English

Local Dvoretzky-Kiefer-Wolfowitz confidence bands

Statistics Theory 2022-02-22 v3 Applications Statistics Theory

Abstract

In this paper, we revisit the concentration inequalities for the supremum of the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a real-valued continuous distribution as established by Dvoretzky, Kiefer, Wolfowitz and revisited later by Massart in two seminal papers. We focus on the concentration of the \emph{local} supremum over a sub-interval, rather than on the full domain. That is, denoting UU the CDF of the uniform distribution over [0,1][0,1] and UnU_n its empirical version built from nn samples, we study P(supu[u,u]Un(u)U(u)>ϵ)P(\sup_{u\in[\underline{u},\overline{u}]}U_n(u)-U(u)>\epsilon) for different values of u,u[0,1]\underline{u},\overline{u}\in[0,1]. Such local controls naturally appear for instance when studying estimation error of spectral risk-measures (such as the conditional value at risk), where [u,u][\underline{u},\overline{u}] is typically [0,α][0,\alpha] or [1α,1][1-\alpha,1] for a risk level α\alpha, after reshaping the CDF FF of the considered distribution into UU by the general inverse transform F1F^{-1}. Extending a proof technique from Smirnov, we provide exact expressions of the local quantities P(supu[u,u]Un(u)U(u)>ϵ)P(\sup_{u\in[\underline{u},\overline{u}]}U_n(u)-U(u)>\epsilon) and P(supu[u,u]U(u)Un(u)>ϵ)P(\sup_{u\in [\underline{u},\overline{u}]}U(u)-U_n(u)>\epsilon) for each n,ϵ,u,un,\epsilon,\underline{u},\overline{u}. Interestingly these quantities, seen as a function of ϵ\epsilon, can be easily inverted numerically into functions of the probability level δ\delta. Although not explicit, they can be computed and tabulated. We plot such expressions and compare them to the classical bound ln(1/δ)2n\sqrt{\frac{\ln(1/\delta)}{2n}} provided by Massart inequality. Last, we extend the local concentration results holding individually for each nn to time-uniform concentration inequalities holding simultaneously for all nn, revisiting a reflection inequality by James, which is of independent interest for the study of sequential decision making strategies.

Cite

@article{arxiv.2012.10320,
  title  = {Local Dvoretzky-Kiefer-Wolfowitz confidence bands},
  author = {Maillard Odalric-Ambrym},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2012.10320},
  year   = {2022}
}

Comments

33 pages

R2 v1 2026-06-23T21:04:49.740Z