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Let ($\Sigma$, g) be a closed connected surface equipped with a riemannian metric. Let ($\lambda$ n) n$\in$N and ($\psi$ n) n$\in$N be the increasing sequence of eigenvalues and the sequence of corresponding L 2-normalized eigenfunctions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-05 Alejandro Rivera

In this work, we develop a numerical method to study the error estimates of the $\alpha$-stable central limit theorem under sublinear expectation with $\alpha \in(0,2)$, whose limit distribution can be characterized by a fully nonlinear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-09 Lianzi Jiang

Historically, to bound the mean for small sample sizes, practitioners have had to choose between using methods with unrealistic assumptions about the unknown distribution (e.g., Gaussianity) and methods like Hoeffding's inequality that use…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-27 My Phan , Philip S. Thomas , Erik Learned-Miller

We propose constructing confidence sets for the emergence, collapse, and recovery dates of a bubble separately by inverting tests for the location of the break date. We examine both likelihood ratio-type tests and the Elliott-Muller-type…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-21 Eiji Kurozumi , Anton Skrobotov

Valid inference after model selection is currently a very active area of research. The polyhedral method, pioneered by Lee, et al. (2016), allows for valid inference after model selection if the model selection event can be described by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-08 Danijel Kivaranovic , Hannes Leeb

We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals for nonparametric functional data analysis using empirical likelihood. In this doubly infinite-dimensional context, we demonstrate the Wilks's phenomenon and propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-04-07 Heng Lian

We study time-uniform statistical inference for parameters in stochastic approximation (SA), which encompasses a bunch of applications in optimization and machine learning. To that end, we analyze the almost-sure convergence rates of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Chuhan Xie , Kaicheng Jin , Jiadong Liang , Zhihua Zhang

We propose simple formulas of confidence intervals for the Wald statistic, likelihood ratio statistic, and score statistic for a network meta-analysis. In addition, we consider resolutions for concerns that network meta-analyses with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-12 Masahiro Kojima

We consider the problem of setting confidence intervals on a parameter of interest from the maximum-likelihood fit of a physics model to a binned data set with a large number of bins, large event-counts per bin, and in the presence of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-02-09 Cristina-Andreea Alexe , Joshua Bendavid , Lorenzo Bianchini , Davide Bruschini

In assessing prediction accuracy of multivariable prediction models, optimism corrections are essential for preventing biased results. However, in most published papers of clinical prediction models, the point estimates of the prediction…

Confidence intervals for a binomial parameter or for the ratio of Poisson means are commonly desired in high energy physics (HEP) applications such as measuring a detection efficiency or branching ratio. Due to the discreteness of the data,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-12-23 Robert D. Cousins , Kathryn E. Hymes , Jordan Tucker

Casella and Hwang, 1983, JASA, introduced a broad class of recentered confidence spheres for the mean $\boldsymbol{\theta}$ of a multivariate normal distribution with covariance matrix $\sigma^2 \boldsymbol{I}$, for $\sigma^2$ known. Both…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-17 Waruni Abeysekera , Paul Kabaila

It is well known that the empirical likelihood ratio confidence region suffers finite sample under-coverage issue, and this severely hampers its application in statistical inferences.} The root cause of this under-coverage is an upper limit…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-16 Guangxing Wang , Wolfgang Polonik

Empirical likelihood is a well-known nonparametric method in statistics and has been widely applied in statistical inference. The method has been employed by Lu and Peng (2002) to constructing confidence intervals for the tail index of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-19 Yizeng Li , Yongcheng Qi

We compute bias, variance, and approximate confidence intervals for the efficiency of a random selection process under various special conditions that occur in practical data analysis. We consider the following cases: a) the number of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-30 Hans Dembinski , Michael Schmelling

Kernel-based estimators such as local polynomial estimators in regression discontinuity designs are often evaluated at multiple bandwidths as a form of sensitivity analysis. However, if in the reported results, a researcher selects the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-29 Timothy B. Armstrong , Michal Kolesár

A major stage of radio interferometric data processing is calibration or the estimation of systematic errors in the data and the correction for such errors. A stochastic error (noise) model is assumed, and in most cases, this underlying…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-16 S. Kazemi , S. Yatawatta

Small sample sizes in clinical studies arises from factors such as reduced costs, limited subject availability, and the rarity of studied conditions. This creates challenges for accurately calculating confidence intervals (CIs) using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Mulan Wu , Mengyu Xu , Dongyun Kim

The properties of Maximum Likelihood estimator in mixed causal and noncausal models with a generalized Student's t error process are reviewed. Several known existing methods are typically not applicable in the heavy-tailed framework. To…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-23 Francesco Giancaterini , Alain Hecq

Empirical-likelihood-based confidence intervals for a mean were introduced by Owen [Biometrika 75 (1988) 237-249], where at least a finite second moment is required. This excludes some important distributions, for example, those in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Liang Peng