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Traditional approaches to measuring visual exploratory behavior in soccer rely on counting visual exploratory actions (VEAs) based on rapid head movements exceeding 125{\deg}/s, but this method suffer from player position bias (i.e., a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Joris Bekkers

We ask if there are alternative contest models that minimize error or information loss from misspecification and outperform the Pythagorean model. This article aims to use simulated data to select the optimal expected win percentage model…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-03 Justin Ehrlich , Christopher Boudreaux , James Boudreau , Shane Sanders

Task allocation in heterogeneous multi-agent teams often requires reasoning about multi-dimensional agent traits (i.e., capabilities) and the demands placed on them by tasks. However, existing methods tend to ignore the fact that not all…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Vivek Mallampati , Harish Ravichandar

In fantasy sports, strategic thinking-not mere luck-often defines who wins and who falls short. As fantasy cricket grows in popularity across India, understanding whether success stems from skill or chance has become both an analytical and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-23 Supratim Das , Sarthak Sarkar , Subhamoy Maitra , Tridib Mukherjee

Several performance metrics for quantifying the in-game performances of individual football players have been proposed in recent years. Although the majority of the on-the-ball actions during games constitutes of passes, many of the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-05 Lotte Bransen , Jan Van Haaren

Estimating win probability is one of the classic modeling tasks of sports analytics. Many widely used win probability estimators use machine learning to fit the relationship between a binary win/loss outcome variable and certain game-state…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-21 Ryan S. Brill , Ronald Yurko , Abraham J. Wyner

In this work we propose a multi-modal architecture for analyzing soccer scenes from tactical camera footage, with a focus on three core tasks: ball trajectory inference, ball state classification, and ball possessor identification. To this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Marc Peral , Guillem Capellera , Luis Ferraz , Antonio Rubio , Antonio Agudo

Scoring goals in a soccer match can be interpreted as a stochastic process. In the most simple description of a soccer match one assumes that scoring goals can be described by a constant goal rate for each team, implying simple Poissonian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-07-19 Andreas Heuer , Oliver Rubner

Soccer commentary plays a crucial role in enhancing the soccer game viewing experience for audiences. Previous studies in automatic soccer commentary generation typically adopt an end-to-end method to generate anonymous live text…

Multimedia · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Zeyu Jin , Xiaoyu Qin , Songtao Zhou , Kaifeng Yun , Jia Jia

Soccer analysis tools emphasize metrics such as expected goals, leading to an overrepresentation of attacking players' contributions and overlooking players who facilitate ball control and link attacks. Examples include Rodri from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Jacky Hao Jiang , Jerry Cai , Anastasios Kyrillidis

One of the key problems in the field of soccer analytics is predicting how a player performance changes when transitioning from one league to another. One potential solution to address this issue lies in the evaluation of the respective…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-19 Andrei Shelopugin , Alexander Sirotkin

