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Short-term probabilistic wind power forecasting can provide critical quantified uncertainty information of wind generation for power system operation and control. As the complicated characteristics of wind power prediction error, it would…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-14 You Lin , Ming Yang , Can Wan , Jianhui Wang , Yonghua Song

This paper presents a method for probabilistic wind power forecasting that quantifies and integrates uncertainties from weather forecasts and weather-to-power conversion. By addressing both uncertainty sources, the method achieves…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-18 Gabriel Dantas , Jethro Browell

Detection of thunderstorms is important to the wind hazard community to better understand extreme winds field characteristics and associated wind induced load effects on structures. This paper contributes to this effort by proposing a new…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-12-02 Monica Arul , Ahsan Kareem

Accurate real-time wind vector estimation is essential for enhancing the safety, navigation accuracy, and energy efficiency of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). Traditional approaches rely on external sensors or simplify vehicle dynamics,…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Haowen Yu , Na Fan , Xing Liu , Ximin Lyu

Integrated wind-solar-wave marine energy systems hold broad promise for supplying clean electricity in offshore and coastal regions. By leveraging the spatiotemporal complementarity of multiple resources, such systems can effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Baoyi Xie , Shuiling Shi , Wenqi Liu

The prediction of wind speed is very important when dealing with the production of energy through wind turbines. In this paper, we show a new nonparametric model, based on semi-Markov chains, to predict wind speed. Particularly we use an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-12-16 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Flavio Prattico

The world is moving towards clean and renewable energy sources, such as wind energy, in an attempt to reduce greenhouse gas emissions that contribute to global warming. To enhance the analysis and storage of wind data, we introduce a deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Alif Bin Abdul Qayyum , Xihaier Luo , Nathan M. Urban , Xiaoning Qian , Byung-Jun Yoon

In this article we present an approach that enables joint wind speed and wind power forecasts for a wind park. We combine a multivariate seasonal time varying threshold autoregressive moving average (TVARMA) model with a power threshold…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-03 Florian Ziel , Carsten Croonenbroeck , Daniel Ambach

Randomization-based Machine Learning methods for prediction are currently a hot topic in Artificial Intelligence, due to their excellent performance in many prediction problems, with a bounded computation time. The application of…

Wind energy resource quantification, air pollution monitoring, and weather forecasting all rely on rapid, accurate measurement of local wind conditions. Visual observations of the effects of wind---the swaying of trees and flapping of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-27 Jennifer L Cardona , Michael F Howland , John O Dabiri

This paper suggests leveraging reactive power potential (RPP) embedded in wind farms to improve power system operational safety and optimality. First, three typical RPP provision approaches are analyzed and a two-stage robust linear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-12 Yu Zhou , Zhengshuo Li

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

Successful development of wind farms relies on the optimal siting of wind turbines to maximize the power capacity under stochastic wind conditions and wake losses caused by neighboring turbines. This paper presents a novel method to quickly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-19 Aditya Dhoot , Enrico G. A. Antonini , David A. Romero , Cristina H. Amon

Radar Wind Profilers (RWP) are well-established instruments for the probing of the atmospheric boundary layer, with the immense advantage of long-range and all-weather operation capability. One of their main limitations, however, is a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-07 Baptiste Domps , Julien Marmain , Charles-Antoine Guérin

This paper proposes an image-based algorithm for detecting and cleaning the wind turbine abnormal data based on wind power curve (WPC) images. The abnormal data are categorized into three types, negative points, scattered points, and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-18 Huan Long , Linwei Sang , Zaijun Wu , Wei Gu

Geometric deep learning has gained tremendous attention in both academia and industry due to its inherent capability of representing arbitrary structures. Due to exponential increase in interest towards renewable sources of energy,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Neetesh Rathore , Pradeep Rathore , Arghya Basak , Sri Harsha Nistala , Venkataramana Runkana

Renewable energy generation is of utmost importance for global decarbonization. Forecasting renewable energies, particularly wind energy, is challenging due to the inherent uncertainty in wind energy generation, which depends on weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Lucas English , Mahdi Abolghasemi

Recent studies indicate that the effects of inter-annual climate-based variability in power system planning are significant and that long samples of demand & weather data (spanning multiple decades) should be considered. At the same time,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-30 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

Accurate short-term wind speed forecasting is needed for the rapid development and efficient operation of wind energy resources. This is, however, a very challenging problem. Although on the large scale, the wind speed is related to…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-08 Xinxin Zhu , Kenneth P. Bowman , Marc G. Genton

Accurate forecasting is critical for reliable power grid operations, particularly as the share of renewable generation, such as wind and solar, continues to grow. Given the inherent uncertainty and variability in renewable generation,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-20 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck