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Deep neural networks (DNNs) are receiving increasing attention in wind power forecasting due to their ability to effectively capture complex patterns in wind data. However, their forecasted errors are severely limited by the local optimal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-27 Wenlong Liao , Fernando Porte-Agel , Jiannong Fang , Birgitte Bak-Jensen , Zhe Yang , Gonghao Zhang

The prediction of wind speed is one of the most important aspects when dealing with renewable energy. In this paper we show a new nonparametric model, based on semi-Markov chains, to predict wind speed. Particularly we use an indexed…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-15 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Flavio Prattico

Accurate short-term wind speed forecasting is essential for large-scale integration of wind power generation. However, the seasonal and stochastic characteristics of wind speed make forecasting a challenging task. This study uses a new…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-02-24 Mehdi Neshat , Meysam Majidi Nezhad , Ehsan Abbasnejad , Lina Bertling Tjernberg , Davide Astiaso Garcia , Bradley Alexander , Markus Wagner

Due to the uncertainty of distributed wind generations (DWGs), a better understanding of the probability distributions (PD) of their wind power forecast errors (WPFEs) can help market participants (MPs) who own DWGs perform better during…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Mengshuo Jia , Chen Shen , Zhaojian Wang

In this manuscript we continue the thread of [M. Chertkov, F. Pan, M. Stepanov, Predicting Failures in Power Grids: The Case of Static Overloads, IEEE Smart Grid 2011] and suggest a new algorithm discovering most probable extreme stochastic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2011-09-08 Michael Chertkov , Mikhail Stepanov , Feng Pan , Ross Baldick

Wind is one kind of high-efficient, environmentally-friendly and cost-effective energy source. Wind power, as one of the largest renewable energy in the world, has been playing a more and more important role in supplying electricity. Though…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Wei Fan , Yanjie Fu , Shun Zheng , Jiang Bian , Yuanchun Zhou , Hui Xiong

Probabilistic forecasts of wind speed are important for a wide range of applications, ranging from operational decision making in connection with wind power generation to storm warnings, ship routing and aviation. We present a statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-06 Michael Scheuerer , David Möller

With industrial and technological development and the increasing demand for electric power, wind energy has gradually become the fastest-growing and most environmentally friendly new energy source. Nevertheless, wind power generation is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Yasmeen Aldossary , Nabil Hewahi , Abdulla Alasaadi

Diagnosis of ice accretion on wind turbine blades is all the time a hard nut to crack in condition monitoring of wind farms. Existing methods focus on mechanism analysis of icing process, deviation degree analysis of feature engineering.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Wenqian Jiang , Junyang Jin

The energy market relies on forecasting capabilities of both demand and power generation that need to be kept in dynamic balance. Today, when it comes to renewable energy generation, such decisions are increasingly made in a liberalized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Odin Foldvik Eikeland , Finn Dag Hovem , Tom Eirik Olsen , Matteo Chiesa , Filippo Maria Bianchi

Wind turbines often work under complex conditions which result in performance degradation. Accurate performance degradation monitoring is essential to ensure the reliable operation of wind turbines and reduce the maintenance costs. Wind…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-07 Peng Wang , Yanting Li , Fugee Tsung

This paper presents a new active power control algorithm designed to maximize the power reserve of the individual turbines in a farm, in order to improve the tracking accuracy of a power reference signal. The control architecture is based…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-11 Simone Tamaro , Carlo L. Bottasso

Wind energy plays an increasing role in the supply of energy world-wide. The energy output of a wind farm is highly dependent on the weather condition present at the wind farm. If the output can be predicted more accurately, energy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-09-12 Katya Vladislavleva , Tobias Friedrich , Frank Neumann , Markus Wagner

Wind energy resource assessment typically requires numerical models, but such models are too computationally intensive to consider multi-year timescales. Increasingly, unsupervised machine learning techniques are used to identify a small…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-14 Mariana C A Clare , Simon C Warder , Robert Neal , B Bhaskaran , Matthew D Piggott

Wind speed modelling and prediction has been gaining importance because of its significant roles in various stages of wind energy management. In this paper, we propose a hybrid model, based on wavelet transform to improve the accuracy of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-30 G. V. Drisya , K. Satheesh Kumar

Different machine learning (ML) models are trained on SCADA and meteorological data collected at an onshore wind farm and then assessed in terms of fidelity and accuracy for predictions of wind speed, turbulence intensity, and power capture…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-12-06 C. Moss , R. Maulik , G. V. Iungo

The increasing integration of renewable energy, particularly offshore wind, introduces significant uncertainty into hybrid AC-HVDC systems due to forecast errors and power fluctuations. Conventional control strategies typically rely on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-30 Hongjin Du , Rahul Rane , Weijie Xia , Pedro P. Vergara , Aleksandra Lekić

In the last decades wind power became the second largest energy source in the EU covering 16% of its electricity demand. However, due to its volatility, accurate short range wind power predictions are required for successful integration of…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-22 Sándor Baran , Ágnes Baran

Many wind speed forecasting approaches have been proposed in literature. In this paper a new statistical approach for jointly predicting wind speed, wind direction and air pressure is introduced. The wind direction and the air pressure are…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-14 Daniel Ambach , Wolfgang Schmid

Decades of in-situ solar wind measurements have clearly established the variation of solar wind physical parameters. These variable parameters have been used to classify the solar wind magnetized plasma into different types leading to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-17 Tom Narock , Sanchita Pal , Aryana Arsham , Ayris Narock , Teresa Nieves-Chinchilla
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