The SoccerNet 2025 Challenges mark the fifth annual edition of the SoccerNet open benchmarking effort, dedicated to advancing computer vision research in football video understanding. This year's challenges span four vision-based tasks: (1)…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Silvio Giancola , Anthony Cioppa , Marc Gutiérrez-Pérez , Jan Held , Carlos Hinojosa , Victor Joos , Arnaud Leduc , Floriane Magera , Karen Sanchez , Vladimir Somers , Artur Xarles , Antonio Agudo , Alexandre Alahi , Olivier Barnich , Albert Clapés , Christophe De Vleeschouwer , Sergio Escalera , Bernard Ghanem , Thomas B. Moeslund , Marc Van Droogenbroeck , Tomoki Abe , Saad Alotaibi , Faisal Altawijri , Steven Araujo , Xiang Bai , Xiaoyang Bi , Jiawang Cao , Vanyi Chao , Kamil Czarnogórski , Fabian Deuser , Mingyang Du , Tianrui Feng , Patrick Frenzel , Mirco Fuchs , Jorge García , Konrad Habel , Takaya Hashiguchi , Sadao Hirose , Xinting Hu , Yewon Hwang , Ririko Inoue , Riku Itsuji , Kazuto Iwai , Hongwei Ji , Yangguang Ji , Licheng Jiao , Yuto Kageyama , Yuta Kamikawa , Yuuki Kanasugi , Hyungjung Kim , Jinwook Kim , Takuya Kurihara , Bozheng Li , Lingling Li , Xian Li , Youxing Lian , Dingkang Liang , Hongkai Lin , Jiadong Lin , Jian Liu , Liang Liu , Shuaikun Liu , Zhaohong Liu , Yi Lu , Federico Méndez , Huadong Ma , Wenping Ma , Jacek Maksymiuk , Henry Mantilla , Ismail Mathkour , Daniel Matthes , Ayaha Motomochi , Amrulloh Robbani Muhammad , Haruto Nakayama , Joohyung Oh , Yin May Oo , Marcelo Ortega , Norbert Oswald , Rintaro Otsubo , Fabian Perez , Mengshi Qi , Cristian Rey , Abel Reyes-Angulo , Oliver Rose , Hoover Rueda-Chacón , Hideo Saito , Jose Sarmiento , Kanta Sawafuji , Atom Scott , Xi Shen , Pragyan Shrestha , Jae-Young Sim , Long Sun , Yuyang Sun , Tomohiro Suzuki , Licheng Tang , Masato Tonouchi , Ikuma Uchida , Henry O. Velesaca , Tiancheng Wang , Rio Watanabe , Jay Wu , Yongliang Wu , Shunzo Yamagishi , Di Yang , Xu Yang , Yuxin Yang , Hao Ye , Xinyu Ye , Calvin Yeung , Xuanlong Yu , Chao Zhang , Dingyuan Zhang , Kexing Zhang , Zhe Zhao , Xin Zhou , Wenbo Zhu , Julian Ziegler

Predicting the outcome of sports events is a hard task. We quantify this difficulty with a coefficient that measures the distance between the observed final results of sports leagues and idealized perfectly balanced competitions in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-27 Raquel YS Aoki , Renato M Assuncao , Pedro OS Vaz de Melo

Technological advancements in soccer have surged over the past decade, transforming aspects of the sport. Unlike binary rules, many soccer regulations, such as the "Offside Rule," rely on subjective interpretation rather than…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Shounak Desai

While PageRank has been extensively used to rank sport tournament participants (teams or individuals), its superiority over simpler ranking methods has been never clearly demonstrated. We use sports results from 18 major leagues to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Yuhao Zhou , Ruijie Wang , Yi-Cheng Zhang , An Zeng , Matúš Medo

Even skilled fantasy football managers can be disappointed by their mid-season rosters as some players inevitably fall short of draft day expectations. Team managers can quickly discover that their team has a low score ceiling even if they…

Modeling open-play soccer tactics is a formidable challenge due to the stochastic, multi-agent nature of the game. Existing computational approaches typically produce single, deterministic trajectory forecasts or focus on highly structured…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Jiayuan Rao , Tianlin Gui , Haoning Wu , Yanfeng Wang , Weidi Xie

Formula 1 performance is a combination of the car's ability and the driver's ability. While a given race or season can tell you how well a car and driver performed jointly, isolating the individual impact of the driver and constructor…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-04 Saurabh Rane

Expected points is a value function fundamental to player evaluation and strategic in-game decision-making across sports analytics, particularly in American football. To estimate expected points, football analysts use machine learning…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-10 Ryan S. Brill , Ryan Yee , Sameer K. Deshpande , Abraham J. Wyner

Players and ball detection are among the first required steps on a football analytics platform. Until recently, the existing open datasets on which the evaluations of most models were based, were not sufficient. In this work, we point out…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Konstantinos Moutselos , Ilias Maglogiannis
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