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Deep networks are commonly used to model dynamical systems, predicting how the state of a system will evolve over time (either autonomously or in response to control inputs). Despite the predictive power of these systems, it has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-20 Gaurav Manek , J. Zico Kolter

Chaos arises in many complex dynamical systems, from weather to power grids, but is difficult to accurately model using data-driven emulators, including neural operator architectures. For chaotic systems, the inherent sensitivity to initial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Gabriel Melo , Leonardo Santiago , Peter Y. Lu

The complexity of real-world geophysical systems is often compounded by the fact that the observed measurements depend on hidden variables. These latent variables include unresolved small scales and/or rapidly evolving processes, partially…

The literature is rich with studies, analyses, and examples on parameter estimation for describing the evolution of chaotic dynamical systems based on measurements, even when only partial information is available through observations.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-08-07 Michele Baia , Tommaso Matteuzzi , Franco Bagnoli

This paper addresses the data-driven identification of latent dynamical representations of partially-observed systems, i.e., dynamical systems for which some components are never observed, with an emphasis on forecasting applications,…

Nudging is an empirical data assimilation technique that incorporates an observation-driven control term into the model dynamics. The trajectory of the nudged system approaches the true system trajectory over time, even when the initial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Jaemin Oh , Jinsil Lee , Youngjoon Hong

Deep Learning has received increased attention due to its unbeatable success in many fields, such as computer vision, natural language processing, recommendation systems, and most recently in simulating multiphysics problems and predicting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Zakaria Elabid , Tanujit Chakraborty , Abdenour Hadid

This study evaluates data-driven models from a dynamical system perspective, such as unstable fixed points, periodic orbits, chaotic saddle, Lyapunov exponents, manifold structures, and statistical values. We find that these dynamical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-10 Miki U Kobayashi , Kengo Nakai , Yoshitaka Saiki , Natsuki Tsutsumi

Chaos is an inherently dynamical phenomenon traditionally studied for trajectories that are either permanently erratic or transiently influenced by permanently erratic ones lying on a set of measure zero. The latter gives rise to the final…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-11-12 Adilson E. Motter , Marton Gruiz , Gyorgy Karolyi , Tamas Tel

Forecasting of time-series data requires imposition of inductive biases to obtain predictive extrapolation, and recent works have imposed Hamiltonian/Lagrangian form to preserve structure for systems with reversible dynamics. In this work…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-06-25 Kookjin Lee , Nathaniel A. Trask , Panos Stinis

Many important problems in the real world don't have unique solutions. It is thus important for machine learning models to be capable of proposing different plausible solutions with meaningful probability measures. In this work we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Di Qiu , Lok Ming Lui

Chaotic systems are intrinsically sensitive to small errors, challenging efforts to construct predictive data-driven models of real-world dynamical systems such as fluid flows or neuronal activity. Prior efforts comprise either specialized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Jeffrey Lai , Anthony Bao , William Gilpin

Chaos reveals a fundamental paradox in the scientific understanding of Complex Systems. Although chaotic models may be mathematically deterministic, they are practically non-determinable due to the finite precision, which is inherent in all…

An effective characterization of chaotic conservative Hamiltonian systems in terms of the curvature associated with a Riemannian metric tensor derived from the structure of the Hamiltonian has been extended to a wide class of potential…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-18 Yossi Ben Zion , Lawrence Horwitz

Systems exhibiting nonlinear dynamics, including but not limited to chaos, are ubiquitous across Earth Sciences such as Meteorology, Hydrology, Climate and Ecology, as well as Biology such as neural and cardiac processes. However, System…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-14 Nishant Yadav , Sai Ravela , Auroop R. Ganguly

Predictability horizon properties of chaotic dynamical systems can be related to their spectral properties. It is shown, using this relationship, that the spectral properties of the leading large-scale climate daily indices indicate a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-12-27 A. Bershadskii

Using direct numerical simulation we study the behavior of the maximal Lyapunov exponent in thin-layer turbulence, where one dimension of the system is constrained geometrically. Such systems are known to exhibit transitions from fully…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-06-02 Daniel Clark , Andres Armua , Calum Freeman , Daniel J. Brener , Arjun Berera

When implemented in the digital domain with time, space and value discretized in the binary form, many good dynamical properties of chaotic systems in continuous domain may be degraded or even diminish. To measure the dynamic complexity of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-05-08 Chengqing Li , Jinhu Lu , Guanrong Chen

Quantum reservoir computing has emerged as a promising paradigm for harnessing quantum systems to process temporal data efficiently by bypassing the costly training of gradient-based learning methods. Here, we demonstrate the capability of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-20 Qingyu Li , Chiranjib Mukhopadhyay , Ludovico Minati , Abolfazl Bayat

In many real world chaotic systems, the interest is typically in determining when the system will behave in an extreme manner. Flooding and drought, extreme heatwaves, large earthquakes, and large drops in the stock market are examples of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-19 Michael LuValle