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Uncertainty-aware machine learners, such as Bayesian neural networks, output a quantification of uncertainty instead of a point prediction. We provide uncertainty-aware learners with a principled framework to characterize, and identify ways…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Sabina J. Sloman , Michele Caprio , Samuel Kaski

Although evidence integration to the boundary model has successfully explained a wide range of behavioral and neural data in decision making under uncertainty, how animals learn and optimize the boundary remains unresolved. Here, we propose…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Jamal Esmaily , Rani Moran , Yasser Roudi , Bahador Bahrami

In this paper, we study gap-dependent regret guarantees for risk-sensitive reinforcement learning based on the entropic risk measure. We propose a novel definition of sub-optimality gaps, which we call cascaded gaps, and we discuss their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Yingjie Fei , Ruitu Xu

The theory underlying robust distributed learning algorithms, designed to resist adversarial machines, matches empirical observations when data is homogeneous. Under data heterogeneity however, which is the norm in practical scenarios,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Youssef Allouah , Rachid Guerraoui , Nirupam Gupta , Rafaël Pinot , Geovani Rizk

The Heisenberg uncertainty principle is one of the fundamental pillars of quantum mechanics and quantum field theory. It is normally introduced by postulating the commutation relations $[\hat{x}^i, \hat{p}^j] = i\hbar \delta^{ij}$. However,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-01-29 Ezequiel Valero , Hector Gisbert , Victor Ilisie

The constrained Cramer-Rao bound (CCRB) is a lower bound on the mean-squared-error (MSE) of estimators that satisfy some unbiasedness conditions. Although the CCRB unbiasedness conditions are satisfied asymptotically by the constrained…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Eyal Nitzan , Tirza Routtenberg , Joseph Tabrikian

Learning, whether natural or artificial, is a process of selection. It starts with a set of candidate options and selects the more successful ones. In the case of machine learning the selection is done based on empirical estimates of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Yevgeny Seldin

Experimental and observational studies often lack validity due to untestable assumptions. We propose a double machine learning approach to combine experimental and observational studies, allowing practitioners to test for assumption…

We propose a coupled bootstrap (CB) method for the test error of an arbitrary algorithm that estimates the mean in a Poisson sequence, often called the Poisson means problem. The idea behind our method is to generate two carefully-designed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Natalia L. Oliveira , Jing Lei , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Deep neural networks do not discriminate between spurious and causal patterns, and will only learn the most predictive ones while ignoring the others. This shortcut learning behaviour is detrimental to a network's ability to generalize to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Thomas Duboudin , Emmanuel Dellandréa , Corentin Abgrall , Gilles Hénaff , Liming Chen

It is known that neural networks have the problem of being over-confident when directly using the output label distribution to generate uncertainty measures. Existing methods mainly resolve this issue by retraining the entire model to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Maohao Shen , Yuheng Bu , Prasanna Sattigeri , Soumya Ghosh , Subhro Das , Gregory Wornell

The uncertainty principle generally prohibits determination of certain pairs of quantum mechanical observables with arbitrary precision and forms the basis of indeterminacy in quantum mechanics. It was Heisenberg who used the famous…

Most positive and unlabeled data is subject to selection biases. The labeled examples can, for example, be selected from the positive set because they are easier to obtain or more obviously positive. This paper investigates how learning can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-01 Jessa Bekker , Pieter Robberechts , Jesse Davis

The Context-Content Uncertainty Principle (CCUP) proposes that inference under uncertainty is governed by an entropy asymmetry between context and content: high-entropy contexts must be interpreted through alignment with low-entropy,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Xin Li

While active learning offers potential cost savings, the actual data efficiency---the reduction in amount of labeled data needed to obtain the same error rate---observed in practice is mixed. This paper poses a basic question: when is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-19 Stephen Mussmann , Percy Liang

Model selection in supervised learning provides costless guarantees as if the model that best balances bias and variance was known a priori. We study the feasibility of similar guarantees for cumulative regret minimization in the stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Sanath Kumar Krishnamurthy , Adrienne Margaret Propp , Susan Athey

We propose a network architecture capable of reliably estimating uncertainty of regression based predictions without sacrificing accuracy. The current state-of-the-art uncertainty algorithms either fall short of achieving prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Kinjal Patel , Steven Waslander

Conformal unlearning aims to ensure that a trained conformal predictor miscovers data points with specific shared characteristics, such as those from a particular label class, associated with a specific user, or belonging to a defined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Yahya Alkhatib , Muhammad Ahmar Jamal , Wee Peng Tay

Rehearsal-based approaches are a mainstay of continual learning (CL). They mitigate the catastrophic forgetting problem by maintaining a small fixed-size buffer with a subset of data from past tasks. While most rehearsal-based approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Zifeng Wang , Zheng Zhan , Yifan Gong , Yucai Shao , Stratis Ioannidis , Yanzhi Wang , Jennifer Dy

This paper proposes a data-driven systematic, consistent and non-exhaustive approach to Model Selection, that is an extension of the classical agnostic PAC learning model. In this approach, learning problems are modeled not only by a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-12 Diego Marcondes , Adilson Simonis , Junior Barrera
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