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To predict the future evolution of dynamical systems purely from observations of the past data is of great potential application. In this work, a new formulated paradigm of reservoir computing is proposed for achieving model-free…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Zhuo Liu , Leisheng Jin

Simulations of chaotic systems can only produce high-fidelity trajectories if the initial and boundary conditions are well specified. When these conditions are unknown but measurements are available, variational state estimation can…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Noah B. Frank , Joshua L. Pughe-Sanford , Samuel J. Grauer

Recurrence in the phase space of complex systems is a well-studied phenomenon, which has provided deep insights into the nonlinear dynamics of such systems. For dissipative systems, characteristics based on recurrence plots have recently…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-03-22 Yong Zou , Reik V. Donner , Marco Thiel , Jürgen Kurths

We propose a physics-constrained machine learning method-based on reservoir computing- to time-accurately predict extreme events and long-term velocity statistics in a model of turbulent shear flow. The method leverages the strengths of two…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-04-14 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Wolfgang Polifke , Luca Magri

Chaotic systems pose fundamental challenges for data-driven dynamics discovery, as small modeling errors lead to exponentially growing trajectory discrepancies. Since exact long-term prediction is unattainable, it is natural to ask what a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Joon-Hyuk Ko , Andrus Giraldo , Deok-Sun Lee

Time-series forecasting is a challenging problem that traditionally requires specialized models custom-trained for the specific task at hand. Recently, inspired by the success of large language models, foundation models pre-trained on vast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Yuanzhao Zhang , William Gilpin

Dynamic nonlinear systems exhibit distortions arising from coupled static and dynamic effects. Their intertwined nature poses major challenges for data-driven modeling. This paper presents a theoretical framework grounded in structured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Sri Satish Krishna Chaitanya Bulusu , Mikko Sillanpää

In this paper, we apply a recently developed nonparametric modeling approach, the "diffusion forecast", to predict the time-evolution of Fourier modes of turbulent dynamical systems. While the diffusion forecasting method assumes the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-03-23 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

Chaos and unpredictability are traditionally synonymous, yet large-scale machine learning methods recently have demonstrated a surprising ability to forecast chaotic systems well beyond typical predictability horizons. However, recent works…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 William Gilpin

Chaotic systems which are due to nonlinearity have attracted a great concern in the current world and chaotic models. Systems for a wide range of operation conditions have their application in almost all branches of engineering and science.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-09 Amin Gasmi

Data-driven emulation of nonlinear dynamics is challenging due to long-range skill decay that often produces physically unrealistic outputs. Recent advances in generative modeling aim to address these issues by providing uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Juan Nathaniel , Pierre Gentine

Reservoir computing is a powerful tool for forecasting turbulence because its simple architecture has the computational efficiency to handle large systems. Its implementation, however, often requires full state-vector measurements and…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-12-02 Vikrant Gupta , Larry K. B. Li , Shiyi Chen , Minping Wan

Chaotic dynamical systems exhibit strong sensitivity to initial conditions and often contain unresolved multiscale processes, making deterministic forecasting fundamentally limited. Generative models offer an appealing alternative by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Patrick Wyrod , Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Daniele Venturi

We demonstrate that a deep learning emulator for chaotic systems can forecast phenomena absent from training data. Using the Kuramoto-Sivashinsky and beta-plane turbulence models, we evaluate the emulator through scenarios probing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Ira J. S. Shokar , Peter H. Haynes , Rich R. Kerswell

Handling regime shifts and non-stationary time series in deep learning systems presents a significant challenge. In the case of online learning, when new information is introduced, it can disrupt previously stored data and alter the model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Matteo Benati , Alessandro Londei , Denise Lanzieri , Vittorio Loreto

Obtaining predictive low-order models is a central challenge in fluid dynamics. Data-driven frameworks have been widely used to obtain low-order models of aerodynamic systems; yet, resulting models tend to yield predictions that grow…

We introduce a data-driven method and shows its skills for spatiotemporal prediction of high-dimensional chaotic dynamics and turbulence. The method is based on a finite-dimensional approximation of the Koopman operator where the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-09-04 Mohammad Amin Khodkar , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Athanasios Antoulas

This article presents a general framework for recovering missing dynamical systems using available data and machine learning techniques. The proposed framework reformulates the prediction problem as a supervised learning problem to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-20 John Harlim , Shixiao W. Jiang , Senwei Liang , Haizhao Yang

This paper presents an approach to trajectory-centric learning control based on contraction metrics and disturbance estimation for nonlinear systems subject to matched uncertainties. The approach uses deep neural networks to learn uncertain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-25 Pan Zhao , Ziyao Guo , Yikun Cheng , Aditya Gahlawat , Hyungsoo Kang , Naira Hovakimyan

We train an artificial neural network which distinguishes chaotic and regular dynamics of the two-dimensional Chirikov standard map. We use finite length trajectories and compare the performance with traditional numerical methods which need…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-24 Woo Seok Lee , Sergej Flach