To model the evolution of diseases with extended latency periods and the presence of asymptomatic patients like COVID-19, we define a simple discrete time stochastic SIR-type epidemic model. We include both latent periods as well as the presence of quarantine areas, to capture the evolutionary dynamics of such diseases.
@article{arxiv.2005.02859,
title = {A stochastic epidemic model of COVID-19 disease},
author = {Xavier Bardina and Marco Ferrante and Carles Rovira},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2005.02859},
year = {2020}
}