English
Related papers

Related papers: Uniform mean estimation for monotonic processes

200 papers

We provide an empirical process theory for locally stationary processes over nonsmooth function classes. An important novelty over other approaches is the use of the flexible functional dependence measure to quantify dependence. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Nathawut Phandoidaen , Stefan Richter

Assessing goodness of fit to a given distribution plays an important role in computational statistics. The Probability integral transformation (PIT) can be used to convert the question of whether a given sample originates from a reference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-22 Teemu Säilynoja , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

We introduce an empirical functional $\Psi$ that is an optimal uniform mean estimator: Let $F\subset L_2(\mu)$ be a class of mean zero functions, $u$ is a real valued function, and $X_1,\dots,X_N$ are independent, distributed according to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Daniel Bartl , Shahar Mendelson

We propose a computationally efficient method to construct nonparametric, heteroscedastic prediction bands for uncertainty quantification, with or without any user-specified predictive model. Our approach provides an alternative to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-18 Tengyuan Liang

In this paper we first provide a method to compute confidence intervals for the center of a piecewise normal distribution given a sample from this distribution, under certain assumptions. We then extend this method to an asymptotic setting,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-08 Shu Lu , Hongsheng Liu

This paper considers a simulation-based estimator for a general class of Markovian processes and explores some strong consistency properties of the estimator. The estimation problem is defined over a continuum of invariant distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Manuel S. Santos

For a L\'evy basis $L$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$ and a suitable kernel function $f:\mathbb{R}^d \to \mathbb{R}$, consider the continuous spatial moving average field $X=(X_t)_{t\in \mathbb{R}^d}$ defined by $X_t = \int_{\mathbb{R}^d} f(t-s) \,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-02 David Berger

In this paper, we introduce a fundamental model for independent and identically distributed sequence with model uncertainty on the canonical space $(\mathbb{R}^\mathbb{N},\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^\mathbb{N}))$ via probability kernels. Thanks…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-25 Xiaofan Guo , Xinpeng Li

Nonparametric series regression often involves specification search over the tuning parameter, i.e., evaluating estimates and confidence intervals with a different number of series terms. This paper develops pointwise and uniform inferences…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-26 Byunghoon Kang

This paper is concerned with inference based on the mean function of a functional time series, which is defined as a collection of curves obtained by splitting a continuous time record, e.g. into daily or annual curves. We develop a normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-03 Lajos Horvath , Piotr Kokoszka , Ron Reeder

Band-limited functions are fundamental objects that are widely used in systems theory and signal processing. In this paper we refine a recent nonparametric, nonasymptotic method for constructing simultaneous confidence regions for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-27 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Bálint Horváth

This work presents a non-parametric estimator for the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the job-size distribution for a queue with compound Poisson input. The workload process is observed according to an independent Poisson sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Liron Ravner

In this paper, we revisit the concentration inequalities for the supremum of the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a real-valued continuous distribution as established by Dvoretzky, Kiefer, Wolfowitz and revisited later by Massart…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Maillard Odalric-Ambrym

In this paper we develop procedures to construct simultaneous confidence bands for $\tilde p$ potentially infinite-dimensional parameters after model selection for general moment condition models where $\tilde p$ is potentially much larger…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-05 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Ying Wei

Let $X_1, X_2,\dots$ be a short-memory linear process of random variables. For $1\leq q<2$, let $\cF$ be a bounded set of real-valued functions on $[0,1]$ with finite $q$-variation. It is proved that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Rimas Norvaiša , Alfredas Račkauskas

We consider a random variable expressed as the Euclidean distance between an arbitrary point and a random variable uniformly distributed in a closed and bounded set of a three-dimensional Euclidean space. Four cases are considered for this…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Vincent Guigues

We propose solution of the problem of the mean square optimal estimation of linear functionals which depend on the unobserved values of a continuous time stochastic process with periodically correlated increments based on observations of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-18 Maksym Luz , Mikhail Moklyachuk

Here, we develop numerical methods for finite-state mean-field games (MFGs) that satisfy a monotonicity condition. MFGs are determined by a system of differential equations with initial and terminal boundary conditions. These non-standard…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-02 Diogo Gomes , Joao Saude

We introduce two data-driven procedures for optimal estimation and inference in nonparametric models using instrumental variables. The first is a data-driven choice of sieve dimension for a popular class of sieve two-stage least squares…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-09 Xiaohong Chen , Timothy Christensen , Sid Kankanala

Let $q\ge2$ be an integer, $\{X_n\}_{n\geq 1}$ a stochastic process with state space $\{0,\ldots,q-1\}$, and $F$ the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of $\sum_{n=1}^\infty X_n q^{-n}$. We show that stationarity of $\{X_n\}_{n\geq 1}$…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-12 Horia Cornean , Ira W. Herbst , Jesper Møller , Benjamin Støttrup , Kasper S. Sørensen
‹ Prev 1 4 5 6 7 8 10 Next ›