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Many modern data analyses benefit from explicitly modeling dependence structure in data -- such as measurements across time or space, ordered words in a sentence, or genes in a genome. A gold standard evaluation technique is structured…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-02 Soumya Ghosh , William T. Stephenson , Tin D. Nguyen , Sameer K. Deshpande , Tamara Broderick

Symbolic regression (SR) is a challenging task in machine learning that involves finding a mathematical expression for a function based on its values. Recent advancements in SR have demonstrated the effectiveness of pre-trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Parshin Shojaee , Kazem Meidani , Amir Barati Farimani , Chandan K. Reddy

When training data are distributed across{ time or space,} covariate shift across fragments of training data biases cross-validation, compromising model selection and assessment. We present \textit{Fragmentation-Induced covariate-shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Behraj Khan , Behroz Mirza , Nouman Durrani , Tahir Syed

Model-assisted regression estimation is fundamental in survey sampling for incorporating auxiliary information. However, when the auxiliary dimension grows with the sample size, the standard Generalized regression (GREG) estimator can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Yonghyun Kwon , Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim

We study the efficiency of V-fold cross-validation (VFCV) for model selection from the non-asymptotic viewpoint, and suggest an improvement on it, which we call ``V-fold penalization''. Considering a particular (though simple) regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-07 Sylvain Arlot

While conditional diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in various applications, they require abundant data to train from scratch, which is often infeasible in practice. To address this issue, transfer learning has emerged as an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Ziheng Cheng , Tianyu Xie , Shiyue Zhang , Cheng Zhang

Statistical machine learning models should be evaluated and validated before putting to work. Conventional k-fold Monte Carlo Cross-Validation (MCCV) procedure uses a pseudo-random sequence to partition instances into k subsets, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-05 Liang Guo , Jianya Liu , Ruodan Lu

Symbolic Regression (SR) holds great potential for uncovering underlying mathematical and physical relationships from observed data. However, the vast combinatorial space of possible expressions poses significant challenges for both online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Yuan Tian , Wenqi Zhou , Michele Viscione , Hao Dong , David Kammer , Olga Fink

Symbolic Regression (SR) holds great potential for uncovering underlying mathematical and physical relationships from observed data. However, the vast combinatorial space of possible expressions poses significant challenges for both online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Yuan Tian , Wenqi Zhou , Michele Viscione , Hao Dong , David Kammer , Olga Fink

It is crucial to assess the predictive performance of a model to establish its practicality and relevance in real-world scenarios, particularly for high-dimensional data analysis. Among data splitting or resampling methods, cross-validation…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-26 Iris Ivy Gauran , Hernando Ombao , Zhaoxia Yu

Overfitting remains a critical challenge in data-driven financial modeling, where machine learning (ML) systems learn spurious patterns in historical prices and fail out of sample and in deployment. This paper introduces the GT-Score, a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-03 Alexander Sheppert

With the advents of deep learning, improved image classification with complex discriminative models has been made possible. However, such deep models with increased complexity require a huge set of labeled samples to generalize the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-08 Walid Abdullah Al , Il Dong Yun

Regression prediction plays a crucial role in practical applications and strongly relies on data annotation. However, due to prohibitive annotation costs or domain-specific constraints, labeled data in the target domain is often scarce,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Bingbing Wang , Jiaqi Wang , Yu Tang

Symbolic regression, the task of predicting the mathematical expression of a function from the observation of its values, is a difficult task which usually involves a two-step procedure: predicting the "skeleton" of the expression up to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-25 Pierre-Alexandre Kamienny , Stéphane d'Ascoli , Guillaume Lample , François Charton

The definition of a concise and effective testbed for Genetic Programming (GP) is a recurrent matter in the research community. This paper takes a new step in this direction, proposing a different approach to measure the quality of the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-05-29 Luiz Otavio Vilas Boas Oliveira , Joao Francisco Barreto da Silva Martins , Luis Fernando Miranda , Gisele Lobo Pappa

While many statistical models and methods are now available for network analysis, resampling network data remains a challenging problem. Cross-validation is a useful general tool for model selection and parameter tuning, but is not directly…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-04 Tianxi Li , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

This study's first purpose is to provide quantitative evidence that would incentivize researchers to instead use the more robust method of nested cross-validation. The second purpose is to present methods and MATLAB codes for doing power…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Hamzeh Ghasemzadeh , Robert E. Hillman , Daryush D. Mehta

We introduce Boolformer, a Transformer-based model trained to perform end-to-end symbolic regression of Boolean functions. First, we show that it can predict compact formulas for complex functions not seen during training, given their full…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Stéphane d'Ascoli , Arthur Renard , Vassilis Papadopoulos , Samy Bengio , Josh Susskind , Emmanuel Abbé

There are many time series in the literature with high dimension yet limited sample sizes, such as macroeconomic variables, and it is almost impossible to obtain efficient estimation and accurate prediction by using the corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-30 Yuchang Lin , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li

Transformer-based language models have demonstrated impressive capabilities across a range of complex reasoning tasks. Prior theoretical work exploring the expressive power of transformers has shown that they can efficiently perform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Zixuan Wang , Eshaan Nichani , Alberto Bietti , Alex Damian , Daniel Hsu , Jason D. Lee , Denny Wu
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