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This paper employs a Bayesian methodology to predict the results of soccer matches in real-time. Using sequential data of various events throughout the match, we utilize a multinomial probit regression in a novel framework to estimate the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-17 Chinmay Divekar , Soudeep Deb , Rishideep Roy

Devising player-specific strategies in cricket necessitates a meticulous understanding of each player's unique strengths and weaknesses. Nevertheless, the absence of a definitive computational approach to extract such insights from cricket…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Swarup Ranjan Behera , Vijaya V. Saradhi

Football forecasting models traditionally rate teams on past match results, that is based on the number of goals scored. Goals, however, involve a high element of chance and thus past results often do not reflect the performances of the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-07 Edward Wheatcroft , Ewelina Sienkiewicz

In this work, we extended a stochastic model for football leagues based on the team's potential [R. da Silva et al. Comput. Phys. Commun. \textbf{184} 661--670 (2013)] for making predictions instead of only performing a successful…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-08 Eduardo V. Stock , Roberto da Silva , Henrique A. Fernandes

There is enduring interest in disentangling the effects of skill and luck in sport. A key issue in Formula 1 is distinguishing between car-level and driver-level effects. Four elite teams currently dominate Formula 1 and have won every…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-29 John Fry , Silvio Fanzon , Mark Austin , Tom Brighton

Performative prediction characterizes environments where predictive models alter the very data distributions they aim to forecast, triggering complex feedback loops. While prior research treats single-agent and multi-agent performativity as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-04 Zhixian Zhang , Xiaotian Hou , Linjun Zhang

Ubiquitous sensors and Internet of Things (IoT) technologies have revolutionized the sports industry, providing new methodologies for planning, effective coordination of training, and match analysis post game. New methods, including machine…

Player selection is one the most important tasks for any sport and cricket is no exception. The performance of the players depends on various factors such as the opposition team, the venue, his current form etc. The team management, the…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-04-13 Kalpdrum Passi , Niravkumar Pandey

Invasion team sports such as soccer produce a high-dimensional, strongly coupled state space as many players continuously interact on a shared field, challenging quantitative tactical analysis. Traditional rule-based analyses are intuitive,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Kenjiro Ide , Taiga Someya , Kohei Kawaguchi , Keisuke Fujii

In the run-up to any major sports tournament, winning probabilities of participants are publicized for engagement and betting purposes. These are generally based on simulating the tournament tens of thousands of times by sampling from…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-21 Ulrik Brandes , Gordana Marmulla , Ivana Smokovic

In soccer, scoring goals is a fundamental objective which depends on many conditions and constraints. Considering the RoboCup soccer 2D-simulator, this paper presents a data mining-based decision system to identify the best time and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-06-28 Renato Oliveira , Paulo Adeodato , Arthur Carvalho , Icamaan Viegas , Christian Diego , Tsang Ing-Ren

Technology offers new ways to measure the locations of the players and of the ball in sports. This translates to the trajectories the ball takes on the field as a result of the tactics the team applies. The challenge professionals in soccer…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-08-11 Laszlo Gyarmati , Xavier Anguera

Soccer Simulation 2D (SS2D) is a simulation of a real soccer game in two dimensions. In soccer, passing behavior is an essential action for keeping the ball in possession of our team and creating goal opportunities. Similarly, for SS2D,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Nader Zare , Mahtab Sarvmaili , Aref Sayareh , Omid Amini , Stan Matwin Amilcar Soares

The modal factor model represents a new factor model for dimension reduction in high dimensional panel data. Unlike the approximate factor model that targets for the mean factors, it captures factors that influence the conditional mode of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-01 Zhe Sun , Yundong Tu

This study explores the relationship between the performance of a football team and the topological parameters of temporal passing networks. To achieve this, we propose a method to identify moments of high and low team performance based on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-13 Andres Chacoma

This study develops a hierarchical Bayesian framework that integrates expert domain knowledge to quantify player-specific effects in expected goals (xG) estimation, addressing a limitation of standard models that treat all players as…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-01 Mikayil Mahmudlu , Oktay Karakuş , Hasan Arkadaş

Soccer broadcast video understanding has been drawing a lot of attention in recent years within data scientists and industrial companies. This is mainly due to the lucrative potential unlocked by effective deep learning techniques developed…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Anthony Cioppa , Adrien Deliège , Floriane Magera , Silvio Giancola , Olivier Barnich , Bernard Ghanem , Marc Van Droogenbroeck

Predicting outcomes in sports is important for teams, leagues, bettors, media, and fans. Given the growing amount of player tracking data, sports analytics models are increasingly utilizing spatially-derived features built upon player…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-29 Peter Xenopoulos , Claudio Silva

In the last years, scientific and industrial research has experienced a growing interest in acquiring large annotated data sets to train artificial intelligence algorithms for tackling problems in different domains. In this context, we have…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Silvio Barra , Salvatore M. Carta , Alessandro Giuliani , Alessia Pisu , Alessandro Sebastian Podda , DanieleRiboni

In this paper, we explore some of the applications of computer vision to sports analytics. Sport analytics deals with understanding and discovering patterns from a corpus of sports data. Analysing such data provides important performance…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-15 Neha Bhargava , Fabio Cuzzolin