English

Statistical and computational challenges in ranking

Statistics Theory 2025-12-25 v1 Machine Learning Statistics Theory

Abstract

We consider the problem of ranking nn experts according to their abilities, based on the correctness of their answers to dd questions. This is modeled by the so-called crowd-sourcing model, where the answer of expert ii on question kk is modeled by a random entry, parametrized by Mi,kM_{i,k} which is increasing linearly with the expected quality of the answer. To enable the unambiguous ranking of the experts by ability, several assumptions on MM are available in the literature. We consider here the general isotonic crowd-sourcing model, where MM is assumed to be isotonic up to an unknown permutation π\pi^* of the experts - namely, Mπ1(i),kMπ1(i+1),kM_{\pi^{*-1}(i),k} \geq M_{\pi^{*-1}(i+1),k} for any i[n1],k[d]i\in [n-1], k \in [d]. Then, ranking experts amounts to constructing an estimator of π\pi^*. In particular, we investigate here the existence of statistically optimal and computationally efficient procedures and we describe recent results that disprove the existence of computational-statistical gaps for this problem. To provide insights on the key ideas, we start by discussing simpler and yet related sub-problems, namely sub-matrix detection and estimation. This corresponds to specific instances of the ranking problem where the matrix MM is constrained to be of the form λ1{S×T}\lambda \mathbf 1\{S\times T\} where S[n],T[d]S\subset [n], T\subset [d]. This model has been extensively studied. We provide an overview of the results and proof techniques for this problem with a particular emphasis on the computational lower bounds based on low-degree polynomial methods. Then, we build upon this instrumental sub-problem to discuss existing results and algorithmic ideas for the general ranking problem.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2512.21111,
  title  = {Statistical and computational challenges in ranking},
  author = {Alexandra Carpentier and Nicolas Verzelen},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2512.21111},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T08:39:49.998Z