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We derive an analytical expression of the inter-arrival time distribution for a non-homogeneous Poisson process (NHPP). This expression is exact and is applicable to any time interval, finite or infinite. As an illustration, we present…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Gleb Yakovlev , John B. Rundle , Robert Shcherbakov , Donald L. Turcotte

The Poisson process is the most elementary continuous-time stochastic process that models a stream of repeating events. It is uniquely characterised by a single parameter called the rate. Instead of a single value for this rate, we here…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

Test procedures for multiple hypotheses in a group sequential clinical trial that control the family-wise error rate are considered. Several graphical group sequential tests suggested in the literature, which are special cases of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Liane Kluge , Werner Brannath

A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Alberto J. Coca

In this article, we consider the problem of simultaneous testing of hypotheses when the individual test statistics are not necessarily independent. Specifically, we consider the problem of simultaneous testing of point null hypotheses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-17 Prasenjit Ghosh , Arijit Chakrabarti

In software development process we come across various modules. Which raise the idea of priority of the different modules of a software so that important modules are tested on preference. This approach is desirable because it is not…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2009-05-10 Amit K Awasthi , Sanjay Chaudhary

A/B tests are the gold standard for evaluating digital experiences on the web. However, traditional "fixed-horizon" statistical methods are often incompatible with the needs of modern industry practitioners as they do not permit continuous…

Considering two independent Poisson processes, we address the question of testing equality of their respective intensities. We first propose single tests whose test statistics are U-statistics based on general kernel functions. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-15 Magalie Fromont , Béatrice Laurent , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret

The paper considers very general multivariate modifications of Cramer-Lundberg risk model. The claims can be of different types and can arrive in groups. The groups arrival processes within a type have constant intensities. The counting…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-14 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Milan Stehlik

This paper introduces a new asymptotic regime for simplifying stochastic models having non-stationary effects, such as those that arise in the presence of time-of-day effects. This regime describes an operating environment within which the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-19 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

Exploiting the fact that most arrival processes exhibit cyclic behaviour, we propose a simple procedure for estimating the intensity of a nonhomogeneous Poisson process. The estimator is the super-resolution analogue to Shao 2010 and Shao &…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-01 Ningyuan Chen , Donald K. K. Lee , Sahand Negahban

In this paper, we propose a new comparison tool for spatial homogeneity of point processes, based on the joint examination of void probabilities and factorial moment measures. We prove that determinantal and permanental processes, as well…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-23 Bartlomiej Blaszczyszyn , D. Yogeshwaran

Despite the wide usage of parametric point processes in theory and applications, a sound goodness-of-fit procedure to test whether a given parametric model is appropriate for data coming from a self-exciting point processes has been missing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-15 José C. F. Kling , Mathias Vetter

A Gaussian Cox process is a popular model for point process data, in which the intensity function is a transformation of a Gaussian process. Posterior inference of this intensity function involves an intractable integral (i.e., the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Bingjing Tang , Julia Palacios

Linear models are foundational tools in statistics and ubiquitous across the applied sciences. However, conventional statistical inference -- such as $t$-tests and $F$-tests -- are only valid at fixed sample sizes, making them unsuitable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Michael Lindon , Dae Woong Ham , Martin Tingley , Iavor Bojinov

We introduce a general framework for monitoring, modelling, and predicting the recruitment to multi-centre clinical trials. The work is motivated by overly optimistic and narrow prediction intervals produced by existing time-homogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-03 Szymon Urbas , Chris Sherlock , Paul Metcalfe

This paper studies the joint moments of a compound discounted renewal process observed at different times with each arrival removed from the system after a random delay. This process can be used to describe the aggregate (discounted)…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-10 Eric Cheung , Landy Rabehasaina , Jae-Kyung Woo , Ran Xu

We extend in two directions our previous results about the sampling and the empirical measures of immortal branching Markov processes. Direct applications to molecular biology are rigorous estimates of the mutation rates of polymerase chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Didier Piau

An unbinned statistical test on cluster-like deviations from Poisson processes for point process data is introduced, presented in the context of time variability analysis of astrophysical sources in count rate experiments. The measure of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Juergen Prahl

Confidence sequences, anytime p-values (called p-processes in this paper), and e-processes all enable sequential inference for composite and nonparametric classes of distributions at arbitrary stopping times. Examining the literature, one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Aaditya Ramdas , Johannes Ruf , Martin Larsson , Wouter Koolen