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We develop new methods to integrate experimental and observational data in causal inference. While randomized controlled trials offer strong internal validity, they are often costly and therefore limited in sample size. Observational data,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-04 Xuelin Yang , Licong Lin , Susan Athey , Michael I. Jordan , Guido W. Imbens

We investigate an application of a mathematically robust minimization method -- the gradient method -- to the consistencization problem of a pairwise comparisons (PC) matrix. Our approach sheds new light on the notion of a priority vector…

Rings and Algebras · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Jean-Pierre Magnot , Jiří Mazurek , Viera Čerňanová

From molecular imaging to wireless communications, the ability to align and reconstruct signals from multiple misaligned observations is crucial for system performance. We study the problem of multi-reference alignment (MRA), which arises…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Rob Romijnders , Gabriele Cesa , Christos Louizos , Kumar Pratik , Arash Behboodi

Causal representation learning (CRL) aims at recovering latent causal variables from high-dimensional observations to solve causal downstream tasks, such as predicting the effect of new interventions or more robust classification. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Dingling Yao , Dario Rancati , Riccardo Cadei , Marco Fumero , Francesco Locatello

The application of machine learning models can be significantly impeded by the occurrence of distributional shifts, as the assumption of homogeneity between the population of training and testing samples in machine learning and statistics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-06 Wenlu Tang , Zicheng Liu

Off-policy evaluation (OPE) is a critical challenge in robust decision-making that seeks to assess the performance of a new policy using data collected under a different policy. However, the existing OPE methodologies suffer from several…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-11 Muhammad Faaiz Taufiq

Invariant risk minimization (IRM) (Arjovsky et al., 2019) is a recently proposed framework designed for learning predictors that are invariant to spurious correlations across different training environments. Yet, despite its theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-07 Yo Joong Choe , Jiyeon Ham , Kyubyong Park

In many areas of engineering and sciences, decision rules and control strategies are usually designed based on nominal values of relevant system parameters. To ensure that a control strategy or decision rule will work properly when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Xinjia Chen

Causal inference and model interpretability research are gaining increasing attention, especially in the domains of healthcare and bioinformatics. Despite recent successes in this field, decorrelating features under nonlinear environments…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-30 Junda Wang , Weijian Li , Han Wang , Hanjia Lyu , Caroline Thirukumaran , Addisu Mesfin , Jiebo Luo

Forecasting armed conflicts is a critical area of research with the potential to save lives and mitigate suffering. While existing forecasting models offer valuable point predictions, they often lack individual-level uncertainty estimates,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 David Randahl , Jonathan P. Williams , Håvard Hegre

The construction of numerical value scales (or priority values) is a recurrent topic in decision-aiding research. However, in real contexts, uncertainty and limited cognitive precision often lead decision-makers to provide interval…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Diego García-Zamora , José Rui Figueira

The broad concept of emergence is instrumental in various of the most challenging open scientific questions -- yet, few quantitative theories of what constitutes emergent phenomena have been proposed. This article introduces a formal theory…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-27 Fernando E. Rosas , Pedro A. M. Mediano , Henrik J. Jensen , Anil K. Seth , Adam B. Barrett , Robin L. Carhart-Harris , Daniel Bor

Bayesian analyses combine information represented by different terms in a joint Bayesian model. When one or more of the terms is misspecified, it can be helpful to restrict the use of information from suspect model components to modify…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-27 Xuejun Yu , David J. Nott , Michael Stanley Smith

Biomedical retrieval-augmented large language models (LLMs) often face evidence that is incomplete, misleading, or internally contradictory, yet evaluation usually emphasizes answer accuracy under helpful context rather than reliability…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Yikun Han , Mengfei Lan , Halil Kilicoglu

Code merging is a significant challenge, particularly in large-scale projects. Existing solutions, including program analysis and machine learning, show promise but face critical limitations. Program analysis lacks the ability to infer…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Qingyu Zhang , Junzhe Li , Jiayi Lin , Changhua Luo , Chenxiong Qian

EVINCE (Entropy and Variation IN Conditional Exchanges) is a novel framework for optimizing multi-LLM dialogues using conditional statistics and information theory. It addresses limitations in multi-agent debate (MAS) frameworks, where…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Edward Y. Chang

It has become increasingly common nowadays to collect observations of feature and response pairs from different environments. As a consequence, one has to apply learned predictors to data with a different distribution due to distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-31 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

We study causal inference in a multi-environment setting, in which the functional relations for producing the variables from their direct causes remain the same across environments, while the distribution of exogenous noises may vary. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-29 AmirEmad Ghassami , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash , Kun Zhang

We address combinatorial problems that can be formulated as minimization of a partially separable function of discrete variables (energy minimization in graphical models, weighted constraint satisfaction, pseudo-Boolean optimization, 0-1…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-05-05 Alexander Shekhovtsov

In this work, we aim to compare different methods and formulations to solve a problem in air traffic management to global optimality. In particular, we focus on the aircraft deconfliction problem, where we are given n aircraft, their…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Renan Spencer Trindade , Claudia D'Ambrosio