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This paper is devoted to the application of B-splines to volatility modeling, specifically the calibration of the leverage function in stochastic local volatility models and the parameterization of an arbitrage-free implied volatility…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-16 Sylvain Corlay

Lions and Musiela (2007) give sufficient conditions to verify when a stochastic exponential of a continuous local martingale is a martingale or a uniformly integrable martingale. Blei and Engelbert (2009) and Mijatovi\'c and Urusov (2012c)…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-10 Carole Bernard , Zhenyu Cui , Don McLeish

Markovian projections arise in problems where we aim to mimic the one-dimensional marginal laws of an It\^o semimartingale by using another It\^o process with Markovian dynamics. In applications, Markovian projections are useful in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Martin Larsson , Shukun Long

We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

Although there are many methods for functional data analysis (FDA), little emphasis is put on characterizing variability among volatilities of individual functions. In particular, certain individuals exhibit erratic swings in their…

Applications · Statistics 2012-12-04 Bin Zhu , David B. Dunson

First-order methods are often analyzed via their continuous-time models, where their worst-case convergence properties are usually approached via Lyapunov functions. In this work, we provide a systematic and principled approach to find and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Céline Moucer , Adrien Taylor , Francis Bach

Marginal structural models were introduced in order to provide estimates of causal effects from interventions based on observational studies in epidemiological research. The key point is that this can be understood in terms of Girsanov's…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-15 Kjetil Røysland

We propose a structural vector autoregressive model with a new and flexible specification of the volatility process which we call Sparse Heterogeneous Markov-Switching Heteroskedasticity. In this model, the conditional variance of each…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-18 Fei Shang , Tomasz Woźniak

It is shown how to model any automorphism of a totally disconnected, locally compact group by a symbolic dynamical system. The model is an inverse limit of a product of a full-shift, on a finite number of symbols, with one of two types of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Bruce P. Kitchens

We discuss two parameterizations of models for marginal independencies for discrete distributions which are representable by bi-directed graph models, under the global Markov property. Such models are useful data analytic tools especially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2008-01-10 Monia Lupparelli , Giovanni M. Marchetti , Wicher P. Bergsma

We propose a neural network-based approach to calibrating stochastic volatility models, which combines the pioneering grid approach by Horvath et al. (2021) with the pointwise two-stage calibration of Bayer et al. (2018) and Liu et al.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-15 Fabio Baschetti , Giacomo Bormetti , Pietro Rossi

We propose a dynamic model of dependence structure between financial institutions within a financial system and we construct measures for dependence and financial instability. Employing Markov structures of joint credit migrations, our…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-11 Yu-Sin Chang

We consider some reduction from nonlinear Vlasov-Maxwell equation to rms/rate equations for second moments related quantities. Our analysis is based on variational wavelet approach to rational (in dynamical variables) approximation. It…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Antonina N. Fedorova , Michael G. Zeitlin

In this paper, we provide strong $L_2$-rates of approximation of the integral-type functionals of Markov processes by integral sums. We improve the method developed in [2]. Under assumptions on the process formulated only in terms of its…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-13 Iurii Ganychenko

We develop a Bayesian graphical modeling framework for functional data for correlated multivariate random variables observed over a continuous domain. Our method leads to graphical Markov models for functional data which allows the graphs…

This study presents contemporaneous modeling of asset return and price range within the framework of stochastic volatility with leverage. A new representation of the probability density function for the price range is provided, and its…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-28 Yuta Kurose

This paper offers a new approach for estimating and forecasting the volatility of financial time series. No assumption is made about the parametric form of the processes. On the contrary, we only suppose that the volatility can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Danilo Mercurio , Vladimir Spokoiny

We present a flexible Bayesian semiparametric mixed model for longitudinal data analysis in the presence of potentially high-dimensional categorical covariates. Building on a novel hidden Markov tensor decomposition technique, our proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-05 Giorgio Paulon , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

We present normal approximation results at the process level for local functionals defined on dynamic Poisson processes in $\mathbb{R}^d$. The dynamics we study here are those of a Markov birth-death process. We prove functional limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Efe Onaran , Omer Bobrowski , Robert J. Adler

We introduce a multivariate stochastic volatility model for asset returns that imposes no restrictions to the structure of the volatility matrix and treats all its elements as functions of latent stochastic processes. When the number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-09 P. Dellaportas , A. Plataniotis , M. K. Titsias
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