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Expected points is a value function fundamental to player evaluation and strategic in-game decision-making across sports analytics, particularly in American football. To estimate expected points, football analysts use machine learning…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-10 Ryan S. Brill , Ryan Yee , Sameer K. Deshpande , Abraham J. Wyner

Action spotting in soccer videos is the task of identifying the specific time when a certain key action of the game occurs. Lately, it has received a large amount of attention and powerful methods have been introduced. Action spotting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Alejandro Cartas , Coloma Ballester , Gloria Haro

In sports analytics, player tracking data have driven significant advancements in the task of player evaluation. We present a novel generative framework for evaluating the observed frame-by-frame player positioning against a distribution of…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-24 Quang Nguyen , Ronald Yurko

Fantasy football is a billion-dollar industry with millions of participants. Under a fixed budget, managers select squads to maximize future Fantasy Premier League (FPL) points. This study formulates lineup selection as data-driven…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Danial Ramezani , Tai Dinh

Predicting the results of sport matches and competitions is an arising research field, benefiting from the growing amount of available data and the novel data analytics techniques. Excellent forecasts can be achieved by advanced machine…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-20 Giuseppe Jurman

We present SoccerGuard, a novel framework for predicting injuries in women's soccer using Machine Learning (ML). This framework can ingest data from multiple sources, including subjective wellness and training load reports from players,…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-11-15 Finn Bartels , Lu Xing , Cise Midoglu , Matthias Boeker , Toralf Kirsten , Pål Halvorsen

Identifying combinations of players (that is, lineups) in basketball - and other sports - that perform well when they play together is one of the most important tasks in sports analytics. One of the main challenges associated with this task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Christos Petridis , Konstantinos Pelechrinis

Soccer attracts the attention of many researchers and professionals in the sports industry. Therefore, the incorporation of science into the sport is constantly growing, with increasing investments in performance analysis and sports…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Eduardo Alves Baratela , Felipe Jordão Xavier , Thomas Peron , Paulino Ribeiro Villas-Boas , Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues

Recent progress in the field of reinforcement learning has been accelerated by virtual learning environments such as video games, where novel algorithms and ideas can be quickly tested in a safe and reproducible manner. We introduce the…

This paper analyzes a simple game with $n$ players. We fix a mean, $\mu$, in the interval $[0, 1]$ and let each player choose any random variable distributed on that interval with the given mean. The winner of the zero-sum game is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Artem Hulko , Mark Whitmeyer

A common problem in machine learning is to rank a set of n items based on pairwise comparisons. Here ranking refers to partitioning the items into sets of pre-specified sizes according to their scores, which includes identification of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-08 Reinhard Heckel , Max Simchowitz , Kannan Ramchandran , Martin J. Wainwright

The Pythagorean Expected Wins Percentage Model was developed by Bill James to estimate a baseball team expected wins percentage over the course of a season. As such, the model can be used to assess how lucky or unfortunate a team was over…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-05 Christopher Boudreaux , Justin Ehrlich , Shankar Ghimire , Shane Sanders

Ranking a vector of alternatives on the basis of a series of paired comparisons is a relevant topic in many instances. A popular example is ranking contestants in sport tournaments. To this purpose, paired comparison models such as the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-15 Guido Masarotto , Cristiano Varin

In this paper, I introduce RisingBALLER, the first publicly available approach that leverages a transformer model trained on football match data to learn match-specific player representations. Drawing inspiration from advances in language…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Akedjou Achraff Adjileye

We study the problem of characterizing the set of games that are consistent with observed equilibrium play. Our contribution is to develop and analyze a new methodology based on convex optimization to address this problem for many classes…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-23 Juba Ziani , Venkat Chandrasekaran , Katrina Ligett

Multiplayer Online Battle Arena (MOBA) is one of the most successful game genres. MOBA games such as League of Legends have competitive environments where players race for their rank. In most MOBA games, a player's rank is determined by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-22 Junho Jang , Ji Young Woo , Huy Kang Kim

We present an extensive statistical analysis of the results of all sports competitions in five major sports leagues in England and the United States. We characterize the parity among teams by the variance in the winning fraction from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , F. Vazquez , S. Redner

We present a framework that gives a deep insight into the link between physical and technical-tactical aspects of soccer and it allows associating physical performance with value generation thanks to a top-down approach. First, we estimate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-06 Sergio Llana , Borja Burriel , Pau Madrero , Javier Fernández

Accurately estimating human skill levels is crucial for designing effective human-AI interactions so that AI can provide appropriate challenges or guidance. In games where AI players have beaten top human professionals, strength estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Kyota Kuboki , Tatsuyoshi Ogawa , Chu-Hsuan Hsueh , Shi-Jim Yen , Kokolo Ikeda

Huge amounts of money are invested every year by football clubs on transfers. For both growth and survival, it is crucial for recruiting departments to make smart choices when targeting players. Therefore, it is very important to identify…