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This paper studies the augmented truncation of discrete-time block-monotone Markov chains under geometric drift conditions. We first present a bound for the total variation distance between the stationary distributions of an original Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-18 Hiroyuki Masuyama

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

The paper studies a probabilistic notion of causes in Markov chains that relies on the counterfactuality principle and the probability-raising property. This notion is motivated by the use of causes for monitoring purposes where the aim is…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Christel Baier , Florian Funke , Simon Jantsch , Jakob Piribauer , Robin Ziemek

In this paper, we are devoted to developing matrix-analytic methods for solving Poisson's equation for irreducible and positive recurrent discrete-time Markov chains (DTMCs). Two special solutions, including the deviation matrix D and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-22 Jinpeng Liu , Yuanyuan Liu , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

Parametric Markov chains have been introduced as a model for families of stochastic systems that rely on the same graph structure, but differ in the concrete transition probabilities. The latter are specified by polynomial constraints for…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-09-08 Lisa Hutschenreiter , Christel Baier , Joachim Klein

Scaled type Markov renewal processes generalize classical renewal processes: renewal times come from a one parameter family of probability laws and the sequence of the parameters is the trajectory of an ergodic Markov chain. Our primary…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Zsolt Pajor-Gyulai , Domokos Szász

We examine two analytical characterisation of the metastable behavior of a Markov chain. The first one expressed in terms of its transition probabilities, and the second one in terms of its large deviations rate functional. Consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-07 L. Bertini , D. Gabrielli , C. Landim

We present a recurrence-transience classification for discrete-time Markov chains on manifolds with negative curvature. Our classification depends only on geometric quantities associated to the increments of the chain, defined via the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-10 John Armstrong , Tim King

This paper considers continuous-time block-monotone Markov chains (BMMCs) and their block-augmented truncations. We first introduce the block monotonicity and block-wise dominance relation for continuous-time Markov chains, and then provide…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-22 Hiroyuki Masuyama

In the analysis of Markov chains and processes, it is sometimes convenient to replace an unbounded state space with a "truncated" bounded state space. When such a replacement is made, one often wants to know whether the equilibrium behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Alex Infanger , Peter W. Glynn , Yuanyuan Liu

This paper considers the level-increment (LI) truncation approximation of M/G/1-type Markov chains. The LI truncation approximation is useful for implementing the M/G/1 paradigm, which is the framework for computing the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-23 Katsuhisa Ouchi , Hiroyuki Masuyama

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

We establish existence of Markov chains of mean-field type with unbounded jump intensities by means of a fixed point argument using the Total Variation distance. We further show existence of nearly-optimal controls and, using a Markov chain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-29 Salah Eddine Choutri , Boualem Djehiche , Hamidou Tembine

Computing the stationary distributions of a continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) involves solving a set of linear equations. In most cases of interest, the number of equations is infinite or too large, and the equations cannot be solved…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-25 Juan Kuntz , Philipp Thomas , Guy-Bart Stan , Mauricio Barahona

An up-down chain is a Markov chain in which each transition is a two-step process that moves up to a larger object and then back down to an object of the original size. The first goal of this paper is to present a general framework for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-24 Valentin Féray , Kelvin Rivera-Lopez

Dating from the work of Neuts in the 1980s, the field of matrix-analytic methods has been developed to analyse discrete or continuous-time Markov chains with a two-dimensional state space in which the increment of a level variable is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-11 Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Guy Latouche , Peter Taylor

Using terminologies of information geometry, we derive upper and lower bounds of the tail probability of the sample mean. Employing these bounds, we obtain upper and lower bounds of the minimum error probability of the 2nd kind of error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Shun Watanabe , Masahito Hayashi

A divide-and-conquer approach to analyzing Markov chains (MCs) is not utilized as widely as it could be, despite its potential benefits. One primary reason for this is the fact that most MC decomposition approaches involve a complex and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-25 Katsunobu Sasanuma , Robert Hampshire , Alan Scheller-Wolf

Continuous-time Markov chains are used to model stochastic systems where transitions can occur at irregular times, e.g., birth-death processes, chemical reaction networks, population dynamics, and gene regulatory networks. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-13 Majerle Reeves , Harish S. Bhat

The time to converge to the steady state of a finite Markov chain can be greatly reduced by a lifting operation, which creates a new Markov chain on an expanded state space. For a class of quadratic objectives, we show an analogous behavior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-14 Guilherme França , José Bento
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