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In the present tropical atmosphere, precipitation typically exhibits noisy, small-amplitude fluctuations about an average. However, recent cloud-resolving simulations show that in a hothouse climate, precipitation can shift to a regime…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-22 Da Yang , Dorian S. Abbot , Seth Seidel

Anthropogenic warming impacts ecological communities and disturbs species interactions, particularly in temperature sensitive plant pollinator networks. While previous assessments indicate that rising mean temperatures and shifting temporal…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-29 Adrija Datta , Sarth Dubey , Tarik C. Gouhier , Auroop R. Ganguly , Udit Bhatia

Seasonal patterns associated with stress modulation, as evidenced by earthquake occurrence, have been detected in regions characterized by present day mountain building and glacial retreat in the Northern Hemisphere. In the Himalaya and the…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-03-01 Antonella Peresan , Francesco Cocetta , Giuliano F. Panza

The results of an analysis of changes in the characteristics of atmospheric centers of action (ACAs) in the Northern (NH) and Southern (SH) hemispheres using results of simulations with the CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensembles of climate models are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-12 I. I. Mokhov , A. M. Osipov , A. V. Chernokulsky

We revisit a recent claim that the Earth's climate system is characterized by sensitive dependence to parameters; in particular, that the system exhibits an asymmetric, large-amplitude response to normally distributed feedback forcing. Such…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-01-13 Ilya Zaliapin , Michael Ghil

The interaction between Mg edge basal dislocations and rod-shaped $\beta_1'$-MgZn$_2$ precipitates was studied by atomistic simulations using a new interatomic potential. The atomistic model was carefully built taking into account the…

Materials Science · Physics 2020-05-21 G. Esteban-Manzanares , R. Alizadeh , I. Papadimitriou , D. Dickel , C. D. Barrett , J. LLorca

Future changes in the location of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) due to climate change are of high interest since they could substantially alter precipitation patterns in the tropics and subtropics. Although models predict a…

Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV) describes variations of North Atlantic sea surface temperature with a typical cycle of between 60 and 70 years. AMV strongly impacts local climate over North America and Europe, therefore prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Glenn Liu , Peidong Wang , Matthew Beveridge , Young-Oh Kwon , Iddo Drori

The formation of Middle Tropospheric Cyclones (MTCs) that are responsible for a large portion of annual precipitation and extreme rainfall events over western India is studied using an unsupervised machine learning algorithm and cyclone…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-16 Pradeep Kushwaha , Jai Sukhatme , Ravi S. Nanjundiah

Anthropogenic climate change (ACC) is altering the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. Attributing individual extreme events (EEs) to ACC is becoming crucial to assess the risks of climate change. Traditional attribution…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-30 Bernat Jiménez-Esteve , David Barriopedro , Juan Emmanuel Johnson , Ricardo Garcia-Herrera

Soil moisture conditions can influence the evolution of a tropical cyclone (TC) that is partially or completely over land. Hence, better constraining soil moisture initial conditions in a numerical weather prediction model can potentially…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-01 Jana Kolassa , Manisha Ganeshan , Erica McGrath-Spangler , Oreste Reale , Rolf Reichle , Sara Q. Zhang

Identifying causal relationships in climate systems remains challenging due to nonlinear, coupled dynamics that limit the effectiveness of linear and stochastic causal discovery approaches. This study benchmarks Convergence Cross Mapping…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-23 Francis Nji , Seraj Al Mahmud Mostafa , Jianwu Wang

Climate change is progressing asynchronously between the Arctic and Antarctic, with important implications for global climate dynamics. While the Arctic has experienced rapid warming and pronounced amplification, the Antarctic has exhibited…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-22 Hongyu Wang , Jingfang Fan , Fei Xie , Jingyuan Li , Rui Shi , Yan Xia , Deliang Chen , Xiaosong Chen

Tropical cyclones (TCs) are powerful, natural phenomena that can severely impact populations and infrastructure. Enhancing our understanding of the mechanisms driving their intensification is crucial for mitigating these impacts. To this…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-30 Yassine Tissaoui , Stephen R. Guimond , Francis X. Giraldo , Simone Marras

Some initial investigations into various atmospheric phenomena and the influence of the solar cycle on weather have been made. Strongly negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) indices, which cause cold and dry winter weather in North West…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-21 Sally Dacie

1. Climate change is altering plant phenology globally with potential deleterious impacts on animal species and entire ecosystems, yet the long-term effects of climate change on tropical leaf production remain poorly understood. 2. We…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-01 Laura Lüthy , Colin A. Chapman , Patrick Lauer , Patrick Omeja , Urs Kalbitzer

Motivated by the climate crisis that is currently ravaging the planet, we propose and analyze a novel framework for the evolution of anthropogenic climate impact in which the evolution of human environmental behavior and environmental…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , A. Stephen Morse , Ming Cao

It is largely agreed that subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictability arises from the atmospheric initial state during early lead times and from the land and ocean during intermediate and late lead times. We test this hypothesis for the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-14 Jhayron S. Pérez-Carrasquilla , Maria J. Molina

The major sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events strongly influence the mean structure of the entire atmosphere, from the troposphere to the thermosphere. These events disrupt the compositional and thermal structure of the mesosphere and…

Space Physics · Physics 2025-07-01 Akash Kumar , MV Sunil Krishna , Alok K Ranjan

Deep learning-based tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting methods have demonstrated significant potential and application advantages, as they feature much lower computational cost and faster operation speed than numerical weather prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Qixiang Li , Yuan Zhou , Shuwei Huo , Chong Wang , Xiaofeng Li