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How should one combine noisy information from diverse sources to make an inference about an objective ground truth? This frequently recurring, normative question lies at the core of statistics, machine learning, policy-making, and everyday…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-01-29 Silviu Pitis , Michael R. Zhang

When randomized ensembles such as bagging or random forests are used for binary classification, the prediction error of the ensemble tends to decrease and stabilize as the number of classifiers increases. However, the precise relationship…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Miles E. Lopes

We establish that temporal averaging over multiple observations is the degenerate case of algebraic group action with the trivial group $G=\{e\}$. A General Replacement Theorem proves that a group-averaged estimator from one snapshot…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Mitchell A. Thornton

Like many other voting systems, Majority Judgement suffers from the weaknesses of the underlying mathematical model: Elections as problem of choice or ranking. We show how the model can be enhanced to take into account the complete process…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-07-07 Friedemann Kemm

Numerous studies and anecdotes demonstrate the "wisdom of the crowd," the surprising accuracy of a group's aggregated judgments. Less is known, however, about the generality of crowd wisdom. For example, are crowds wise even if their…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-07-01 Clintin Davis-Stober , David Budescu , Jason Dana , Stephen Broomell

We show how voting may be viewed naturally from an algebraic perspective by viewing voting profiles as elements of certain well-studied $\mathbb{Q}S_n$-modules. By using only a handful of simple combinatorial objects (e.g., tabloids) and…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-19 Zajj Daugherty , Alexander K. Eustis , Gregory Minton , Michael E. Orrison

We consider the problem of ranking $n$ experts according to their abilities, based on the correctness of their answers to $d$ questions. This is modeled by the so-called crowd-sourcing model, where the answer of expert $i$ on question $k$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-25 Alexandra Carpentier , Nicolas Verzelen

We introduce a novel framework for incorporating human expertise into algorithmic predictions. Our approach leverages human judgment to distinguish inputs which are algorithmically indistinguishable, or "look the same" to predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Rohan Alur , Manish Raghavan , Devavrat Shah

LLM-as-a-Judge, which generates chain-of-thought (CoT) judgments, has become a widely adopted auto-evaluation method. However, its reliability is compromised by the CoT reasoning's inability to capture comprehensive and deeper details,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Qiyuan Zhang , Yufei Wang , Yuxin Jiang , Liangyou Li , Chuhan Wu , Yasheng Wang , Xin Jiang , Lifeng Shang , Ruiming Tang , Fuyuan Lyu , Chen Ma

In this paper we develop a novel approach to relaxing Arrow's axioms for voting rules, addressing a long-standing critique in social choice theory. Classical axioms (often styled as fairness axioms or fairness criteria) are assessed in a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Suvadip Sana , Daniel Brous , Martin T. Wells , Moon Duchin

Wisdom of the crowd, the collective intelligence derived from responses of multiple human or machine individuals to the same questions, can be more accurate than each individual, and improve social decision-making and prediction accuracy.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-29 Lingfei Wang , Tom Michoel

As AI models progress beyond simple chatbots into more complex workflows, we draw ever closer to the event horizon beyond which AI systems will be utilized in autonomous, self-maintaining feedback loops. Any autonomous AI system will depend…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Benjamin Feuer , Lucas Rosenblatt , Oussama Elachqar

Moral AI has been studied in the fields of philosophy and artificial intelligence. Although most existing studies are only theoretical, recent developments in AI have made it increasingly necessary to implement AI with morality. On the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Masashi Takeshita , Rzepka Rafal , Kenji Araki

Scholars have increasingly investigated "crowdsourcing" as an alternative to expert-based judgment or purely data-driven approaches to predicting the future. Under certain conditions, scholars have found that crowdsourcing can outperform…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-12 Daniel Martin Katz , Michael James Bommarito , Josh Blackman

Social choice is the theory about collective decision towards social welfare starting from individual opinions, preferences, interests or welfare. The field of Computational Social Welfare is somewhat recent and it is gaining impact in the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Andrés García-Camino

Arrow's Impossibility Theorem establishes bounds on what we can require from voting systems. Given satisfaction of a small collection of "fairness" axioms, it shows votes can only exist as dictatorships in which one voter determines all…

Logic · Mathematics 2023-11-17 Alex Hall

This paper presents the Crowd Score, a novel method to assess the funniness of jokes using large language models (LLMs) as AI judges. Our method relies on inducing different personalities into the LLM and aggregating the votes of the AI…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-12-22 Fabricio Goes , Zisen Zhou , Piotr Sawicki , Marek Grzes , Daniel G. Brown

Crowd-sourcing is a cheap and popular means of creating training and evaluation datasets for machine learning, however it poses the problem of `truth inference', as individual workers cannot be wholly trusted to provide reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Yuan Li , Benjamin I. P. Rubinstein , Trevor Cohn

When we use the wisdom of the crowds, we usually rank the answers according to their popularity, especially when we cannot verify the answers. However, this can be very dangerous when the majority make systematic mistakes. A fundamental…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Yuqing Kong , Yunqi Li , Yubo Zhang , Zhihuan Huang , Jinzhao Wu

We study the problem of {\em impartial selection}, a topic that lies at the intersection of computational social choice and mechanism design. The goal is to select the most popular individual among a set of community members. The input can…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Ioannis Caragiannis , George Christodoulou , Nicos Protopapas
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