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Short-term load forecasting is of paramount importance in the efficient operation and planning of power systems, given its inherent non-linear and dynamic nature. Recent strides in deep learning have shown promise in addressing this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Paapa Kwesi Quansah , Edwin Kwesi Ansah Tenkorang

As an important part of the power system, power load forecasting directly affects the national economy. The data shows that improving the load forecasting accuracy by 0.01% can save millions of dollars for the power industry. Therefore,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-01 Zhifang Liao , Haihui Pan , Qi Zeng , Xiaoping Fan , Yan Zhang , Song Yu

Deep-learning-based data-driven forecasting methods have produced impressive results for traffic forecasting. A major limitation of these methods, however, is that they provide forecasts without estimates of uncertainty, which are critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-07 Tanwi Mallick , Prasanna Balaprakash , Jane Macfarlane

Probabilistic forecasting is not only a way to add more information to a prediction of the future, but it also builds on weaknesses in point prediction. Sudden changes in a time series can still be captured by a cumulative distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Niklas Erdmann , Lars Bentsen , Roy Stenbro , Heine Nygard Riise , Narada Dilp Warakagoda , Paal E. Engelstad

Diffusion models have recently shown promise in time series forecasting, particularly for probabilistic predictions. However, they often fail to achieve state-of-the-art point estimation performance compared to regression-based methods.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Hang Ding , Xue Wang , Tian Zhou , Tao Yao

Diffusion models demonstrate remarkable capabilities in capturing complex data distributions and have achieved compelling results in many generative tasks. While they have recently been extended to dense prediction tasks such as depth…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Haorui Ji , Taojun Lin , Hongdong Li

Estimating the uncertainty in deep neural network predictions is crucial for many real-world applications. A common approach to model uncertainty is to choose a parametric distribution and fit the data to it using maximum likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Ali Harakeh , Jordan Hu , Naiqing Guan , Steven L. Waslander , Liam Paull

Autonomous vehicles (AVs) are expected to revolutionize transportation by improving efficiency and safety. Their success relies on 3D vision systems that effectively sense the environment and detect traffic agents. Among sensors AVs use to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Amirhesam Aghanouri , Cristina Olaverri-Monreal

Time series forecasting remains a central challenge problem in almost all scientific disciplines. We introduce a novel load forecasting method in which observed dynamics are modeled as a forced linear system using Dynamic Mode Decomposition…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-13 Daniel Dylewsky , David Barajas-Solano , Tong Ma , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky , J. Nathan Kutz

Distribution Load Estimation (DLE) is a key function of Distribution Management System (DMS). In this paper a novel method for presenting historical load data in the form of Representative Load Curves (RLC) is presented. Adaptive…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-22 Chiebuka Eyisi , Saeed Lotfifard

The task of multi-channel time series forecasting is ubiquitous in numerous fields such as finance, supply chain management, and energy planning. It is critical to effectively capture complex dynamic dependencies within and between channels…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Lei Gao , Hengda Bao , Jingfei Fang , Guangzheng Wu , Weihua Zhou , Yun Zhou

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

Forecasting over graph-structured sensor networks demands models that capture both deterministic spatial trends and stochastic variability, while remaining efficient enough for repeated inference as new observations arrive. We propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Hanlin Dong , Arian Prabowo , Hao Xue , Ao Shuang , Tianyi Zhou , Flora D. Salim

Diffusion model deployment has been suffering from high energy consumption and inference latency despite its superior performance in visual generation tasks. Dynamic voltage and frequency scaling (DVFS) offers a promising solution to…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Jinqi Wen , Tong Xie , Runsheng Wang , Meng Li

Explainability in time series forecasting is essential for improving model transparency and supporting informed decision-making. In this work, we present CrossScaleNet, an innovative architecture that combines a patch-based cross-attention…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Ibrahim Delibasoglu , Fredrik Heintz

Power demand forecasting is a critical task for achieving efficiency and reliability in power grid operation. Accurate forecasting allows grid operators to better maintain the balance of supply and demand as well as to optimize operational…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Yao Cheng , Chang Xu , Daisuke Mashima , Vrizlynn L. L. Thing , Yongdong Wu

The success of deep learning techniques over the last decades has opened up a new avenue of research for weather forecasting. Here, we take the novel approach of using a neural network to predict full probability density functions at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-05 Mariana Clare , Omar Jamil , Cyril Morcrette

Accurate electrical load forecasting is crucial for optimizing power system operations, planning, and management. As power systems become increasingly complex, traditional forecasting methods may fail to capture the intricate patterns and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-26 Elias Raffoul , Mingjian Tuo , Cunzhi Zhao , Tianxia Zhao , Meng Ling , Xingpeng Li

Diffusion models have emerged as a powerful method in various applications. However, their application to Short-Term Electricity Load Forecasting (STELF) -- a typical scenario in energy systems -- remains largely unexplored. Considering the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Qi Dong , Rubing Huang , Ling Zhou , Dave Towey , Jinyu Tian , Jianzhou Wang

This paper conducts research on the short-term electric load forecast method under the background of big data. It builds a new electric load forecast model based on Deep Auto-Encoder Networks (DAENs), which takes into account…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-23 Xin Shi