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In this paper we analyze the probability distributions associated with rolling (possibly unfair) dice infinitely often. Specifically, given a $q$-sided die, if $x_i\in\{0,\ldots,q-1\}$ denotes the outcome of the $i^{\text{th}}$ toss, then…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-21 Douglas T. Pfeffer , J. Darby Smith , William Severa

We report the observation of the existence of a possible universal limit for valence parton distributions that should exist once partonic degrees of freedom are relevant for high energy scattering from strongly interacting bound systems…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-02-17 Christopher Leon , Misak M. Sargsian

A new finite form of de Finetti's representation theorem is established using elementary information-theoretic tools. The distribution of the first $k$ random variables in an exchangeable vector of $n\geq k$ random variables is close to a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Mario Berta , Lampros Gavalakis , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Consider a Markov chain $(X_i)_{i\ge0}$ with invariant measure $\mu$ that admits the representation $X_{i+1}=\Phi(X_i,U_i)$, where $(U_i)_{i\ge0}$ are i.i.d. random variables and $\Phi$ is a measurable map. We introduce a tangent-decoupled…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Victor H. de la Peña

Trait allocations are a class of combinatorial structures in which data may belong to multiple groups and may have different levels of belonging in each group. Often the data are also exchangeable, i.e., their joint distribution is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-28 Trevor Campbell , Diana Cai , Tamara Broderick

We consider the problem of assessing the importance of multiple variables or factors from a dataset when side information is available. In principle, using side information can allow the statistician to pay attention to variables with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-23 Zhimei Ren , Emmanuel Candès

This paper develops a framework for testing for associations in a possibly high-dimensional linear model where the number of features/variables may far exceed the number of observational units. In this framework, the observations are split…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-04 Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes

Our contribution is to widen the scope of extreme value analysis applied to discrete-valued data. Extreme values of a random variable $X$ are commonly modeled using the generalized Pareto distribution, a method that often gives good results…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-18 Adrien Hitz , Richard Davis , Gennady Samorodnitsky

Controlled variable selection is an important analytical step in various scientific fields, such as brain imaging or genomics. In these high-dimensional data settings, considering too many variables leads to poor models and high costs,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Alexandre Blain , Bertrand Thirion , Olivier Grisel , Pierre Neuvial

This paper proposes a unified class of generalized location-scale mixture of multivariate elliptical distributions and studies integral stochastic orderings of random vectors following such distributions. Given a random vector…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Tong Pu , Yiying Zhang , Chuancun Yin

A length-$n$ random sequence $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ in a space $S$ is finitely exchangeable if its distribution is invariant under all $n!$ permutations of coordinates. Given $N > n$, we study the extendibility problem: when is it the case that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-14 Takis Konstantopoulos , Linglong Yuan

Let $X$ be a Bernoulli random variable with the success probability $p$. We are interested in tight bounds on $\mathbb{E}[f(X_1,X_2)]$, where $X_i=\mathbb{E}[X| \mathcal{F}_i]$ and $\mathcal{F}_i$ are some sigma-algebras. This problem is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Egor Kravchenko

We show the following generalizations of the de Finetti--Hewitt--Savage theorem: Given an exchangeable sequence of random elements, the sequence is conditionally i.i.d. if and only if each random element admits a regular conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-29 Peter Potaptchik , Daniel M. Roy , David Schrittesser

A predictive distribution over a sequence of $N+1$ events is said to be "frequency mimicking" whenever the probability for the final event conditioned on the outcome of the first $N$ events equals the relative frequency of successes among…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-06 Frank Lad , Giuseppe Sanfilippo

Although there is a huge literature on feature selection for the Cox model, none of the existing approaches can control the false discovery rate (FDR) unless the sample size tends to infinity. In addition, there is no formal power analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-02 Daoji Li , Jinzhao Yu , Hui Zhao

In this note we prove that a finite family $\{X_1,\dots,X_d\}$ of real r.v.'s that is exchangeable and such that $(X_1,\dots,X_d)$ is invariant with respect to a subgroup of $SO(d)$ acting irreducibly, is actually invariant with respect to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Paolo Baldi , Domenico Marinucci , Stefano Trapani

Let $X_{\lambda _{1}},X_{\lambda _{2}},\ldots ,X_{\lambda _{n}}$ be independent nonnegative random variables with $X_{\lambda _{i}}\sim F(\lambda _{i}t)$, $i=1,\ldots ,n$, where $\lambda _{i}>0$, $i=1,\ldots ,n$ and $F$ is an absolutely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-19 Subhash C. Kochar , Nuria Torrado

We propose a general framework for the study of the genealogy of neutral discrete-time populations. We remove the standard assumption of exchangeability of offspring distributions appearing in Cannings' models, and replace it by a less…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-18 Arno Siri-Jégousse , Alejandro H. Wences

The recent proliferation of high-dimensional data, such as electronic health records and genetics data, offers new opportunities to find novel predictors of outcomes. Presented with a large set of candidate features, interest often lies in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-24 Michael J. Martens , Anjishnu Banerjee , Xinran Qi , Yushu Shi

We provide a distribution-free test that can be used to determine whether any two joint distributions $p$ and $q$ are statistically different by inspection of a large enough set of samples. Following recent efforts from Long et al. [1], we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-26 Francesco Solera , Andrea Palazzi