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On goodness-of-fit testing for self-exciting point processes

Statistics Theory 2024-07-15 v1 Methodology Statistics Theory

Abstract

Despite the wide usage of parametric point processes in theory and applications, a sound goodness-of-fit procedure to test whether a given parametric model is appropriate for data coming from a self-exciting point processes has been missing in the literature. In this work, we establish a bootstrap-based goodness-of-fit test which empirically works for all kinds of self-exciting point processes (and even beyond). In an infill-asymptotic setting we also prove its asymptotic consistency, albeit only in the particular case that the underlying point process is inhomogeneous Poisson.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2407.09130,
  title  = {On goodness-of-fit testing for self-exciting point processes},
  author = {José C. F. Kling and Mathias Vetter},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2407.09130},
  year   = {2024}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T17:38:26.216Z