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In this paper, we model financial markets with semi-Markov volatilities and price covarinace and correlation swaps for this markets. Numerical evaluations of vari- nace, volatility, covarinace and correlations swaps with semi-Markov…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-28 Giovanni Salvi , Anatoliy V. Swishchuk

This paper introduces an agent-based artificial financial market in which heterogeneous agents trade one single asset through a realistic trading mechanism for price formation. Agents are initially endowed with a finite amount of cash and a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Marco Raberto , Silvano Cincotti , Sergio M. Focardi , Michele Marchesi

We consider a sequential decision-making setting where, at every round $t$, a market maker posts a bid price $B_t$ and an ask price $A_t$ to an incoming trader (the taker) with a private valuation for one unit of some asset. If the trader's…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi , Tommaso Cesari , Roberto Colomboni , Luigi Foscari , Vinayak Pathak

In this paper, we introduce a suite of models for price-aware automated market making platforms willing to optimize their quotes. These models incorporate advanced price dynamics, including stochastic volatility, jumps, and microstructural…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-21 Philippe Bergault , Louis Bertucci , David Bouba , Olivier Guéant , Julien Guilbert

We consider the market microstructure of automated market makers (AMMs) from the perspective of liquidity providers (LPs). Our central contribution is a ``Black-Scholes formula for AMMs''. We identify the main adverse selection cost…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-29 Jason Milionis , Ciamac C. Moallemi , Tim Roughgarden , Anthony Lee Zhang

We study the situation of an agent who can trade on a financial market and can also transform some assets into others by means of a production system, in order to price and hedge derivatives on produced goods. This framework is motivated by…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-03-02 Adrien Nguyen Huu

Prediction markets allow traders to bet on potential future outcomes. These markets exist for weather, political, sports, and economic forecasting. Within this work we consider a decentralized framework for prediction markets using…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-10 Hamed Amini , Maxim Bichuch , Zachary Feinstein

The numeraire portfolio in a financial market is the unique positive wealth process that makes all other nonnegative wealth processes, when deflated by it, supermartingales. The numeraire portfolio depends on market characteristics, which…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Constantinos Kardaras

In this work we introduce the notion of fully incomplete markets. We prove that for these markets the super-replication price coincide with the model free super-replication price. Namely, the knowledge of the model does not reduce the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-13 Yan Dolinsky , Ariel Neufeld

Statistical mechanics provides a useful analog for understanding the behavior of complex adaptive systems, including electric power markets and the power systems they intend to govern. Market-based control is founded on the conjecture that…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 David P. Chassin

A derivative is a financial security whose value is a function of underlying traded assets and market outcomes. Pricing a financial derivative involves setting up a market model, finding a martingale (``fair game") probability measure for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-09-20 Patrick Rebentrost , Alessandro Luongo , Samuel Bosch , Seth Lloyd

We investigate the problem of pricing and hedging derivatives of Electricity Futures contract when the underlying asset is not available. We propose to use a cross hedging strategy based on the Futures contract covering the larger delivery…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-03 Adrien Nguyen Huu , Nadia Oudjane

A market with asymmetric information can be viewed as a repeated exchange game between the informed sector and the uninformed one. In a market with risk-neutral agents, De Meyer [2010] proves that the price process should be a particular…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-13 Bernard De Meyer , Gaëtan Fournier

We propose a decentralized market model in which agents can negotiate bilateral contracts. This builds on a similar, but centralized, model of trading networks introduced by Hatfield et al. in 2013. Prior work has established that…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Edwin Lock , Benjamin Patrick Evans , Eleonora Kreacic , Sujay Bhatt , Alec Koppel , Sumitra Ganesh , Paul W. Goldberg

We study specific nonlinear transformations of the Black-Scholes implied volatility to show remarkable properties of the volatility surface. Model-free bounds on the implied volatility skew are given. Pricing formulas for the European…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-30 Masaaki Fukasawa

An explicit formula is derived for the value of weak information in a discrete time model that works for a wide range of utility functions including the logarithmic and power utility. We assume a complete market with a finite number of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-29 Ayelet Amiran , Fabrice Baudoin , Skylyn Brock , Berend Coster , Ryan Craver , Ugonna Ezeaka , Phanuel Mariano , Mary Wishart

Constant-function market makers (CFMMs), such as Uniswap, are automated exchanges offering trades among a set of assets. We study their technical relationship to another class of automated market makers, cost-function prediction markets. We…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-04-10 Rafael Frongillo , Maneesha Papireddygari , Bo Waggoner

In this work, we develop an equilibrium model for price formation of securities in a market composed of two populations of different types: the first one consists of cooperative agents, while the other one consists of non-cooperative…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-22 Masaaki Fujii

A minimal model of a market of myopic non-cooperative agents who trade bilaterally with random bids reproduces qualitative features of short-term electric power markets, such as those in California and New England. Each agent knows its own…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-15 Randall A. LaViolette , Lory A. Ellebracht , Kevin L. Stamber , Charles J. Gieseler , Benjamin K. Cook

This project attempts to address the problem of asset pricing in a financial market, where the interest rates and volatilities exhibit regime switching. This is an extension of the Black-Scholes model. Studies of Markov-modulated regime…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-19 Tanmay S. Patankar