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We design adaptive controller (learning rule) for a networked control system (NCS) in which data packets containing control information are transmitted across a lossy wireless channel. We propose Upper Confidence Bounds for Networked…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-24 Rahul Singh , P. R. Kumar

Effective adaptation to distribution shifts in training data is pivotal for sustaining robustness in neural networks, especially when removing specific biases or outdated information, a process known as machine unlearning. Traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Ling Han , Hao Huang , Dustin Scheinost , Mary-Anne Hartley , María Rodríguez Martínez

Machine learning in asset pricing typically predicts expected returns as point estimates, ignoring uncertainty. We develop new methods to construct forecast confidence intervals for expected returns obtained from neural networks. We show…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-04 Yuan Liao , Xinjie Ma , Andreas Neuhierl , Linda Schilling

A fundamental principle of learning theory is that there is a trade-off between the complexity of a prediction rule and its ability to generalize. Modern machine learning models do not obey this paradigm: They produce an accurate prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-18 Koby Bibas , Meir Feder

Multitask learning is a powerful framework that enables one to simultaneously learn multiple related tasks by sharing information between them. Quantifying uncertainty in the estimated tasks is of pivotal importance for many downstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-04 Pier Giuseppe Sessa , Pierre Laforgue , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi , Andreas Krause

Statistical learning theory and the Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) criterion are the common approach to mathematical learning theory. PAC is widely used to analyze learning problems and algorithms, and have been studied thoroughly.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Adi Hendel , Meir Feder

In high-stakes AI applications, even a single action can cause irreparable damage. However, nearly all of sequential decision-making theory assumes that all errors are recoverable (e.g., by bounding rewards). Standard bandit algorithms that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Sarah Liaw , Benjamin Plaut

Evaluating machine unlearning remains challenging, as existing methods typically require retraining reference models or performing membership inference attacks, both of which rely on prior access to training configuration or supervision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Chenhao Zhang , Muxing Li , Feng Liu , Weitong Chen , Miao Xu

Neural networks are ubiquitous in many tasks, but trusting their predictions is an open issue. Uncertainty quantification is required for many applications, and disentangled aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties are best. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-21 Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Daniel Saromo

Deep learning has achieved impressive performance on many tasks in recent years. However, it has been found that it is still not enough for deep neural networks to provide only point estimates. For high-risk tasks, we need to assess the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-28 Yuandu Lai , Yucheng Shi , Yahong Han , Yunfeng Shao , Meiyu Qi , Bingshuai Li

Modern machine learning methods including deep learning have achieved great success in predictive accuracy for supervised learning tasks, but may still fall short in giving useful estimates of their predictive {\em uncertainty}. Quantifying…

The disagreement coefficient of Hanneke has become a central data independent invariant in proving active learning rates. It has been shown in various ways that a concept class with low complexity together with a bound on the disagreement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-21 Nir Ailon , Ron Begleiter , Esther Ezra

Machine learning is a vital part of many real-world systems, but several concerns remain about the lack of interpretability, explainability and robustness of black-box AI systems. Concept Bottleneck Models (CBM) address some of these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-24 Hidde Fokkema , Tim van Erven , Sara Magliacane

The paradigm of decision-making has been revolutionised by reinforcement learning and deep learning. Although this has led to significant progress in domains such as robotics, healthcare, and finance, the use of RL in practice is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Daqian Shao

In the convex optimization approach to online regret minimization, many methods have been developed to guarantee a $O(\sqrt{T})$ bound on regret for subdifferentiable convex loss functions with bounded subgradients, by using a reduction to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-20 Arthur Flajolet , Patrick Jaillet

Assessing sampling uncertainty in extremum estimation can be challenging when the asymptotic variance is not analytically tractable. Bootstrap inference offers a feasible solution but can be computationally costly especially when the model…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-15 Jean-Jacques Forneron , Serena Ng

Meta-learning has been proposed as a promising machine learning topic in recent years, with important applications to image classification, robotics, computer games, and control systems. In this paper, we study the problem of using…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-04 Yunian Pan , Tao Li , Quanyan Zhu

Uncertainty representation and quantification are paramount in machine learning and constitute an important prerequisite for safety-critical applications. In this paper, we propose novel measures for the quantification of aleatoric and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

Although Gaussian processes (GPs) with deep kernels have been successfully used for meta-learning in regression tasks, its uncertainty estimation performance can be poor. We propose a meta-learning method for calibrating deep kernel GPs for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-14 Tomoharu Iwata , Atsutoshi Kumagai

We study aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty estimation in a learned regressive system dynamics model. Disentangling aleatoric uncertainty (the inherent randomness of the system) from epistemic uncertainty (the lack of data) is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Zhiyu An , Zhibo Hou , Wan Du
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