multivariate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-10 Zichao Meng , Ye Guo , Wenjun Tang , Hongbin Sun , Wenqi Huang

Fault diagnosis plays a crucial role in maintaining the operational integrity of mechanical systems, preventing significant losses due to unexpected failures. As intelligent manufacturing and data-driven approaches evolve, Deep Learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-01 Zhongzhi Li , Rong Fan , Jingqi Tu , Jinyi Ma , Jianliang Ai , Yiqun Dong

In this paper, we introduce ProNet, an novel deep learning approach designed for multi-horizon time series forecasting, adaptively blending autoregressive (AR) and non-autoregressive (NAR) strategies. Our method involves dividing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Yang Lin

We propose DiffusionRollout, a novel selective rollout planning strategy for autoregressive diffusion models, aimed at mitigating error accumulation in long-horizon predictions of physical systems governed by partial differential equations…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Seungwoo Yoo , Juil Koo , Daehyeon Choi , Minhyuk Sung

Real-time energy forecasting on edge devices represents a major challenge for smart grid optimization and intelligent buildings. We present LAD-BNet (Lag-Aware Dual-Branch Network), an innovative neural architecture optimized for edge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Jean-Philippe Lignier

The growing penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) significantly changes typical load curves in smart grids. With the development of fast charging technology, the volatility of EV charging demand is increasing, which requires additional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-05 Kedi Zheng , Hanwei Xu , Zeyang Long , Yi Wang , Qixin Chen

Global leaders and policymakers are unified in their unequivocal commitment to decarbonization efforts in support of Net-Zero agreements. District Heating Systems (DHS), while contributing to carbon emissions due to the continued reliance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Adithya Ramachandran , Thorkil Flensmark B. Neergaard , Andreas Maier , Siming Bayer

While distribution networks (DNs) turn from consumers to active and responsive intelligent DNs, the question of how to represent them in large-scale transmission network (TN) studies is still under investigation. The standard approach that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-11 Johanna Vorwerk , Thierry Zufferey , Petros Aristidou , Gabriela Hug

We reinvigorate maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) for macroeconomic density forecasting through a novel neural network architecture with dedicated mean and variance hemispheres. Our architecture features several key ingredients making MLE…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-24 Philippe Goulet Coulombe , Mikael Frenette , Karin Klieber

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is hampered by the challenge of modeling complex dependencies that span multiple temporal scales and frequency resolutions. Existing methods, including Transformer and MLP-based models, often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Qianyang Li , Xingjun Zhang , Shaoxun Wang , Jia Wei

Domain Generalized Semantic Segmentation (DGSS) is a critical yet challenging task, as domain shifts in unseen environments can severely compromise model performance. While recent studies enhance feature alignment by projecting features…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-30 I-Hsiang Chen , Hua-En Chang , Wei-Ting Chen , Jenq-Neng Hwang , Sy-Yen Kuo

Diffusion and flow-based models have enabled significant progress in generation tasks across various modalities and have recently found applications in predictive learning. However, unlike typical generation tasks that encourage sample…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Yu Zhang , Xingzhuo Guo , Haoran Xu , Jialong Wu , Mingsheng Long