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We study the SIRS process, a continuous-time Markov chain modeling the spread of infections on graphs. In this model, vertices are either susceptible, infected, or recovered. Each infected vertex becomes recovered at rate 1 and infects each…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Tobias Friedrich , Andreas Göbel , Nicolas Klodt , Martin S. Krejca , Marcus Pappik

The SIRS process is a continuous-time process for how infections spread on a graph. In this model, each vertex is in one of the following three states: susceptible (to the infection; S), infected (I), or recovered (R) and thus immune to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Andreas Göbel , Nicolas Klodt , Martin S. Krejca

In a seminal work, Chatterjee and Durrett (2009) established that for the SIS epidemic process on random graphs with power-law degree distributions, the infection survives for an exponentially long time (in the network size) for any fixed,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Zihao He , Souvik Dhara , Debankur Mukherjee

Diffusion of information in networks is at the core of many problems in AI. Common examples include the spread of ideas and rumors as well as marketing campaigns. Typically, information diffuses at a non-linear rate, for example, if markets…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-04 Tobias Friedrich , Andreas Göbel , Nicolas Klodt , Martin S. Krejca , Marcus Pappik

We study how long the SIRS process persists or how quickly it reaches extinction across various network topologies. Our results provide a three-part characterization of this process: In finite sparse graphs, we prove the existence of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Phuc Lam , Oanh Nguyen

We analyze the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) process, a continuous-time Markov chain frequently employed in epidemiology to model the spread of infections on networks. In this framework, infections spread as infected…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Phuc Lam , Oanh Nguyen , Iris Yang

The SIR model is used extensively in the field of epidemiology, in particular, for the analysis of communal diseases. One problem with SIR and other existing models is that they are tailored to random or Erdos type networks since they do…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-10-22 M. S. S. Khan

Although we have made progress in understanding disease spread in complex systems with non-Poissonian activity patterns, current models still fail to capture the full range of recovery time distributions. In this paper, we propose an…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Jiexi Tang , Yichao Yao , Meiling Xie , Minyu Feng

SIRS models capture transmission dynamics of infectious diseases for which immunity is not lifelong. Extending these models by a W compartment for individuals with waning immunity, the boosting of the immune system upon repeated exposure…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-19 Richmond Opoku-Sarkodie , Ferenc A. Bartha , Mónika Polner , Gergely Röst

SIRS epidemic models assume that individual immunity (from infection and vaccination) wanes in one big leap, from complete immunity to complete susceptibility. For many diseases immunity on the contrary wanes gradually, something that's…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-17 Mohamed El Khalifi , Tom Britton

We consider the spread of a supercritical stochastic SIR (Susceptible, Infectious, Recovered) epidemic on a configuration model random graph. We mainly focus on the final stages of a large outbreak and provide limit results for the duration…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Abid Ali Lashari , Ana Serafimović , Pieter Trapman

For a susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) infection model in a heterogeneous population, we present simple formulae giving the leading-order asymptotic (large population) behaviour of the mean persistence time, from an endemic state to…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-12 Damian Clancy

We study two simple mathematical models of the epidemic. At first, we study the repetitive infection spreading in a simplified SIRS model including the effect of the decay of the acquired immune. The model is an intermediate model of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-13 Hidetsugu Sakaguchi , Keito Yamasaki

Stochastic infection processes are continuous-time Markov chains on graphs that assign each vertex one of multiple states, such as susceptible, infected, or recovered. Depending on the model, vertices change their state based on random…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Nicolas Klodt , Martin S. Krejca

We study the phase transition from the persistence phase to the extinction phase for the SIRS (susceptible/ infected/ refractory/ susceptible) model of diseases spreading on the networks. We derive an analytical expression of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-18 M. Ali Saif

The epidemic spreading on arbitrary complex networks is studied in SIR (Susceptible Infected Recovered) compartment model. We propose our implementation of a Naive SIR algorithm for epidemic simulation spreading on networks that uses data…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Alen Lancic , Hrvoje Stefancic , Mile Sikic

In the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model of disease spreading, the time to extinction of the epidemics happens at an intermediate value of the per-contact transmission probability. Too contagious infections burn out fast in the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-05 Petter Holme

Although viral spreading processes taking place in networks are often analyzed using Markovian models in which both the transmission and the recovery times follow exponential distributions, empirical studies show that, in many real…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

We study the phase transition from the persistence phase to the extinction phase for the SIRS (susceptible/ infected/ refractory/ susceptible) model of diseases spreading on small world network. We show the effects of all the parameters…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-19 Mohammed Ali Saif

In this work, we study the evolution of the susceptible individuals during the spread of an epidemic modeled by the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) process spreading on the top of complex networks. Using an edge-based compartmental…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-25 L. D. Valdez , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein
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