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Most uncertainty-aware robotic systems collapse prediction uncertainty into a single scalar score and use it to trigger uniform corrective responses. This aggregation obscures whether uncertainty arises from corrupted observations or from…

Proper quantification of predictive uncertainty is essential for the use of machine learning in safety-critical applications. Various uncertainty measures have been proposed for this purpose, typically claiming superiority over other…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

Trajectory forecasting, or trajectory prediction, of multiple interacting agents in dynamic scenes, is an important problem for many applications, such as robotic systems and autonomous driving. The problem is a great challenge because of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-05-28 Yanliang Zhu , Dongchun Ren , Mingyu Fan , Deheng Qian , Xin Li , Huaxia Xia

The uncertainty quantification and risk modeling are hot topics in the operation and planning of energy systems. The system operators and planners are decision-makers that need to handle the uncertainty of input data of their models. As an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-03 Majid Majidi , Behnam Mohammadi-Ivatlooa , Alireza Soroudi

A key strategy for balancing performance and cost in modern machine learning systems is to dynamically route queries to either a low-cost model or a more expensive oracle (such as a large pretrained model or human expert), an approach known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Charlotte Peale , Siddartha Devic , Parikshit Gopalan , Udi Wieder , Aravind Gollakota

Accurate prediction of human or vehicle trajectories with good diversity that captures their stochastic nature is an essential task for many applications. However, many trajectory prediction models produce unreasonable trajectory samples…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Qingze , Liu , Danrui Li , Samuel S. Sohn , Sejong Yoon , Mubbasir Kapadia , Vladimir Pavlovic

Giving autonomous agents the ability to forecast their own outcomes and uncertainty will allow them to communicate their competencies and be used more safely. We accomplish this by using a learned world model of the agent system to forecast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Aastha Acharya , Rebecca Russell , Nisar R. Ahmed

Energy infrastructure planning under uncertainty has become increasingly complex as electrification, interdependence between energy carriers, decarbonization, and extreme weather events reshape long-term investment decisions. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-14 Rahman Khorramfar , Aron Brenner , Lara Booth , Ana Rivera , Ruaridh Macdonald , Priya Donti , Saurabh Amin

The quantification of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty in terms of conditional entropy and mutual information, respectively, has recently become quite common in machine learning. While the properties of these measures, which are rooted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Lisa Wimmer , Yusuf Sale , Paul Hofman , Bern Bischl , Eyke Hüllermeier

In this research, a new data mining-based design approach has been developed for designing complex mechanical systems such as a crashworthy passenger car with uncertainty modeling. The method allows exploring the big crash simulation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-14 Xianping Du , Binhui Jiang , Feng Zhu

Robotic systems often operate with uncertainties in their dynamics, for example, unknown inertial properties. Broadly, there are two approaches for controlling uncertain systems: design robust controllers in spite of uncertainty, or…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-06-10 Keenan Albee , Monica Ekal , Rodrigo Ventura , Richard Linares

Environment perception is the task for intelligent vehicles on which all subsequent steps rely. A key part of perception is to safely detect other road users such as vehicles, pedestrians, and cyclists. With modern deep learning techniques…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-13 Florian Kraus , Klaus Dietmayer

The uncertainty measurement of classifiers' predictions is especially important in applications such as medical diagnoses that need to ensure limited human resources can focus on the most uncertain predictions returned by machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-18 Xuchao Zhang , Fanglan Chen , Chang-Tien Lu , Naren Ramakrishnan

Learning a policy using only observational data is challenging because the distribution of states it induces at execution time may differ from the distribution observed during training. We propose to train a policy by unrolling a learned…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-10 Mikael Henaff , Alfredo Canziani , Yann LeCun

Fully decentralized, multiagent trajectory planners enable complex tasks like search and rescue or package delivery by ensuring safe navigation in unknown environments. However, deconflicting trajectories with other agents and ensuring…

The ability to predict traffic flow over time for crowded areas during rush hours is increasingly important as it can help authorities make informed decisions for congestion mitigation or scheduling of infrastructure development in an area.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-03 Zann Koh , Yan Qin , Yong Liang Guan , Chau Yuen

Predicting human mobility is crucial for urban planning, traffic control, and emergency response. Mobility behaviors can be categorized into individual and collective, and these behaviors are recorded by diverse mobility data, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Qingyue Long , Yuan Yuan , Yong Li

Deep neural network controllers for autonomous driving have recently benefited from significant performance improvements, and have begun deployment in the real world. Prior to their widespread adoption, safety guarantees are needed on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Rhiannon Michelmore , Matthew Wicker , Luca Laurenti , Luca Cardelli , Yarin Gal , Marta Kwiatkowska

We investigate the problem of coordinating human-driven vehicles in road intersections without any traffic lights or signs by issuing speed advices. The vehicles in the intersection are assumed to move along an a priori known path and to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-01 Alexander Katriniok , Stefan Kojchev , Erjen Lefeber , Henk Nijmeijer

Trajectory optimization with contact-rich behaviors has recently gained attention for generating diverse locomotion behaviors without pre-specified ground contact sequences. However, these approaches rely on precise models of robot dynamics…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Luke Drnach , Ye Zhao
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