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An approach to build Probabilistic Arithmetic in which initial values of all correlated random variables are known, but with varying degrees of accuracy. As a result of the proposed Probabilistic Arithmetic operations, variable values,…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2012-05-23 Mikhail Luboschinsky

We study a matrix completion problem where both the ground truth $R$ matrix and the unknown sampling distribution $P$ over observed entries are low-rank matrices, and \textit{share a common subspace}. We assume that a large amount $M$ of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Antoine Ledent , Mun Chong Soo , Nong Minh Hieu

We introduce an alternative closed form lower bound on the Gaussian process ($\mathcal{GP}$) likelihood based on the R\'enyi $\alpha$-divergence. This new lower bound can be viewed as a convex combination of the Nystr\"om approximation and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-04 Xubo Yue , Raed Kontar

Bayesian posterior distributions are widely used for inference, but their dependence on a statistical model creates some challenges. In particular, there may be lots of nuisance parameters that require prior distributions and posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Nicholas Syring , Ryan Martin

Gibbs-preserving operations have been studied as one of the standard free processes in quantum thermodynamics. Although they admit a simple mathematical structure, their operational significance has been unclear due to the potential hidden…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-05-13 Hiroyasu Tajima , Ryuji Takagi

We present a new algorithm for domain adaptation improving upon a discrepancy minimization algorithm previously shown to outperform a number of algorithms for this task. Unlike many previous algorithms for domain adaptation, our algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-24 Corinna Cortes , Mehryar Mohri , Andres Muñoz Medina

We consider Ising mixed $p$-spin glasses at high-temperature and without external field, and study the problem of sampling from the Gibbs distribution $\mu$ in polynomial time. We develop a new sampling algorithm with complexity of the same…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Ahmed El Alaoui , Andrea Montanari , Mark Sellke

Consider a family of distributions $\{\pi_{\beta}\}$ where $X\sim\pi_{\beta}$ means that $\mathbb{P}(X=x)=\exp(-\beta H(x))/Z(\beta)$. Here $Z(\beta)$ is the proper normalizing constant, equal to $\sum_x\exp(-\beta H(x))$. Then…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Mark Huber

We give a polynomial-time algorithm to sample from the Gibbs measure of the Sherrington-Kirkpatrick model with negligible total-variation distance (TVD) error up to inverse temperature $\beta < 1/2$. Prior work obtained TVD error guarantees…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Ewan Davies , Holden Lee , Juspreet Singh Sandhu , Jonathan Shi

The gaussian spread regression model for the calibration of site specific ensemble temperature forecasts depends on the apparently restrictive assumption that the uncertainty around temperature forecasts is normally distributed. We…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Stephen Jewson

Gibbs samplers are popular algorithms to approximate posterior distributions arising from Bayesian hierarchical models. Despite their popularity and good empirical performances, however, there are still relatively few quantitative results…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-31 Filippo Ascolani , Giacomo Zanella

Uncertainty quantification in reinforcement learning can greatly improve exploration and robustness. Approximate Bayesian approaches have recently been popularized to quantify uncertainty in model-free algorithms. However, so far the focus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-01 Pascal R. van der Vaart , Neil Yorke-Smith , Matthijs T. J. Spaan

The present paper aims at developing a theory of computation of crystalline defects at finite temperature. In a one-dimensional setting we introduce Gibbs distributions corresponding to such defects and rigorously establish their asymptotic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-09-22 Alexander V. Shapeev , Mitchell Luskin

A central problem in computational statistics is to convert a procedure for sampling combinatorial from an objects into a procedure for counting those objects, and vice versa. Weconsider sampling problems coming from *Gibbs distributions*,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 David G. Harris , Vladimir Kolmogorov

One of the basic principles of Approximation Theory is that the quality of approximations increase with the smoothness of the function to be approximated. Functions that are smooth in certain subdomains will have good approximations in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-12-23 Licia Lenarduzzi , Robert Schaback

We recapitulate the Bayesian formulation of neural network based classifiers and show that, while sampling from the posterior does indeed lead to better generalisation than is obtained by standard optimisation of the cost function, even…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-09 Robert J. N. Baldock , Nicola Marzari

We provide a new information-theoretic generalization error bound that is exactly tight (i.e., matching even the constant) for the canonical quadratic Gaussian (location) problem. Most existing bounds are order-wise loose in this setting,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Ruida Zhou , Chao Tian , Tie Liu

Languages for open-universe probabilistic models (OUPMs) can represent situations with an unknown number of objects and iden- tity uncertainty. While such cases arise in a wide range of important real-world appli- cations, existing general…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Nimar S. Arora , Rodrigo de Salvo Braz , Erik B. Sudderth , Stuart Russell

Despite their overwhelming capacity to overfit, deep learning architectures tend to generalize relatively well to unseen data, allowing them to be deployed in practice. However, explaining why this is the case is still an open area of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-15 Laurent Dinh , Razvan Pascanu , Samy Bengio , Yoshua Bengio

Exponential generalization bounds with near-tight rates have recently been established for uniformly stable learning algorithms. The notion of uniform stability, however, is stringent in the sense that it is invariant to the data-generating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-09 Xiao-Tong Yuan , Ping Li