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We study a localized notion of uniform convergence known as an "optimistic rate" (Panchenko 2002; Srebro et al. 2010) for linear regression with Gaussian data. Our refined analysis avoids the hidden constant and logarithmic factor in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-09 Lijia Zhou , Frederic Koehler , Danica J. Sutherland , Nathan Srebro

A prediction interval covers a future observation from a random process in repeated sampling, and is typically constructed by identifying a pivotal quantity that is also an ancillary statistic. Analogously, a tolerance interval covers a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-19 Geoffrey S Johnson

In Natural Language Processing (NLP), binary classification algorithms are often evaluated using the F1 score. Because the sample F1 score is an estimate of the population F1 score, it is not sufficient to report the sample F1 score without…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-11 Kevin Fu Yuan Lam , Vikneswaran Gopal , Jiang Qian

For a>0,let W^a(t) be the a-neighbourhood of standard Brownian motion in R^d starting at 0 and observed until time t.It is well-known that E|W^a(t)|~kappa_a t (t->infty) for d >= 3,with kappa_a the Newtonian capacity of the ball with radius…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Michiel van den Berg , Erwin Bolthausen , Frank den Hollander

A fundamental assumption of classical hypothesis testing is that the significance threshold $\alpha$ is chosen independently from the data. The validity of confidence intervals likewise relies on choosing $\alpha$ beforehand. We point out…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-11 Jesse Hemerik , Nick W Koning

This paper investigates the effects of smoothed bootstrap iterations on coverage probabilities of smoothed bootstrap and bootstrap-t confidence intervals for population quantiles, and establishes the optimal kernel bandwidths at various…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yvonne H. S. Ho , Stephen M. S. Lee

Freedman [Adv. in Appl. Math. 40 (2008) 180-193; Ann. Appl. Stat. 2 (2008) 176-196] critiqued ordinary least squares regression adjustment of estimated treatment effects in randomized experiments, using Neyman's model for randomization…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-22 Winston Lin

We study the intra-planar tunneling between quantum Hall samples separated by a quasi one-dimensional barrier, induced through the interaction of edge degrees of freedom with the charge density waves of a Hall crystal defined in a parallel…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 L. Moriconi

Sharpe ratio is widely used in asset management to compare and benchmark funds and asset managers. It computes the ratio of the excess return over the strategy standard deviation. However, the elements to compute the Sharpe ratio, namely,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-15 Eric Benhamou

Semiparametric estimators admitting a von Mises expansion often reduce inference to the influence-function variance. This reduction is justified when the second-order remainder is negligible in variance, a condition that is stronger than…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Lin Li , Pengcheng Wu

We consider a random walk of $n$ steps starting at $x_0=0$ with a double exponential (Laplace) jump distribution. We compute exactly the distribution $p_{k,n}(\Delta)$ of the gap $d_{k,n}$ between the $k^{\rm th}$ and $(k+1)^{\rm th}$…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-09 Bertrand Lacroix-A-Chez-Toine , Satya N. Majumdar , Grégory Schehr

Estimates for $Z_2(s) = \int_1^|infty |\zeta(1/2+ix)|^4x^{-s}dx (\Re s > 1)$ are discussed, both pointwise and in mean square. It is shown how these estimates can be used to bound $E_2(T)$, the error term in the asymptotic formula for…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Aleksandar Ivić

In this paper, we consider moderate deviations for Good's coverage estimator. The moderate deviation principle and the self-normalized moderate deviation principle for Good's coverage estimator are established. The results are also applied…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-10 Fuqing Gao

The leading term in the normal approximation to the distribution of Student's t statistic is derived in a general setting, with the sole assumption being that the sampled distribution is in the domain of attraction of a normal law. The form…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter Hall , Qiying Wang

The rejection threshold used for e-values and e-processes is by default set to $1/\alpha$ for a guaranteed type-I error control at $\alpha$, based on Markov's and Ville's inequalities. This threshold can be wasteful in practical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-06 Christopher Blier-Wong , Ruodu Wang

We present a test of different error estimators for 2-point clustering statistics, appropriate for present and future large galaxy redshift surveys. Using an ensemble of very large dark matter LambdaCDM N-body simulations, we compare…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 Peder Norberg , Carlton M. Baugh , Enrique Gaztanaga , Darren J. Croton

Cox proportional hazards model with measurement errors is considered. In Kukush and Chernova (2017), we elaborated a simultaneous estimator of the baseline hazard rate $\lambda(\cdot)$ and the regression parameter $\beta$, with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-06 Oksana Chernova , Alexander Kukush

We construct uncertainty intervals for weak Poisson signals in the presence of background. We consider the case where a primary experiment yields a realization of the signal plus background, and a second experiment yields a realization of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-10-19 K. J. Coakley , J. D. Splett , D. S. Simons

We consider the problem of comparing two diagnostic tests based on a sample of paired test results without true state determinations, in cases where the second test can reasonably be assumed to be at least as specific as the first. For such…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-17 Lutz Mattner , Frauke Mattner

Using and extending fractional order statistic theory, we characterize the $O(n^{-1})$ coverage probability error of the previously proposed confidence intervals for population quantiles using $L$-statistics as endpoints in Hutson (1999).…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-28 Matt Goldman , David M. Kaplan
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