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In this paper, we study a stochastic susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model that includes an additional immigration process. In the presence of multiplicative noise, generated by environmental perturbations, the model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-03 Sourav Chowdhury , Indrani Bose , Suparna Roychowdhury , Indranath Chaudhuri

In recent years, classical epidemic models, which assume stationary behavior of individuals, have been extended to include an adaptive heterogeneous response of the population to the current state of the epidemic. However, it is widely…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Ruofei Guan , Jana Kopfová , Dmitrii Rachinskii

Epidemics are often modelled using non-linear dynamical systems observed through partial and noisy data. In this paper, we consider stochastic extensions in order to capture unknown influences (changing behaviors, public interventions,…

Applications · Statistics 2012-11-06 Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Marc Baguelin

We analyze a general theory for coexistence and extinction of ecological communities that are influenced by stochastic temporal environmental fluctuations. The results apply to discrete time (stochastic difference equations), continuous…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Alexandru Hening , Dang H. Nguyen , Peter Chesson

To model the evolution of diseases with extended latency periods and the presence of asymptomatic patients like COVID-19, we define a simple discrete time stochastic SIR-type epidemic model. We include both latent periods as well as the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-14 Xavier Bardina , Marco Ferrante , Carles Rovira

We establish a stochastic HIV/AIDS model for the individuals with protection awareness and reveal how the protection awareness plays its important role in the control of AIDS. We firstly show that there exists a global positive solution for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-03-01 Xuanpei Zhai , Wenshuang Li , Fengying Wei , Xuerong Mao

Deterministic approximations to stochastic Susceptible-Infectious-Susceptible models typically predict a stable endemic steady-state when above threshold. This can be hard to relate to the underlying stochastic dynamics, which has no…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-12 Christopher E. Overton , Robert R. Wilkinson , Adedapo Loyinmi , Joel C. Miller , Kieran J. Sharkey

It has recently been shown that structural conditions on the reaction network, rather than a 'fine-tuning' of system parameters, often suffice to impart 'absolute concentration robustness' on a wide class of biologically relevant,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-20 David F. Anderson , German Enciso , Matthew Johnston

The effect of stochasticity, in the form of Gaussian white noise, in a predator-prey model with two distinct time-scales is presented. A supercritical singular Hopf bifurcation yields a Type II excitability in the deterministic model. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-20 Susmita Sadhu

This paper explores a stochastic Gause predator-prey model with bounded or sub-linear functional response. The model, described by a system of stochastic differential equations, captures the influence of stochastic fluctuations on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-10 Leon Alexander Valencia , Ph. D , Jorge Mario Ramirez Osorio , Jorge Andres Sanchez

Recent years have seen a large amount of interest in epidemics on networks as a way of representing the complex structure of contacts capable of spreading infections through the modern human population. The configuration model is a popular…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-23 Frank Ball , Thomas House

A recent article that combines normalized epidemic compartmental models and population games put forth a system theoretic approach to capture the coupling between a population's strategic behavior and the course of an epidemic. It…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-04-05 Jair Certorio , Nuno C. Martins , Richard J. La

We study the spread of discrete-time epidemics over arbitrary networks for well-known propagation models, namely SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible), SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered), SIRS (susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible)…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-10-03 Navid Azizan Ruhi , Hyoung Jun Ahn , Babak Hassibi

This article is concerned with a mutualism ecological model with stochastic perturbations. the local existence and uniqueness of a positive solution are obtained with positive initial value, and the asymptotic behavior to the problem is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-06-02 Mei Li , Hongjun Gao , Chenfeng Sun , Yuezheng Gong

With the premise that social interactions are described by power-law distributions, we study a SIR stochastic dynamic on a static scale-free random network generated via configuration model. We verify our model with respect to deterministic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-10 Sara Sottile , Ozan Kahramanoğulları , Mattia Sensi

Models of population growth and extinction are an increasingly popular subject of study. However, consequences of stochasticity and noise in shaping distributions and outcomes are not sufficiently explored. Here we consider a distributed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-11 Bertrand Ottino-Löffler , Mehran Kardar

Deterministic models of vegetation often summarize, at a macroscopic scale, a multitude of intrinsically random events occurring at a microscopic scale. We bridge the gap between these scales by demonstrating convergence to a mean-field…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Denis D. Patterson , Simon A. Levin , A. Carla Staver , Jonathan D. Touboul

This paper considers a stochastic SIR (susceptible$\to$infective$\to$removed) epidemic model in which individuals may make infectious contacts in two ways, both within `households' (which for ease of exposition are assumed to have equal…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Frank Ball , David Sirl , Pieter Trapman

The aim of this paper is to study the dynamics of a reaction--diffusion SIS (susceptible-infectious-susceptible) epidemic model with a nonlinear incidence rate describing the transmission of a communicable disease between individuals. We…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-11-12 Lamia Djebara , Redouane Douaifia , Salem Abdelmalek , Samir Bendoukha

This work is devoted to studying the dynamics of a structured population that is subject to the combined effects of environmental stochasticity, competition for resources, spatio-temporal heterogeneity and dispersal. The population is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-24 Alexandru Hening , Dang H. Nguyen , George Yin