English

Uniform mean estimation via generic chaining

Probability 2026-03-06 v2 Statistics Theory Statistics Theory

Abstract

We introduce an empirical functional Ψ\Psi that is an optimal uniform mean estimator: Let FL2(μ)F\subset L_2(\mu) be a class of mean zero functions, uu is a real valued function, and X1,,XNX_1,\dots,X_N are independent, distributed according to μ\mu. We show that under minimal assumptions, with μN\mu^{\otimes N} exponentially high probability, supfFΨ(X1,,XN,f)Eu(f(X))cR(F)EsupfFGfN, \sup_{f\in F} |\Psi(X_1,\dots,X_N,f) - \mathbb{E} u(f(X))| \leq c R(F) \frac{ \mathbb{E} \sup_{f\in F } |G_f| }{\sqrt N}, where (Gf)fF(G_f)_{f\in F} is the gaussian processes indexed by FF and R(F)R(F) is an appropriate notion of `diameter' of the class {u(f(X)):fF}\{u(f(X)) : f\in F\}. The fact that such a bound is possible is surprising, and it leads to the solution of various key problems in high dimensional probability and high dimensional statistics. The construction is based on combining Talagrand's generic chaining mechanism with optimal mean estimation procedures for a single real-valued random variable.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2502.15116,
  title  = {Uniform mean estimation via generic chaining},
  author = {Daniel Bartl and Shahar Mendelson},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2502.15116},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T21:52:14.047Z