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We propose a novel computationally low-cost method for estimating a general predictive measure of generalised Bayesian inference. The proposed method utilises posterior covariance and provides estimators of the Gibbs and the plugin…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-14 Yukito Iba , Keisuke Yano

The Gaussian theory of errors has been generalized to situations, where the Gaussian distribution and, hence, the Gaussian rules of error propagation are inadequate. The generalizations are based on Bayes' theorem and a suitable measure.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Hanns L. Harney

Bayesian inference provides an attractive online-learning framework to analyze sequential data, and offers generalization guarantees which hold even with model mismatch and adversaries. Unfortunately, exact Bayesian inference is rarely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-03 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif , Pierre Alquier , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

We present a new family of information-theoretic generalization bounds within the framework of conditional mutual information (CMI). Most of our results are established based on the leave-$m$-out (L$m$O) cross-validation error, with $m$…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Yang Lu , Matthias Frey , Margreta Kuijper , Jingge Zhu

The Markov property entails the conditional independence structure inherent in Gibbs distributions for general classical Hamiltonians, a feature that plays a crucial role in inference, mixing time analysis, and algorithm design. However,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-04 Chi-Fang Chen , Cambyse Rouzé

The ability of machine learning (ML) algorithms to generalize well to unseen data has been studied through the lens of information theory, by bounding the generalization error with the input-output mutual information (MI), i.e., the MI…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-07 Kimia Nadjahi , Kristjan Greenewald , Rickard Brüel Gabrielsson , Justin Solomon

Existing guarantees in terms of rigorous upper bounds on the generalization error for the original random forest algorithm, one of the most frequently used machine learning methods, are unsatisfying. We discuss and evaluate various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Stephan Sloth Lorenzen , Christian Igel , Yevgeny Seldin

We derive generalization bounds for learning algorithms based on their robustness: the property that if a testing sample is "similar" to a training sample, then the testing error is close to the training error. This provides a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Huan Xu , Shie Mannor

We consider the problem of hypothesis testing for discrete distributions. In the standard model, where we have sample access to an underlying distribution $p$, extensive research has established optimal bounds for uniformity testing,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Piotr Indyk , Ronitt Rubinfeld , Sandeep Silwal

We present a unified information-theoretic framework elucidating the interplay between stability, privacy, and the generalization performance of quantum learning algorithms. We establish a bound on the expected generalization error in terms…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-02-06 Ayanava Dasgupta , Naqueeb Ahmad Warsi , Masahito Hayashi

We derive a tight generalization bound for quantum machine learning that is applicable to a wide range of supervised tasks, data, and models. Our bound is both efficiently computable and free of big-O notation. Furthermore, we point out…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-10-29 Xin Wang , Rebing Wu

In this paper, we establish novel data-dependent upper bounds on the generalization error through the lens of a "variable-size compressibility" framework that we introduce newly here. In this framework, the generalization error of an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-12 Milad Sefidgaran , Abdellatif Zaidi

Data-driven algorithms can adapt their internal structure or parameters to inputs from unknown application-specific distributions, by learning from a training sample of inputs. Several recent works have applied this approach to problems in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Peter Bartlett , Piotr Indyk , Tal Wagner

We analyze the connection between minimizers with good generalizing properties and high local entropy regions of a threshold-linear classifier in Gaussian mixtures with the mean squared error loss function. We show that there exist…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Carlo Baldassi , Enrico M. Malatesta , Matteo Negri , Riccardo Zecchina

We propose data-dependent uniform generalization bounds by approaching the problem from a PAC-Bayesian perspective. We first apply the PAC-Bayesian framework on "random sets" in a rigorous way, where the training algorithm is assumed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-11 Benjamin Dupuis , Paul Viallard , George Deligiannidis , Umut Simsekli

An energy efficient use of large scale sensor networks necessitates activating a subset of possible sensors for estimation at a fusion center. The problem is inherently combinatorial; to this end, a set of iterative, randomized algorithms…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-09-13 Arpan Chattopadhyay , Urbashi Mitra

The Discrete Gaussian model is the lattice Gaussian free field conditioned to be integer-valued. In two dimensions, at sufficiently high temperature, we show that its macroscopic scaling limit on the torus is a multiple of the Gaussian free…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-11 Roland Bauerschmidt , Jiwoon Park , Pierre-François Rodriguez

This paper studies the relationship between generalization and privacy preservation in iterative learning algorithms by two sequential steps. We first establish an alignment between generalization and privacy preservation for any learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-10 Fengxiang He , Bohan Wang , Dacheng Tao

Loss-based updating, including generalized Bayes, Gibbs, and quasi-posteriors, replaces likelihoods by a user-chosen loss and produces a posterior-like distribution via exponential tilt. We give a decision-theoretic characterization that…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Kenichiro McAlinn , Kōsaku Takanashi

We introduce a classical algorithm to approximate the free energy of local, translation-invariant, one-dimensional quantum systems in the thermodynamic limit of infinite chain size. While the ground state problem (i.e., the free energy at…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-07-04 Hamza Fawzi , Omar Fawzi , Samuel O. Scalet
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