English

Probabilistic causes in Markov chains

Logic in Computer Science 2021-07-09 v2

Abstract

The paper studies a probabilistic notion of causes in Markov chains that relies on the counterfactuality principle and the probability-raising property. This notion is motivated by the use of causes for monitoring purposes where the aim is to detect faulty or undesired behaviours before they actually occur. A cause is a set of finite executions of the system after which the probability of the effect exceeds a given threshold. We introduce multiple types of costs that capture the consumption of resources from different perspectives, and study the complexity of computing cost-minimal causes.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2104.13604,
  title  = {Probabilistic causes in Markov chains},
  author = {Christel Baier and Florian Funke and Simon Jantsch and Jakob Piribauer and Robin Ziemek},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2104.13604},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

Full version of a conference paper at ATVA'21; 26 pages, 9 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-24T01:35:24.490Z