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Recent advances have introduced diffusion models for probabilistic streamflow forecasting, demonstrating strong early flood-warning skill. However, current implementations rely on recurrent Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) backbones and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Yihan Wang , Annan Yu , Lujun Zhang , Charuleka Varadharajan , N. Benjamin Erichson

Climate models (CM) are used to evaluate the impact of climate change on the risk of floods and strong precipitation events. However, these numerical simulators have difficulties representing precipitation events accurately, mainly due to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Rilwan Adewoyin , Peter Dueben , Peter Watson , Yulan He , Ritabrata Dutta

Weather radar is the primary tool used by forecasters to detect and warn for tornadoes in near-real time. In order to assist forecasters in warning the public, several algorithms have been developed to automatically detect tornadic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-31 Mark S. Veillette , James M. Kurdzo , Phillip M. Stepanian , John Y. N. Cho , Siddharth Samsi , Joseph McDonald

Multivariate time series forecasting is an important machine learning problem across many domains, including predictions of solar plant energy output, electricity consumption, and traffic jam situation. Temporal data arise in these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-20 Guokun Lai , Wei-Cheng Chang , Yiming Yang , Hanxiao Liu

The deepening penetration of renewable resources into power systems entails great difficulties that have not been surmounted satisfactorily. An issue that merits special attention is the short-term planning of power systems under net load…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Ogun Yurdakul , Fikret Sivrikaya , Sahin Albayrak

In this work, we propose \texttt{TimeGrad}, an autoregressive model for multivariate probabilistic time series forecasting which samples from the data distribution at each time step by estimating its gradient. To this end, we use diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Kashif Rasul , Calvin Seward , Ingmar Schuster , Roland Vollgraf

Contemporary power grids are being challenged by rapid voltage fluctuations that are caused by large-scale deployment of renewable generation, electric vehicles, and demand response programs. In this context, monitoring the grid's operating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Liang Zhang , Gang Wang , Georgios B. Giannakis

Reducing traffic accidents is an important public safety challenge, therefore, accident analysis and prediction has been a topic of much research over the past few decades. Using small-scale datasets with limited coverage, being dependent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Sobhan Moosavi , Mohammad Hossein Samavatian , Srinivasan Parthasarathy , Radu Teodorescu , Rajiv Ramnath

Time-of-Flight (ToF) sensors efficiently capture scene depth, but the nonlinear depth construction procedure often results in extremely large noise variance or even invalid areas. Recent methods based on deep neural networks (DNNs) achieve…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Changyong He , Jin Zeng , Jiawei Zhang , Jiajie Guo

This paper proposes a nonparametric multivariate density forecast model based on deep learning. It not only offers the whole marginal distribution of each random variable in forecasting targets, but also reveals the future correlation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-28 Zichao Meng , Ye Guo , Wenjun Tang , Hongbin Sun

Predicting the trajectories of road agents is essential for autonomous driving systems. The recent mainstream methods follow a static paradigm, which predicts the future trajectory by using a fixed duration of historical frames. These…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Xiaolong Tang , Meina Kan , Shiguang Shan , Zhilong Ji , Jinfeng Bai , Xilin Chen

Most power systems' approaches are currently tending towards stochastic and probabilistic methods due to the high variability of renewable sources and the stochastic nature of loads. Conventional power flow (PF) approaches such as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-17 Deepak Tiwari , Mehdi Jabbari Zideh , Veeru Talreja , Vishal Verma , Sarika K. Solanki , Jignesh Solanki

Recently, there has been an increased interest in the practical problem of learning multiple dense scene understanding tasks from partially annotated data, where each training sample is only labeled for a subset of the tasks. The missing of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Hanrong Ye , Dan Xu

Traffic flow forecasting is a critical spatio-temporal data mining task with wide-ranging applications in intelligent route planning and dynamic traffic management. Recent advancements in deep learning, particularly through Graph Neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Weiyang Kong , Kaiqi Wu , Sen Zhang , Yubao Liu

We propose FedNET, a proactive and privacy-preserving framework for early identification of high-risk links in large-scale communication networks, that leverages a distributed multi-step traffic forecasting method. FedNET employs Federated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Saroj Kumar Panda , Basabdatta Palit , Sadananda Behera

Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncertainty quantification. While diffusion-based generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Carlo Kneissl , Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

Accurate load forecasting is critical for reliable and efficient planning and operation of electric power grids. In this paper, we propose a unifying deep learning framework for load forecasting, which includes time-varying feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-10 Jing Xiong , Yu Zhang

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative frameworks by progressively adding noise to data through a forward process and then reversing this process to generate realistic samples. While these models have achieved strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Xingzhuo Guo , Yu Zhang , Baixu Chen , Haoran Xu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Existing core-set selection methods predominantly rely on heuristic scoring signals such as training dynamics or model uncertainty, lacking explicit modeling of data likelihood. This omission may hinder the constructed subset from capturing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Mingyang Chen , Jiawei Du , Bo Huang , Yi Wang , Xiaobo Zhang , Wei Wang
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