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We present a new uncertainty principle for risk-aware statistical estimation, effectively quantifying the inherent trade-off between mean squared error ($\mse$) and risk, the latter measured by the associated average predictive squared…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Nikolas P. Koumpis , Dionysios S. Kalogerias

We study fine-grained gap-dependent regret bounds for model-free reinforcement learning in episodic tabular Markov Decision Processes. Existing model-free algorithms achieve minimax worst-case regret, but their gap-dependent bounds remain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-09 Haochen Zhang , Zhong Zheng , Lingzhou Xue

The overall predictive uncertainty of a trained predictor can be decomposed into separate contributions due to epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty. Under a Bayesian formulation, assuming a well-specified model, the two contributions can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Sharu Theresa Jose , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone

Calibration error is commonly adopted for evaluating the quality of uncertainty estimators in deep neural networks. In this paper, we argue that such a metric is highly beneficial for training predictive models, even when we do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-01 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Bindya Venkatesh , Deepta Rajan

Proper learning refers to the setting in which learners must emit predictors in the underlying hypothesis class $H$, and often leads to learners with simple algorithmic forms (e.g. empirical risk minimization (ERM), structural risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Julian Asilis , Siddartha Devic , Shaddin Dughmi , Vatsal Sharan , Shang-Hua Teng

This paper investigates the challenges of optimal online policy learning under missing data. State-of-the-art algorithms implicitly assume that rewards are always observable. I show that when rewards are missing at random, the Upper…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-29 Filippo Palomba

Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

Continual learning aims to learn new tasks without forgetting previously learned ones. This is especially challenging when one cannot access data from previous tasks and when the model has a fixed capacity. Current regularization-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-21 Sayna Ebrahimi , Mohamed Elhoseiny , Trevor Darrell , Marcus Rohrbach

Deep learning models have significantly improved prediction accuracy in various fields, gaining recognition across numerous disciplines. Yet, an aspect of deep learning that remains insufficiently addressed is the assessment of prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-18 Asaf Ben Arie , Malka Gorfine

Model-free reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms, such as Q-learning, directly parameterize and update value functions or policies without explicitly modeling the environment. They are typically simpler, more flexible to use, and thus more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-11 Chi Jin , Zeyuan Allen-Zhu , Sebastien Bubeck , Michael I. Jordan

Heisenberg's uncertainty principle implies fundamental constraints on what properties of a quantum system can we simultaneously learn. However, it typically assumes that we probe these properties via measurements at a single point in time.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-06-21 Yunlong Xiao , Yuxiang Yang , Ximing Wang , Qing Liu , Mile Gu

The celebrated Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle \Delta x \Delta p\ge \hbar/2 can allow measurement accuracies less than \Delta x or \Delta p. Classical analog of this is known as sub-Fourier sensitivity. We illustrate this phenomenon in a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-04-09 Anwar Mohiuddin , Abhijeet K. Jha , Prasanta K. Panigrahi

Uncertainty estimation methods using deep learning approaches strive against separating how uncertain the state of the world manifests to us via measurement (objective end) from the way this gets scrambled with the model specification and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-21 Edgardo Solano-Carrillo

In the present era of deep learning, continual learning research is mainly focused on mitigating forgetting when training a neural network with stochastic gradient descent on a non-stationary stream of data. On the other hand, in the more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Soochan Lee , Hyeonseong Jeon , Jaehyeon Son , Gunhee Kim

To build robust, fair, and safe AI systems, we would like our classifiers to say ``I don't know'' when facing test examples that are difficult or fall outside of the training classes.The ubiquitous strategy to predict under uncertainty is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-22 Kamalika Chaudhuri , David Lopez-Paz

Cascading bandits is a natural and popular model that frames the task of learning to rank from Bernoulli click feedback in a bandit setting. For the case of unstructured rewards, we prove matching upper and lower bounds for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Daniel Vial , Sujay Sanghavi , Sanjay Shakkottai , R. Srikant

There has been a growing interest in Machine Unlearning recently, primarily due to legal requirements such as the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) and the California Consumer Privacy Act. Thus, multiple approaches were presented to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Alexander Becker , Thomas Liebig

The Heisenberg uncertainty principle shows that no one can specify the values of the non-commuting canonically conjugated variables simultaneously. However, the uncertainty relation is usually applied to two incompatible measurements. We…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-09-22 Jun Zhang , Yang Zhang , Chang-shui Yu

Machine unlearning strives to uphold the data owners' right to be forgotten by enabling models to selectively forget specific data. Recent advances suggest pre-computing and storing statistics extracted from second-order information and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Xinbao Qiao , Meng Zhang , Ming Tang , Ermin Wei

Capturing aleatoric uncertainty is a critical part of many machine learning systems. In deep learning, a common approach to this end is to train a neural network to estimate the parameters of a heteroscedastic Gaussian distribution by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Maximilian Seitzer , Arash Tavakoli , Dimitrije Antic , Georg Martius
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