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This paper focuses on a stochastic system identification problem: given time series observations of a stochastic differential equation (SDE) driven by L\'{e}vy $\alpha$-stable noise, estimate the SDE's drift field. For $\alpha$ in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-08 Harish S. Bhat

This paper addresses the estimation problem of an unknown drift parameter matrix for a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in a multi-dimensional setting. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel approach based on rough path theory that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Zhongmin Qian , Xingcheng Xu

Estimating parameters of drift and diffusion coefficients for multidimensional stochastic delay equations with small noise are considered. The delay structure is written as an integral form with respect to a delay measure. Our contrast…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Hiroki Nemoto , Yasutaka Shimizu

We study stochastic volatility models in which the volatility process is a positive continuous function of a continuous Volterra stochastic process. We state some pathwise large deviation principles for the scaled log-price.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-31 M. Cellupica , B. Pacchiarotti

An approximate maximum likelihood method of estimation of diffusion parameters $(\vartheta,\sigma)$ based on discrete observations of a diffusion $X$ along fixed time-interval $[0,T]$ and Euler approximation of integrals is analyzed. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Miljenko Huzak

In this paper, we consider parameter estimation for stochastic differential equations driven by Wiener processes and compound Poisson processes. We assume unknown parameters corresponding to coefficients of the drift term, diffusion term,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Shuntaro Suzuki , Takaaki Wakamatsu , Yasutaka Shimizu

In this paper, we consider the Whittle estimator for the parameters of a stationary solution of a continuous-time linear state space model sampled at low frequencies. In our context the driving process is a L\'evy process which allows…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-24 Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Celeste Mayer

We consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of the drift and diffusion coefficients of a Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE), based on $n$ independent replicates $\left\{X_i(t)\::\: t\in [0,1]\right\}_{1 \leq i \leq n}$, observed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Neda Mohammadi , Leonardo Santoro , Victor M. Panaretos

This paper proposes consistent and asymptotically Gaussian estimators for the drift, the diffusion coefficient and the Hurst exponent of the discretely observed fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. For the estimation of the drift, the…

Computation · Statistics 2011-12-19 Alexandre Brouste , Stefano M. Iacus

We consider the problem of asymptotically efficient estimation of drift parameters of the ergodic fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process under continuous observations when the Hurst parameter $H<1/2$ and the mean of its stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Kohei Chiba , Tetsuya Takabatake

Volterra processes appear in several applications ranging from turbulence to energy finance where they are used in the modelling of e.g. temperatures and wind and the related financial derivatives. Volterra processes are in general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-24 Giulia di Nunno , Andrea Fiacco , Erik Hove Karlsen

Fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of the second kind $(\text{fOU}_{2})$ is solution of the Langevin equation $\mathrm{d}X_t = -\theta X_t\,\mathrm{d}t+\mathrm{d}Y_t^{(1)}, \ \theta >0$ with Gaussian driving noise $ Y_t^{(1)} := \int^t_0…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-12 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Lauri Viitasaari

The aim of this paper is to provide a comprehensive analysis of the path-dependent Stochastic Volterra Integral Equations (SVIEs), in which both the drift and the diffusion coefficients are allowed to depend on the whole trajectory of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Emmanuel Gnabeyeu , Gilles Pagès

We will consider the following stochastic differential equation (SDE): \begin{equation} X_t=X_0+\int_0^tb(X_s,\theta_0)ds+\sigma B_t,~~~t\in(0,T], \end{equation} where $\{B_t\}_{t\ge 0}$ is a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-24 Yasutaka Shimizu , Shohei Nakajima

We propose a new theoretical framework that exploits convolution kernels to transform a Volterra-type path-dependent (non-Markovian) stochastic process into a standard (Markovian) diffusion process. Remarkably, it is also possible to go…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-10 Ofelia Bonesini , Giorgia Callegaro , Martino Grasselli , Gilles Pagès

We study the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameters of a stochastic differential equation, with both drift and diffusion coefficients constant on the positive and negative axis, yet discontinuous at zero. This threshold…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-22 Antoine Lejay , Paolo Pigato

We consider a 1-dimensional diffusion process X with jumps. The particularity of this model relies in the jumps which are driven by a multidimensional Hawkes process denoted N. This article is dedicated to the study of a nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-05 Charlotte Dion , Sarah Lemler

In this paper we investigate two numerical schemes for the simulation of stochastic Volterra equations driven by space--time L\'evy noise of pure-jump type. The first one is based on truncating the small jumps of the noise, while the second…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-19 Bohan Chen , Carsten Chong , Claudia Klüppelberg

In this paper we consider the drift estimation problem for a general differential equation driven by an additive multidimensional fractional Brownian motion, under ergodic assumptions on the drift coefficient. Our estimation procedure is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Fabien Panloup , Samy Tindel , Maylis Varvenne

A truncated sequential procedure is constructed for estimating the drift coefficient at a given state point based on discrete data of ergodic diffusion process. A nonasymptotic upper bound is obtained for a pointwise absolute error risk.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 L. I. Galtchouk , S. M. Pergamenshchikov