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Trajectory prediction seeks to forecast the future motion of dynamic entities, such as vehicles and pedestrians, given a temporal horizon of historical movement data and environmental context. A central challenge in this domain is the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Jintao Sun , Hu Zhang , Gangyi Ding , Zhedong Zheng

Past research on pedestrian trajectory forecasting mainly focused on deterministic predictions which provide only point estimates of future states. These future estimates can help an autonomous vehicle plan its trajectory and avoid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Anshul Nayak , Azim Eskandarian , Zachary Doerzaph

Online map generation and trajectory prediction are critical components of the autonomous driving perception-prediction-planning pipeline. While modern vectorized mapping models achieve high geometric accuracy, they typically treat map…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Pritom Gogoi , Faris Janjoš , Bin Yang , Andreas Look

Uncertainty is an essential consideration for time series forecasting tasks. In this work, we specifically focus on quantifying the uncertainty of traffic forecasting. To achieve this, we develop Deep Spatio-Temporal Uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-12 Weizhu Qian , Dalin Zhang , Yan Zhao , Kai Zheng , James J. Q. Yu

Motion prediction is essential for safe and efficient autonomous driving. However, the inexplicability and uncertainty of complex artificial intelligence models may lead to unpredictable failures of the motion prediction module, which may…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Wenbo Shao , Yanchao Xu , Liang Peng , Jun Li , Hong Wang

Recent advancements in machine learning have emphasized the need for transparency in model predictions, particularly as interpretability diminishes when using increasingly complex architectures. In this paper, we propose leveraging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Chenrui Zhu , Louenas Bounia , Vu Linh Nguyen , Sébastien Destercke , Arthur Hoarau

Motion prediction of surrounding vehicles is one of the most important tasks handled by a self-driving vehicle, and represents a critical step in the autonomous system necessary to ensure safety for all the involved traffic actors. Recently…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Sai Yalamanchi , Tzu-Kuo Huang , Galen Clark Haynes , Nemanja Djuric

Uncertainty-aware robot motion prediction is crucial for downstream traversability estimation and safe autonomous navigation in unstructured, off-road environments, where terrain is heterogeneous and perceptual uncertainty is high. Most…

Accurate trajectory prediction is crucial for autonomous driving, yet uncertainty in agent behavior and perception noise makes it inherently challenging. While multi-modal trajectory prediction models generate multiple plausible future…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Sajad Marvi , Christoph Rist , Julian Schmidt , Julian Jordan , Abhinav Valada

Uncertainty plays a key role in future prediction. The future is uncertain. That means there might be many possible futures. A future prediction method should cover the whole possibilities to be robust. In autonomous driving, covering…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-28 Adil Kaan Akan

Safe motion planning for robotic systems in dynamic environments is nontrivial in the presence of uncertain obstacles, where estimation of obstacle uncertainties is crucial in predicting future motions of dynamic obstacles. The worst-case…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Jian Zhou , Yulong Gao , Ola Johansson , Björn Olofsson , Erik Frisk

Predicting the motion of a driver's vehicle is crucial for advanced driving systems, enabling detection of potential risks towards shared control between the driver and automation systems. In this paper, we propose a variational neural…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Xin Huang , Stephen McGill , Brian C. Williams , Luke Fletcher , Guy Rosman

Human motion prediction is consisting in forecasting future body poses from historically observed sequences. It is a longstanding challenge due to motion's complex dynamics and uncertainty. Existing methods focus on building up complicated…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Zhihao Wang , Yulin Zhou , Ningyu Zhang , Xiaosong Yang , Jun Xiao , Zhao Wang

Data-driven modeling is useful for reconstructing nonlinear dynamical systems when the underlying process is unknown or too expensive to compute. Having reliable uncertainty assessment of the forecast enables tools to be deployed to predict…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-01 Mengyang Gu , Yizi Lin , Victor Chang Lee , Diana Qiu

Human behavior has the nature of indeterminacy, which requires the pedestrian trajectory prediction system to model the multi-modality of future motion states. Unlike existing stochastic trajectory prediction methods which usually use a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-28 Tianpei Gu , Guangyi Chen , Junlong Li , Chunze Lin , Yongming Rao , Jie Zhou , Jiwen Lu

Predicting the motion of dynamic agents is a critical task for guaranteeing the safety of autonomous systems. A particular challenge is that motion prediction algorithms should obey dynamics constraints and quantify prediction uncertainty…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Renukanandan Tumu , Lars Lindemann , Truong Nghiem , Rahul Mangharam

The ability to accurately predict human behavior is central to the safety and efficiency of robot autonomy in interactive settings. Unfortunately, robots often lack access to key information on which these predictions may hinge, such as…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Haimin Hu , Jaime F. Fisac

Uncertainty in control and perception poses challenges for autonomous vehicle navigation in unstructured environments, leading to navigation failures and potential vehicle damage. This paper introduces a framework that minimizes control and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Junwon Seo , Jungwi Mun , Taekyung Kim

Classical deterministic optimal control problems assume full information about the controlled process. The theory of control for general partially-observable processes is powerful, but the methods are computationally expensive and typically…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Dongping Qi , Adam Dhillon , Alexander Vladimirsky

Traffic prediction is a crucial topic because of its broad scope of applications in the transportation domain. Recently, various studies have achieved promising results. However, most studies assume the prediction locations have complete or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Hao Mei , Junxian Li , Zhiming Liang , Guanjie Zheng , Bin Shi , Hua Wei
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