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We investigate the expected time to extinction in the susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) model of disease spreading. Rather than using stochastic simulations, or asymptotic calculations in network models, we solve the extinction time…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-26 Petter Holme , Liubov Tupikina

In this paper, we introduce the SDIR (Susceptible-Delayable-Infected-Recovered) model, an extension of the classical SIR epidemic framework, to provide a more explicit characterization of user behavior in online social networks. The newly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Tran Van Khanh , Do Xuan Cho , Hoang Phi Dung

Most real networks are characterized by connectivity patterns that evolve in time following complex, non-Markovian, dynamics. Here we investigate the impact of this ubiquitous feature by studying the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-20 Kaiyuan Sun , Andrea Baronchelli , Nicola Perra

We introduce a modified SIR model with memory for the dynamics of epidemic spreading in a constant population of individuals. Each individual is in one of the states susceptible (${\bf S}$), infected (${\bf I}$) or recovered (${\bf R}$). In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-03 Michael Bestehorn , Thomas M. Michelitsch , Bernard A. Collet , Alejandro P. Riascos , Andrzej F. Nowakowski

Epidemic models are increasingly used in real-world networks to understand diffusion phenomena (such as the spread of diseases, emotions, innovations, failures) or the transport of information (such as news, memes in social on-line…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-06 Piet Van Mieghem

We study the effect of external infection sources on phase transitions in epidemic processes. In particular, we consider an epidemic spreading on a network via the SIS/SIR dynamics, which in addition is aided by external agents - sources…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-12-05 Siddhartha Banerjee , Avhishek Chatterjee , Sanjay Shakkottai

Time-varying network topologies can deeply influence dynamical processes mediated by them. Memory effects in the pattern of interactions among individuals are also known to affect how diffusive and spreading phenomena take place. In this…

The stochastic SIRS model is a continuous-time Markov chain modelling the spread of infectious diseases with temporary immunity, in a homogeneously-mixing population of fixed size $N$. We study the scaling behaviour of the extinction time…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-14 Jingran Zhai

We investigate the sensitivity of epidemic behavior to a bounded susceptibility constraint -- susceptible nodes are infected by their neighbors via the regular SI/SIS dynamics, but subject to a cap on the infection rate. Such a constraint…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-02-19 Subhashini Krishnasamy , Siddhartha Banerjee , Sanjay Shakkottai

The spontaneous emergence of ordered structures, known as Turing patterns, in complex networks is a phenomenon that holds potential applications across diverse scientific fields, including biology, chemistry, and physics. Here, we present a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-09-26 Jiaying Zhou , Yong Ye , Alex Arenas , Sergio Gómez , Yi Zhao

In a collection of particles performing independent random walks on $\mathbb Z^d$ we study the spread of an infection with SIR dynamics. Susceptible particles become infected when they meet an infected particle. Infected particles heal and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-14 Duncan Dauvergne , Allan Sly

Many real epidemics of an infectious disease are not straightforwardly super- or sub-critical, and the understanding of epidemic models that exhibit such complexity has been identified as a priority for theoretical work. We provide insights…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-23 Graham Brightwell , Thomas House , Malwina Luczak

In the performance analyses of wireless networks, asymptotic quantities and properties often pro- vide useful results and insights. The asymptotic analyses become especially important when complete analytical expressions of the performance…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-16 Anjin Guo , Martin Haenggi , Radha Krishna Ganti

In this paper we analyze continuous-time SIS epidemics subject to arrivals and departures of agents, by using an approximated process based on replacements. In defining the SIS dynamics in an open network, we consider a stochastic setting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-26 Renato Vizuete , Paolo Frasca , Elena Panteley

We consider an epidemiological model that includes waning and boosting of immunity. Assuming that repeated exposure to the pathogen fully restores immunity, we derive an SIRS-type model with discrete and distributed delays. First we prove…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Maria Vittoria Barbarossa , Monika Polner , Gergely Röst

The standard pair approximation equations (PA) for the Susceptible-Infective-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) model of infection spread on a network of homogeneous degree $k$ predict a thin phase of sustained oscillations for parameter values…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-07-28 Ganna Rozhnova , Ana Nunes

Waiting times between two consecutive infection and recovery events in spreading processes are often assumed to be exponentially distributed, which results in Markovian (i.e., memoryless) continuous spreading dynamics. However, this is not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-27 Lucas Böttcher , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

This paper deals with the statistical signal pro- cessing over graphs for tracking infection diffusion in social networks. Infection (or Information) diffusion is modeled using the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model. Mean field…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-01 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Sujay Bhatt , Tavis Pedersen

The metapopulation framework is adopted in a wide array of disciplines to describe systems of well separated yet connected subpopulations. The subgroups or patches are often represented as nodes in a network whose links represent the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-03-27 Suyu Liu , Andrea Baronchelli , Nicola Perra

In a metapopulation network, infectious diseases spread widely because of the travel of individuals. In the present study, we consider a modified metapopulation Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model with a latent period, which we call…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-08-02 Kazue Kudo , Kanako Mizuno