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We propose a probabilistic framework for pricing derivatives, which acknowledges that information and beliefs are subjective. Market prices can be translated into implied probabilities. In particular, futures imply returns for these implied…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-12 Ulrich Kirchner

Silkswap is an automated market maker model designed for efficient stablecoin trading with minimal price impact. The original purpose of Silkswap is to facilitate the trading of fiat-pegged stablecoins with the stablecoin Silk, but it can…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-16 Nicola Cantarutti , Alex Harker , Carter Woetzel

In order to deal with market power that sporadically results from contingencies (e.g., severe weather, plant outages) most electricity markets have institutions in charge of monitoring market performance and mitigating market power. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-07 Shi Pu , Alfredo Garcia

This review presents the set of electricity price models proposed in the literature since the opening of power markets. We focus on price models applied to financial pricing and risk management. We classify these models according to their…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-30 Thomas Deschatre , Olivier Féron , Pierre Gruet

In the restructured electricity industry, electricity pooling markets are an oligopoly with strategic producers possessing private information (private production cost function). We focus on pooling markets where aggregate demand is…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-10-07 Mohammad Rasouli , Demosthenis Teneketzis

Bidders in day-ahead electricity markets want to sell/buy electricity when their bids generate positive surplus and not to take an action when the reverse holds. However, non-convexities in these markets cause conflicts between the actions…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-04 Gökhan Ceyhan , Nermin Elif Kurt , H. Bahadir Sahin , Kürşad Derinkuyu

A market model in Stochastic Portfolio Theory is a finite system of strictly positive stochastic processes. Each process represents the capitalization of a certain stock. If at any time no stock dominates almost the entire market, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-30 Andrey Sarantsev

Trading a financial asset pushes its price as well as the prices of other assets, a phenomenon known as cross-impact. The empirical estimation of this effect on complex financial instruments, such as derivatives, is an open problem. To…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-30 Mehdi Tomas , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Michael Benzaquen

The paper develops a decentralized resource allocation mechanism for allocating divisible goods with capacity constraints to non-price-taking agents with general concave utilities. The proposed mechanism is always budget balanced,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-02-10 Ali Kakhbod

We mathematically analyze a simple market model where trading at each point in time involves only two agents with the sum of their money being conserved and with neither parties resulting with negative money after the interaction process.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Arnab Das , Sudhakar Yarlagadda

We consider a Black-Scholes market in which a number of stocks and an index are traded. The simplified Capital Asset Pricing Model is the conjunction of the usual Capital Asset Pricing Model, or CAPM, and the statement that the appreciation…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-14 Vladimir Vovk

In an observed generalized semi-Markov regime, estimation of transition rate of regime switching leads towards calculation of locally risk minimizing option price. Despite the uniform convergence of estimated step function of transition…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-27 Anindya Goswami , Sanket Nandan

In this paper, we introduce a novel framework to model the exchange rate dynamics between two intrinsically linked cryptoassets, such as stablecoins pegged to the same fiat currency or a liquid staking token and its associated native token.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-14 Philippe Bergault , Louis Bertucci , David Bouba , Olivier Guéant , Julien Guilbert

Prediction markets rely on liquidity to convert trades into informative prices, yet existing mechanisms fix liquidity ex ante. This restriction enforces a static trade-off between price responsiveness and worst-case loss despite inherently…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Enrique Nueve , Bao Nguyen , Rafael Frongillo , Bo Waggoner

Market making refers to a form of trading in financial markets characterized by passive orders which add liquidity to limit order books. Market makers are important for the proper functioning of financial markets worldwide. Given the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-24 Timothy DeLise

Proof that under simple assumptions, such as constraints of Put-Call Parity, the probability measure for the valuation of a European option has the mean derived from the forward price which can, but does not have to be the risk-neutral one,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-05 Nassim N. Taleb

We argue that deterministic market clearing formulations introduce arbitrary distortions between day-ahead and expected real-time prices that bias economic incentives and block diversification. We extend and analyze the stochastic clearing…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-27 Victor M. Zavala , Kibaek Kim , Mihai Anitescu , John Birge

We propose a pseudo-market solution to resource allocation problems subject to constraints. Our treatment of constraints is general: including bihierarchical constraints due to considerations of diversity in school choice, or scheduling in…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-11-09 Federico Echenique , Antonio Miralles , Jun Zhang

This paper studies the problem of maximizing expected utility from terminal wealth in a semi-static market composed of derivative securities, which we assume can be traded only at time zero, and of stocks, which can be traded continuously…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-09 Pietro Siorpaes

Ensuring sufficient liquidity is one of the key challenges for designers of prediction markets. Various market making algorithms have been proposed in the literature and deployed in practice, but there has been little effort to evaluate…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-09 Aseem Brahma , Sanmay Das , Malik Magdon-Ismail
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