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Related papers: Solar Cycles: Can They Be Predicted?

200 papers

The Sun exhibits episodic surges of magnetic activity across a range of temporal and spatial scales, the most prominent of which is the 11-ish year modulation of sunspot production. Beside the ~170 (min to max) decadal variation in sunspot…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-08-21 Scott W. McIntosh , Robert J. Leamon

The solar magnetic activity cycle is responsible for periodic episodes of severe space weather, which can perturb satellite orbits, interfere with communications systems, and bring down power grids. Much progress has recently been made in…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 T. S. Metcalfe , T. J. Henry , M. Knolker , D. R. Soderblom

The Sun exhibits a well-observed modulation in the number of spots on its disk over a period of about 11 years. From the dawn of modern observational astronomy sunspots have presented a challenge to understanding -- their quasi-periodic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-09 Scott W. McIntosh , Sandra C. Chapman , Robert J. Leamon , Ricky Egeland , Nicholas W. Watkins

Prediction of the Sun's magnetic activity is important because of its effect on space environment and climate. However, recent efforts to predict the amplitude of the solar cycle have resulted in diverging forecasts with no consensus.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-12-07 Bidya Binay Karak , Dibyendu Nandy

Using Greenwich and SOON sunspot group data during the period 1874 -- 2005, we find that the sums of the areas of the sunspot groups in $0^\circ$ -- $10^\circ$ latitude-interval of the Sun's northern hemisphere and in the time-interval,…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 J. Javaraiah

The correlation between solar irradiance and the 11-year solar activity cycle is evident in the body of measurements made from space, which extend over the past four decades. Models relating variation in solar irradiance to photospheric…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-07-07 K. L. Yeo , N. A. Krivova , S. K. Solanki

The growth rate of solar activity in the early phase of a solar cycle has been known to be well correlated with the subsequent amplitude (solar maximum). It provides very useful information for a new solar cycle as its variation reflects…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-12-30 Z. L. Du , H. N. Wang

Research efforts that require observations of high solar activity, such as multiwavelength studies of large solar flares and CMEs, must contend with the 11-year solar cycle to a degree unparalleled by other segments of heliophysics. While…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-07 Albert Y. Shih , Amir Caspi , Jessie Duncan , Lindsay Glesener , Silvina E. Guidoni , Katharine K. Reeves

The polar field reversal is a crucial process in the cyclic evolution of the large-scale magnetic field of the Sun.Various important characteristics of a solar cycle, such as its duration and strength, and also the cycle predictability, are…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-08-02 Elena M. Golubeva , Akash Biswas , Anna I. Khlystova , Pawan Kumar , Bidya Binay Karak

The solar luminosity in the visible changes at the 10-3 level, following an 11 years period. In X-rays, which should not be there, the amplitude varies 100000 times stronger, making their mysterious origin since the discovery in 1938 even…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-17 K. Zioutas , M. Tsagri , Y. K. Semertzidis , T. Papaevangelou , D. H. H. Hoffmann , V. Anastassopoulos

The magnetic fields of solar-type stars are observed to cycle over decadal periods -11 years in the case of the Sun. The fields originate in the turbulent convective layers of stars and have a complex dependency upon stellar rotation rate.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-08-02 A. Strugarek , P. Beaudoin , P. Charbonneau , A. S. Brun , J. -D. do Nascimento

On the base of the solar magnetic field measurements obtained in Stanford in 1976--2003 the properties of the cyclic evolution of the large-scale magnetic field are investigated. Some regularities are found in longitudinal and latitudinal…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 R. N. Ikhsanov , V. G. Ivanov

Sunspot numbers form a comprehensive, long-duration proxy of solar activity and have been used numerous times to empirically investigate the properties of the solar cycle. A number of correlations have been discovered over the 24 cycles for…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 Yaming Yu , David A. van Dyk , Vinay L. Kashyap , C. Alex Young

We propose a simple method for prediction of the 11-year solar cycle maximum that is based on two relations. One of them is well known Waldmeier's rule that binds the amplitude of a cycle and the length of its ascending phase. The second…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-03 Vladimir G. Ivanov

Through meticulous daily observation of the Sun's large-scale magnetic field the Wilcox Solar Observatory (WSO) has catalogued two magnetic (Hale) cycles of solar activity. Those two (~22-year long) Hale cycles have yielded four…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-15 Scott W. McIntosh , Phillip H. Scherrer , Leif Svalgaard , Robert J. Leamon

Solar activities have a great impact on modern high-tech systems, such as human aerospace, satellite communication and navigation, deep space exploration, and related scientific research. Therefore, studying the long - term evolution trend…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-21 Peixin Luo , Baolin Tan

The so-called solar cycle is generally characterized by the quasi-periodic oscillatory evolution of the photospheric spots number. This quasi-periodic pattern has always been an intriguing question. Several physical models were proposed to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-14 Alexis Klutsch , Rubens Freire Ferrero

Prediction of the solar cycle is challenging but essential because it drives space weather. Several predictions with varying amplitudes of the ongoing Cycle~25 have been made. We show that an aspect of the Waldmeier effect (WE2), i.e., a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-05-24 Pawan Kumar , Akash Biswas , Bidya Binay Karak

It is shown that the description of the solar cycle that takes into account the odd zonal harmonic of the solar magnetic field allows us to deepen our knowledge of two important aspects of the solar activity. First, to clarify and expand…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-02 V. N. Obridko , D. D. Sokoloff , M. M. Katsova

Although systematic measurements of the solar polar magnetic field exist only from mid 1970s, other proxies can be used to infer the polar field at earlier times. The observational data indicate a strong correlation between the polar field…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Jie Jiang , Piyali Chatterjee , Arnab Rai Choudhuri