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Score matching estimators have gained widespread attention in recent years partly because they are free from calculating the integral of normalizing constant, thereby addressing the computational challenges in maximum likelihood estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-08 Haoqun Cao , Zizhuo Meng , Tianjun Ke , Feng Zhou

Pressing is a fundamental defensive strategy in football, characterized by applying pressure on the ball owning team to regain possession. Despite its significance, existing metrics for measuring pressing often lack precision or…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-01 Joris Bekkers

This project aims to assess the performance of various regression models in predicting the performance of hockey players. The measure of performance is chosen to be points scored (sum of goals scored and assists made) by individual players…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Shuja Khalid

Score matching is a vital tool for learning the distribution of data with applications across many areas including diffusion processes, energy based modelling, and graphical model estimation. Despite all these applications, little work…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Josh Givens , Song Liu , Henry W J Reeve

Although a great methodological effort has been invested in proposing competitive solutions to the class-imbalance problem, little effort has been made in pursuing a theoretical understanding of this matter. In order to shed some light on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-04 Jonathan Ortigosa-Hernández , Iñaki Inza , Jose A. Lozano

Esports has emerged as a popular genre for players as well as spectators, supporting a global entertainment industry. Esports analytics has evolved to address the requirement for data-driven feedback, and is focused on cyber-athlete…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-11-20 Victoria Hodge , Sam Devlin , Nick Sephton , Florian Block , Anders Drachen , Peter Cowling

We consider a deterministic game with alternate moves and complete information, of which the issue is always the victory of one of the two opponents. We assume that this game is the realization of a random model enjoying some independence…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-25 Sylvain Delattre , Nicolas Fournier

Penalties are fraught and game-changing moments in soccer games that teams explicitly prepare for. Consequently, there has been substantial interest in analyzing them in order to provide advice to practitioners. From a data science…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Lotte Bransen , Tim Janssen , Jesse Davis

The rank of a bimatrix game is defined as the rank of the sum of the payoff matrices of the two players. The rank of a game is known to impact both the most suitable computation methods for determining a solution and the expressive power of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Joseph L. Heyman , Abhishek Gupta

Traditional esports scouting workflows rely heavily on manual video review and aggregate performance metrics, which often fail to capture the nuanced decision-making patterns necessary to determine if a prospect fits a specific tactical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Qing Yan , Wenyu Yang , Yufei Wang , Wenhao Ma , Linchong Hu , Yifei Jin , Anton Dahbura

This paper explores how semantic-space reasoning, traditionally used in computational linguistics, can be extended to tactical decision-making in team sports. Building on the analogy between texts and teams -- where players act as words and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Alessio Di Rubbo , Mattia Neri , Remo Pareschi , Marco Pedroni , Roberto Valtancoli , Paolino Zica

The support vector machine (SVM) algorithm is well known to the computer learning community for its very good practical results. The goal of the present paper is to study this algorithm from a statistical perspective, using tools of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Gilles Blanchard , Olivier Bousquet , Pascal Massart

Over the past decade, the technology used by referees in football has improved substantially, enhancing the fairness and accuracy of decisions. This progress has culminated in the implementation of the Video Assistant Referee (VAR), an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Jan Held , Anthony Cioppa , Silvio Giancola , Abdullah Hamdi , Christel Devue , Bernard Ghanem , Marc Van Droogenbroeck

The standard mathematical approach to fourth-down decision making in American football is to make the decision that maximizes estimated win probability. Win probability estimates arise from machine learning models fit from historical data.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-03 Ryan S. Brill , Ronald Yurko , Abraham J. Wyner

The paper proposes a natural measure space of zero-sum perfect information games with upper semicontinuous payoffs. Each game is specified by the game tree, and by the assignment of the active player and of the capacity to each node of the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-04-22 János Flesch , Arkadi Predtetchinski , Ville Suomala

Recent advances in reinforcement learning (RL) have made it possible to develop sophisticated agents that excel in a wide range of applications. Simulations using such agents can provide valuable information in scenarios that are difficult…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-25 Atom Scott , Keisuke Fujii , Masaki Onishi

Shapley values are great analytical tools in game theory to measure the importance of a player in a game. Due to their axiomatic and desirable properties such as efficiency, they have become popular for feature importance analysis in data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Ramin Okhrati , Aldo Lipani

Humans are routinely asked to evaluate the performance of other individuals, separating success from failure and affecting outcomes from science to education and sports. Yet, in many contexts, the metrics driving the human evaluation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-07 Luca Pappalardo , Paolo Cintia , Dino Pedreschi , Fosca Giannotti , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi

In Major League Baseball, strategy and planning are major factors in determining the outcome of a game. Previous studies have aided this by building machine learning models for predicting the winning team of any given game. We extend this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Morgan Allen , Paul Savala

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is widely recognized as a central challenge in data mining and machine learning. LTSF has increasingly evolved into a benchmark-driven ''GAME,'' where models are ranked, compared, and declared…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Thanapol Phungtua-eng , Yoshitaka Yamamoto
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