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Reliable uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks is very crucial in safety-critical applications such as automated driving for trustworthy and informed decision-making. Assessing the quality of uncertainty estimates is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-12 Neslihan Kose , Ranganath Krishnan , Akash Dhamasia , Omesh Tickoo , Michael Paulitsch

The high dynamics and heterogeneous interactions in the complicated urban systems have raised the issue of uncertainty quantification in spatiotemporal human mobility, to support critical decision-makings in risk-aware web applications such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Zhengyang Zhou , Yang Wang , Xike Xie , Lei Qiao , Yuantao Li

We present an approach for safe motion planning under robot state and environment (obstacle and landmark location) uncertainties. To this end, we first develop an approach that accounts for the landmark uncertainties during robot…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Antony Thomas , Fulvio Mastrogiovanni , Marco Baglietto

Recent advances in autonomous driving are moving towards mapless approaches, where High-Definition (HD) maps are generated online directly from sensor data, reducing the need for expensive labeling and maintenance. However, the reliability…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Zongzheng Zhang , Xuchong Qiu , Boran Zhang , Guantian Zheng , Xunjiang Gu , Guoxuan Chi , Huan-ang Gao , Leichen Wang , Ziming Liu , Xinrun Li , Igor Gilitschenski , Hongyang Li , Hang Zhao , Hao Zhao

We address the problem of uncertainty quantification and propose measures of total, aleatoric, and epistemic uncertainty based on a known decomposition of (strictly) proper scoring rules, a specific type of loss function, into a divergence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

In automated driving, predicting and accommodating the uncertain future motion of other traffic participants is challenging, especially in unstructured environments in which the high-level intention of traffic participants is difficult to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-05 Tommaso Benciolini , Yuntian Yan , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

Bayesian inference is often utilized for uncertainty quantification tasks. A recent analysis by Xu and Raginsky 2022 rigorously decomposed the predictive uncertainty in Bayesian inference into two uncertainties, called aleatoric and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-25 Futoshi Futami , Tomoharu Iwata

Autonomous vehicles rely on accurate trajectory prediction to inform decision-making processes related to navigation and collision avoidance. However, current trajectory prediction models show signs of overfitting, which may lead to unsafe…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Jeroen Hagenus , Frederik Baymler Mathiesen , Julian F. Schumann , Arkady Zgonnikov

Object detection is a critical component of a self-driving system, tasked with inferring the current states of the surrounding traffic actors. While there exist a number of studies on the problem of inferring the position and shape of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-09 Henggang Cui , Fang-Chieh Chou , Jake Charland , Carlos Vallespi-Gonzalez , Nemanja Djuric

An accurate trajectory prediction is crucial for safe and efficient autonomous driving in complex traffic environments. In recent years, artificial intelligence has shown strong capabilities in improving prediction accuracy. However, its…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Wenbo Shao , Yanchao Xu , Jun Li , Chen Lv , Weida Wang , Hong Wang

Predicting the motion of other road agents enables autonomous vehicles to perform safe and efficient path planning. This task is very complex, as the behaviour of road agents depends on many factors and the number of possible future…

Human motion is stochastic and ensuring safe robot navigation in a pedestrian-rich environment requires proactive decision-making. Past research relied on incorporating deterministic future states of surrounding pedestrians which can be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Anshul Nayak , Azim Eskandarian

Uncertainty plays a crucial role in the machine learning field. Both model trustworthiness and performance require the understanding of uncertainty, especially for models used in high-stake applications where errors can cause cataclysmic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Shuo Chen

Forecasting the future trajectories of surrounding agents is crucial for autonomous vehicles to ensure safe, efficient, and comfortable route planning. While model ensembling has improved prediction accuracy in various fields, its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Aron Distelzweig , Eitan Kosman , Andreas Look , Faris Janjoš , Denesh K. Manivannan , Abhinav Valada

Collision prediction in a dynamic and unknown environment relies on knowledge of how the environment is changing. Many collision prediction methods rely on deterministic knowledge of how obstacles are moving in the environment. However,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-04-08 Andrew Patterson , Arun Lakshmanan , Naira Hovakimyan

Tremendous efforts have been put forth on predicting pedestrian trajectory with generative models to accommodate uncertainty and multi-modality in human behaviors. An individual's inherent uncertainty, e.g., change of destination, can be…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Yao Liu , Zesheng Ye , Rui Wang , Binghao Li , Quan Z. Sheng , Lina Yao

The uncertainty quantification of prediction models (e.g., neural networks) is crucial for their adoption in many robotics applications. This is arguably as important as making accurate predictions, especially for safety-critical…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Junan Chen , Josephine Monica , Wei-Lun Chao , Mark Campbell

The complexity of the operating environment and required technologies for highly automated driving is unprecedented. A different type of threat to safe operation besides the fault-error-failure model by Laprie et al. arises in the form of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Roman Gansch , Ahmad Adee

Safe autonomous navigation is an essential and challenging problem for robots operating in highly unstructured or completely unknown environments. Under these conditions, not only robotic systems must deal with limited localisation…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Èric Pairet , Juan David Hernández , Marc Carreras , Yvan Petillot , Morteza Lahijanian

For safe operation, a robot must be able to avoid collisions in uncertain environments. Existing approaches for motion planning under uncertainties often assume parametric obstacle representations and Gaussian uncertainty, which can be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Ralf Römer , Armin Lederer , Samuel Tesfazgi , Sandra Hirche