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This paper studies distribution-free inference in settings where the data set has a hierarchical structure -- for example, groups of observations, or repeated measurements. In such settings, standard notions of exchangeability may not hold.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Yonghoon Lee , Rina Foygel Barber , Rebecca Willett

Conditional testing via the knockoff framework allows one to identify -- among large number of possible explanatory variables -- those that carry unique information about an outcome of interest, and also provides a false discovery rate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-05 Benjamin B Chu , Jiaqi Gu , Zhaomeng Chen , Tim Morrison , Emmanuel Candes , Zihuai He , Chiara Sabatti

Exchangeability is a fundamental concept in probability theory and statistics. It allows to model situations where the order of observations does not matter. The classical de Finetti's theorem provides a representation of infinitely…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-30 Alessio Benavoli , Alessandro Facchini , Marco Zaffalon

Let $X$ be a random variable that takes its values in $\frac{1}{q}\mathbb{Z}$, for some integer $q\ge2$, and consider $X$ rounded to an integer, either downwards or upwards or to the nearest integer. We give general formulas for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Svante Janson

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

Let $G_1,..., G_n \in \Fp[X_1,...,X_m]$ be $n$ polynomials in $m$ variables over the finite field $\Fp$ of $p$ elements. A result of {\'E}. Fouvry and N. M. Katz shows that under some natural condition, for any fixed $\varepsilon$ and…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-26 Bryce Kerr , Igor E. Shparlinski

Consider two random vectors $\widetilde{\mathbf x} \in \mathbb R^p$ and $\widetilde{\mathbf y} \in \mathbb R^q$ of the forms $\widetilde{\mathbf x}=A\mathbf z+\mathbf C_1^{1/2}\mathbf x$ and $\widetilde{\mathbf y}=B\mathbf z+\mathbf…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-14 Zongming Ma , Fan Yang

Power and reproducibility are key to enabling refined scientific discoveries in contemporary big data applications with general high-dimensional nonlinear models. In this paper, we provide theoretical foundations on the power and robustness…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-04 Yingying Fan , Emre Demirkaya , Gaorong Li , Jinchi Lv

Barber and Candes recently introduced a feature selection method called knockoff+ that controls the false discovery rate (FDR) among the selected features in the classical linear regression problem. Knockoff+ uses the competition between…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-25 Kristen Emery , Uri Keich

It is well-known that the expected scaled maximum of non-negative random variables with unit mean defines a stable tail dependence function associated with some extreme-value copula. In the special case when these random variables are…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-30 Jan-Frederik Mai

Given well-shuffled data, can we determine whether the data items are statistically (in)dependent? Formally, we consider the problem of testing whether a set of exchangeable random variables are independent. We will show that this is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Marcus Hutter

A sequence of random variables is called \textit{exchangeable} if its joint distribution is invariant under permutations of indices. The original formulation of de Finetti's theorem roughly says that any exchangeable sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Irfan Alam

We prove bounds on statistical distances between high-dimensional exchangeable mixture distributions (which we call \emph{permutation mixtures}) and their i.i.d. counterparts. Our results are based on a novel method for controlling $\chi^2$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Yanjun Han , Jonathan Niles-Weed

For $f,g:X\longrightarrow X$ continuous and commuting maps of a Hausdorff space, we investigate various conditions on $X$ and on the pair $(f,g)$ which provide existence of a coincidence value. We introduce generalized notions of the…

General Topology · Mathematics 2021-09-10 Sheagan A. K. A. John

We give a fractal-geometric condition for a measure on [0,1] to be supported on points x that are normal in base n, i.e. such that the sequence x,nx,n^2 x,... equidistributes modulo 1. This condition is robust under C^1 coordinate changes,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-11-11 Michael Hochman , Pablo Shmerkin

We make some initial attempt to establish the theoretical and methodological foundation for the model-X knockoffs inference for time series data. We suggest the method of time series knockoffs inference (TSKI) by exploiting the ideas of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-03 Chien-Ming Chi , Yingying Fan , Ching-Kang Ing , Jinchi Lv

A notion of conditionally identically distributed (c.i.d.) sequences has been studied as a form of stochastic dependence that is weaker than exchangeability, but is equivalent to exchangeability for stationary sequences. In this article we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-07 Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone , Polina Sporysheva

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be independent identically distributed random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^d$. We consider upper bounds on $\max_x \mathbb{P}(a_1X_1+\cdots+a_nX_n=x)$ under various restrictions on $X_i$ and the weights $a_i$. When…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-04 Tomas Juškevičius , Valentas Kurauskas

Let $K_n$ denote the number of types of a sample of size $n$ taken from an exchangeable coalescent process ($\Xi$-coalescent) with mutation. A distributional recursion for the sequence $(K_n)_{n\in{\mathbb N}}$ is derived. If the coalescent…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-14 Fabian Freund , Martin Möhle

We give a nonstandard analytic proof of de Finetti's theorem for an exchangeable sequence of Bernoulli random variables. The theorem postulates that such a sequence is uniquely representable as a mixture of iid sequences of Bernoulli random…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Irfan Alam
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