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Recent work raises concerns about the use of standard splits to compare natural language processing models. We propose a Bayesian statistical model comparison technique which uses k-fold cross-validation across multiple data sets to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Piotr Szymański , Kyle Gorman

Deep learning Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) models are powerful classification models but require a large amount of training data. In niche domains such as bird acoustics, it is expensive and difficult to obtain a large number of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-18 Dina B. Efremova , Mangalam Sankupellay , Dmitry A. Konovalov

Overfit is a fundamental problem in machine learning in general, and in deep learning in particular. In order to reduce overfit and improve generalization in the classification of images, some employ invariance to a group of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Roee Cates , Daphna Weinshall

Decoding-based regression, which reformulates regression as a sequence generation task, has emerged as a promising paradigm of applying large language models for numerical prediction. However, its progress is hindered by the misalignment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Ming Chen , Sheng Tang , Rong-Xi Tan , Ziniu Li , Jiacheng Chen , Ke Xue , Chao Qian

Effective data partitioning is known to be crucial in machine learning. Traditional cross-validation methods like K-Fold Cross-Validation (KFCV) enhance model robustness but often compromise generalisation assessment due to high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Christopher Godwin Udomboso , Caston Sigauke , Ini Adinya

Dataset shift is common in credit scoring scenarios, and the inconsistency between the distribution of training data and the data that actually needs to be predicted is likely to cause poor model performance. However, most of the current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-21 Hongyi Qian , Baohui Wang , Ping Ma , Lei Peng , Songfeng Gao , You Song

In machine learning, statistics, econometrics and statistical physics, cross-validation (CV) is used asa standard approach in quantifying the generalisation performance of a statistical model. A directapplication of CV in time-series leads…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-14 Mehmet Süzen , Alper Yegenoglu

With the increasing size of today's data sets, finding the right parameter configuration in model selection via cross-validation can be an extremely time-consuming task. In this paper we propose an improved cross-validation procedure which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-02-05 Tammo Krueger , Danny Panknin , Mikio Braun

We study the problem of estimating a manifold from random samples. In particular, we consider piecewise constant and piecewise linear estimators induced by k-means and k-flats, and analyze their performance. We extend previous results for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Guillermo D. Canas , Tomaso Poggio , Lorenzo Rosasco

Cross-validation is a popular non-parametric method for evaluating the accuracy of a predictive rule. The usefulness of cross-validation depends on the task we want to employ it for. In this note, I discuss a simple non-parametric setting,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-27 Stefan Wager

Data fusion and transfer learning are rapidly growing fields that enhance model performance for a target population by leveraging other related data sources or tasks. The challenges lie in the various potential heterogeneities between the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-19 Jing Wang , HaiYing Wang , Kun Chen

Despite ongoing theoretical research on cross-validation (CV), many theoretical questions remain widely open. This motivates our investigation into how properties of algorithm-distribution pairs can affect the choice for the number of folds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Ido Nachum , Rüdiger Urbanke , Thomas Weinberger

Modifying standard gradient boosting by replacing the embedded weak learner in favor of a strong(er) one, we present SyRBo: Symbolic-Regression Boosting. Experiments over 98 regression datasets show that by adding a small number of boosting…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-06-27 Moshe Sipper , Jason H Moore

We propose a simple, statistically principled, and theoretically justified method to improve supervised learning when the training set is not representative, a situation known as covariate shift. We build upon a well-established methodology…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Maximilian Autenrieth , David A. van Dyk , Roberto Trotta , David C. Stenning

Cross-validation is a well-known and widely used bandwidth selection method in nonparametric regression estimation. However, this technique has two remarkable drawbacks: (i) the large variability of the selected bandwidths, and (ii) the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-11 D. Barreiro-Ures , R. Cao , M. Francisco-Fernández

We present a reformulation of the regression and classification, which aims to validate the result of a machine learning algorithm. Our reformulation simplifies the original problem and validates the result of the machine learning algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Wolfgang Fuhl , Yao Rong , Thomas Motz , Michael Scheidt , Andreas Hartel , Andreas Koch , Enkelejda Kasneci

Cross-validation is the de facto standard for predictive model evaluation and selection. In proper use, it provides an unbiased estimate of a model's predictive performance. However, data sets often undergo various forms of data-dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-18 Amit Moscovich , Saharon Rosset

Several learning applications require solving high-dimensional regression problems where the relevant features belong to a small number of (overlapping) groups. For very large datasets and under standard sparsity constraints, hard…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-30 Prateek Jain , Nikhil Rao , Inderjit Dhillon

We introduce SymbolFit, a framework that automates parametric modeling by using symbolic regression to perform a machine-search for functions that fit the data while simultaneously providing uncertainty estimates in a single run.…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2025-07-04 Ho Fung Tsoi , Dylan Rankin , Cecile Caillol , Miles Cranmer , Sridhara Dasu , Javier Duarte , Philip Harris , Elliot Lipeles , Vladimir Loncar

This technical note extends recent results on the computational complexity of globally minimizing the error of piecewise-affine models to the related problem of minimizing the error of switching linear regression models. In particular, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-05 Fabien Lauer